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Showing 481-528 of 8,441 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/12-10/18)
K 137.4K contractsWill the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly 7 between Oct 12, 2026 and Oct 18, 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly 6 between Oct 12, 2026 and Oct 18, 2026?Yes 2.5%
Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly 5 between Oct 12, 2026 and Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
PM $434.9KWill Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes 98.6%
Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes 97.7%
Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes 97.5%
+19 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Pro Football: 4000+ Passing Yards Season
K 136.5K contractsWill Joe Burrow record 4000+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 74.5%
Will Matthew Stafford record 4000+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 65.5%
Will Trevor Lawrence record 4000+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 62.5%
+27 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
PM $431.0KWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
K 135.7K contractsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee?Yes 9.5%
Will Jon Ossoff defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, with Jon Ossoff as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee?Yes 8.5%
Will JD Vance defeat Gavin Newsom in the 2028 presidential election, with Gavin Newsom as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee?Yes 8.5%
+29 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)
PM $429.8KIsraeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?Yes 25%
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Yes 6.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18)
K 135.6K contractsWill there be more than 150 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will there be more than 160 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 85.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
PM $426.7KWill China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Yes 3.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026?
K 135.5K contractsWill Trump fire 0 Cabinet members before 2027?Yes 87%
Will Trump fire 1 Cabinet members before 2027?Yes 3.5%
Will Trump fire 2 Cabinet members before 2027?Yes 3.2%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
PM $425.7KWill Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes 75.5%
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes 25.5%
Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes <0.1%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida Senate margin of victory
K 134.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 89.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 84.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 70.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
PM $423.9KWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December?Yes 63%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (LOW) in December?Yes 61.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?Yes 30%
+11 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?
K 134.3K contractsWill Trump end the Federal Reserve before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Premier of Quebec
PM $422.7KWill Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes 99.9%
Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes 0.1%
Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes 0.1%
+4 more
KalshiPolitics
FL-22 House winner?
K 133.8K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for FL-22?Yes 55.5%
Will Republican win the House race for FL-22?Yes 44.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?
PM $421.8KPerim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Yes 32.5%
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?Yes 21.5%
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Yes 6.8%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Top U.S. Selling Album (Physical and Digital Sales Combined): 2026
K 132.7K contractsWill ARIRANG be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Albums of 2026 in U.S. (Physical & Digital Sales Combined), as Published by Billboard?Yes 81.5%
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Albums of 2026 in U.S. (Physical & Digital Sales Combined), as Published by Billboard?Yes 7%
Will The Life of a Showgirl be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Albums of 2026 in U.S. (Physical & Digital Sales Combined), as Published by Billboard?Yes 2.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
PM $419.4KUS reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
KY-06 House winner?
K 132.3K contractsWill Republican win the House race for KY-06?Yes 69.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for KY-06?Yes 30.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Israel military action against Beirut by...?
PM $419.4KIsrael military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?Yes 10.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Robinhood event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026
K 131.8K contractsWill Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $50 billion event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $55 billion event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $60 billion event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026?Yes 61.5%
+8 moreNext deadline May 12, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
PM $410.7KWill Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes 94%
Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes 3.1%
Will Marco Rubio be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes 1.9%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Nebraska corn yield in 2026
K 131.7K contractsWill Nebraska’s corn for grain yield per harvested acre in 2026 be above 170 bu/acre?Yes 98.5%
Will Nebraska’s corn for grain yield per harvested acre in 2026 be above 180 bu/acre?Yes 94.5%
Will Nebraska’s corn for grain yield per harvested acre in 2026 be above 175 bu/acre?Yes 94%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PM $410.4KWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?Yes 25.5%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?Yes 23.5%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?Yes 6.4%
+12 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030?
K 131.3K contractsWill China overtake US GDP by 2030?Yes 18.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
PM $408.9KIAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Yes 11.5%
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Yes 2.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Critics Choice Awards: Best Comedy
K 130.5K contractsWill The Invite win Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 24.5%
Will Club Kid win Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 20.5%
Will The Debut win Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 12.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
PM $408.8KWill ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes 91%
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Yes 8.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
NFL Players Traded
K 129.7K contractsWill Jerry Jeudy be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 57.5%
Will Spencer Rattler be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 55.5%
Will Will McDonald IV be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 51.5%
+50 moreNext deadline Dec 15, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Trump meets with Putin by...?
PM $407.3KTrump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes 82.5%
Trump meets with Putin by November 30?Yes 77%
Trump meets with Putin by October 31?Yes 1.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Jobs numbers in October 2026?
K 129.0K contractsWill above -25000 jobs be added in October 2026?Yes 93.5%
Will above 0 jobs be added in October 2026?Yes 86.5%
Will above 10000 jobs be added in October 2026?Yes 79.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Feb 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?
PM $406.1KWill Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027?Yes 59.5%
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?Yes 33%
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Yes 12%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
West Virginia total coal production in 2026
K 128.5K contractsWill West Virginia’s total coal production for 2026 be above 72 million short tons?Yes 97.5%
Will West Virginia’s total coal production for 2026 be above 74 million short tons?Yes 94.5%
Will West Virginia’s total coal production for 2026 be above 76 million short tons?Yes 91.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
PM $402.4KU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?Yes 14.2%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?Yes 14%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?Yes 11.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed decision in Dec 2027?
K 128.0K contractsWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2027 meeting?Yes 78%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2027 meeting?Yes 11.5%
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their December 2027 meeting?Yes 8%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
PM $399.0KWill OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?Yes 22.5%
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?Yes 20.6%
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?Yes 15.6%
+5 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Performers
K 127.4K contractsWho will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? (Miley Cyrus)Yes 64.5%
Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? (JAY-Z)Yes 62%
Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? (T-Pain)Yes 49.5%
+130 moreNext deadline Feb 22, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
PM $398.9KModi out by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026?
K 126.6K contractsWill exactly 0 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026?Yes 92.3%
Will exactly 1 Senate Democrat lose re-election in 2026?Yes 6.9%
Will exactly 2 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026?Yes 1.8%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
In which month will Anthropic IPO?
PM $396.5KWill Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Yes 54.3%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?Yes 22.9%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?Yes 16.3%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Next Fed rate hike?
K 126.4K contractsWill the Federal Reserve hike rates by December 31, 2028?Yes 96.5%
Will the Federal Reserve hike rates by June 30, 2028?Yes 95.5%
Will the Federal Reserve hike rates by December 31, 2027?Yes 93.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Jimmy Lai released by...?
PM $391.2KJimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?Yes 5.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Colorado permitted housing units in 2026
K 126.0K contractsWill the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 30,000?Yes 58%
Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 32,000?Yes 30%
Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 34,000?Yes 20.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
PM $388.7KWill Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes 89.5%
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes 41.5%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes 38%
+33 moreNext deadline Apr 19, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will run for public office in 2026?
K 124.9K contractsWill Nicki Minaj announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?Yes 3.6%
Will Joe Kent announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?Yes 3.3%
Will Matt Gaetz announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?Yes 3.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by...?
PM $375.6KMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump expand the H-1B program?
K 123.5K contractsWill Trump expand high-skill immigration?Yes 21%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
PM $373.9KWill the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes 68.5%
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes 19%
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes 9%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC