Browse prediction markets

Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 0% and 3%?Yes 35.5%

Alaska Senate election margin of victory

K 65.9K contracts

Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 3% and 6%?Yes 22%

Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 0% and 3%?Yes 22%

+7 moreNext deadline Jun 2, 2027 UTC

PM $242.8K · K 48.2K contracts

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Kalshi: Will Elif Eralp win the election for Governing Mayor of Berlin by the Berlin House of Representatives following their state election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 83.5%Rules differK Yes 86.5%

Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Kalshi: Will Stefan Evers win the election for Governing Mayor of Berlin by the Berlin House of Representatives following their state election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 9%Rules differK Yes 10%

Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Kalshi: Will Werner Graf win the election for Governing Mayor of Berlin by the Berlin House of Representatives following their state election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.4%Rules differK Yes 1.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 1, 2027 UTC

Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages before 2027?Yes 97.5%

Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?

K 65.9K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?Yes 5%

Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?

PM $242.5K

PM $238.8K · K 556.2K contracts

Vermont Governor winner?

Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Vermont

Related contracts

PM Yes 75.5%Rules differK Yes 76.5%

Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Vermont

Related contracts

PM Yes 75.5%Rules differK Yes 54%

Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Vermont

Related contracts

PM Yes 24.9%Rules differK Yes 44%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiSports

Top 10 Fantasy QB

K 65.8K contracts

Will Josh Allen be a top 10 fantasy QB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 92%

Will Brock Purdy be a top 10 fantasy QB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 77.5%

Will Drake Maye be a top 10 fantasy QB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 77%

+34 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC

KalshiHealth

Will the FDA approve retatrutide?

K 65.8K contracts

When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)? (Before Jan 1, 2029)Yes 91.5%

When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)? (Before Jul 1, 2028)Yes 87.5%

When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)? (Before Jan 1, 2028)Yes 72.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by October 31?Yes 7.2%

Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by...?

PM $238.2K

1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will Choosin’ Texas be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Digital Songs of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard?Yes 83%

Top U.S. Selling Digital Song: 2026

K 65.7K contracts

Will Golden be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Digital Songs of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard?Yes 39%

Will SWIM be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Digital Songs of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard?Yes 16.5%

+21 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Yes 10.5%

Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?

PM $237.2K

Will the UK announce a snap election before Jan 2, 2028?Yes 23%

UK snap election announced?

K 65.4K contracts

Will the UK announce a snap election before Jan 2, 2027?Yes 5.4%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PM $232.4K · K 1.48M contracts

Florida Senate winner?

Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Florida?

Related contracts

PM Yes 90.5%Rules differK Yes 91.4%

Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Florida?

Related contracts

PM Yes 9.5%Rules differK Yes 8.6%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 82%

When will Trump's ballroom be completed?

K 65.4K contracts

Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 53.5%

Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jul 1, 2028?Yes 31.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PM $231.8K · K 3.45M contracts

North Carolina Senate winner?

Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in North Carolina?

Related contracts

PM Yes 96.2%Rules differK Yes 95.7%

Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in North Carolina?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.6%Rules differK Yes 4.1%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will Bernie Sanders go on the Joe Rogan Experience before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 52.5%

The Joe Rogan Experience: Guests in 2026

K 65.3K contracts

Will Tulsi Gabbard go on the Joe Rogan Experience before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 30.5%

Will Hunter Biden go on the Joe Rogan Experience before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 30%

+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Yoon out of custody before 2027?Yes 5.9%

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

PM $231.5K

Will Democrats win exactly 9 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Michigan?Yes 33%

How many House seats will Democrats win in Michigan?

K 65.3K contracts

Will Democrats win exactly 8 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Michigan?Yes 24.5%

Will Democrats win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Michigan?Yes 21%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Yes 29.5%

Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

PM $229.3K

Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Yes 19.5%

Will María Fernanda Espinosa be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Yes 15.8%

+5 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.9 on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 39.5%

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 19, 2026?

K 65.1K contracts

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.8 on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 23.5%

Will Trump's RCP approval average be above 39.1 on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 10.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Yes 0.9%

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

PM $229.2K

1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will AfD win the next election to the German Bundestag?Yes 84%

Next German federal election winner?

K 65.0K contracts

Will CDU/CSU win the next election to the German Bundestag?Yes 12%

Will SPD win the next election to the German Bundestag?Yes 6.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Mar 25, 2030 UTC

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Yes 11.5%

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

PM $227.8K

Will any federal or state court rule finds that fraud, fraudulent conduct, or illegal manipulation of ballots or vote counts occurred in connection with the 2020 U.S. presidential election in one or more states?Yes 7.6%

Will any court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?

K 64.9K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Yes 2.6%

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

PM $227.2K

Will Marine Le Pen finish 1st in the first round of the next French presidential election?Yes 80.5%

Next French presidential election: 1st place (1st round)

K 64.2K contracts

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon finish 1st in the first round of the next French presidential election?Yes 4.5%

Will Jordan Bardella finish 1st in the first round of the next French presidential election?Yes 3.5%

+11 moreNext deadline Apr 18, 2028 UTC

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Yes 32.5%

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

PM $226.4K

Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 94%

KalshiElections

Who will be the next new Prime Minister of Romania?

K 63.6K contracts

Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 2.5%

Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 2%

+27 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2045 UTC

Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by October 31?Yes 97.1%

Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

PM $222.1K

Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by October 31?Yes 94.8%

Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?Yes 48%

+14 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

PM $221.1K · K 5.3K contracts

Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?

Kalshi: Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?

Related contracts

PM Yes 34.5%Rules differK Yes 31.5%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?

Kalshi: Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?

Related contracts

PM Yes 15%Rules differK Yes 18.5%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?

Kalshi: Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?

Related contracts

PM Yes 8.5%Rules differK Yes 15.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

12 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC

Will the corporate tax be decreased before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 4.5%

Will Trump cut corporate taxes this year?

K 63.4K contracts

Will Venezuela hold a presidential election before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 80%

When will Venezuela hold a presidential election?

K 62.9K contracts

Will Venezuela hold a presidential election before Jul 1, 2028?Yes 67%

Will Venezuela hold a presidential election before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 39%

+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

US x China Military clash before 2027?Yes 2.5%

US x China Military clash before 2027?

PM $219.2K

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Lima mayoral election?Yes 52%

Lima Mayor winner?

K 62.8K contracts

Will Carlos Bruce win the 2026 Lima mayoral election?Yes 12%

Will Samuel Daza win the 2026 Lima mayoral election?Yes 8%

+8 moreNext deadline Oct 4, 2027 UTC

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?Yes 83.5%

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?

PM $217.5K

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29?Yes 80%

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 22?Yes 69.5%

+8 more

Will Democratic win the House race for PA-12?Yes 98%

PA-12 House winner?

K 62.6K contracts

Will Republican win the House race for PA-12?Yes 1.2%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the US federal government take a stake in Unusual Machines?Yes 37.5%

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

PM $216.8K

Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?Yes 19%

Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?Yes 13%

+14 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will at least 5 the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026?Yes 55%

How many Republican senators will lose reelection in 2026?

K 62.1K contracts

Will exactly 4 the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026?Yes 21%

Will exactly 3 the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026?Yes 16%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?Yes 3.1%

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

PM $215.2K

Will Tim Pool attend any White House press briefing which takes place in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room?Yes 64%

Who will attend a White House Press Briefing in 2026?

K 62.0K contracts

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. attend any White House press briefing which takes place in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room?Yes 32%

Will Dan Bongino attend any White House press briefing which takes place in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room?Yes 7.3%

+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Yes 28.5%

Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?

PM $210.8K

Will October 13 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/12 - 10/18)?Yes 26.5%

KalshiTech

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18)

K 61.9K contracts

Will October 16 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/12 - 10/18)?Yes 23.5%

Will October 14 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/12 - 10/18)?Yes 17.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC

Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Yes 1.3%

Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

PM $210.2K

1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will Democrats win exactly 11 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania?Yes 40%

How many House seats will Democrats win in Pennsylvania?

K 61.6K contracts

Will Democrats win exactly 10 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania?Yes 29.5%

Will Democrats win exactly 9 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania?Yes 20%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026?Yes 27.5%

Will Russia enter Khatnie by...?

PM $210.1K