Browse prediction markets

PM Yes 49.5%Rules differK Yes 55.5%

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?

Kalshi: Will Samuel Alito announce their departure as Supreme Court justice before Jul 1, 2027?

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Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Samuel Alito announce their departure as Supreme Court justice before Jan 1, 2027?

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PM Yes 14.5%Rules differK Yes 16%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.9 on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 80%

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 18, 2026?

K 477.6K contracts

Will Trump's RCP approval average be above 39.0 on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 5.5%

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.8 on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 2%

+6 moreNext deadline Oct 18, 2026 UTC

Will President Trump resign before his term is up?Yes 21.5%

Will Trump resign during his term?

K 475.4K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 21, 2029 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Texas Senate winner?

PM $4.04M · K 29.86M contracts

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Texas?

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PM Yes 62.5%Rules differK Yes 61.5%

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas?

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PM Yes 37.5%Rules differK Yes 38.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?

PM $3.93M · K 1.98M contracts

California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?

Kalshi: Will a one-time tax on billionaires be held in California before Nov 5, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 13.5%Rules differK Yes 97%

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Kalshi: Will a one-time tax on billionaires be held in California before Nov 5, 2026?

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PM Yes 24.5%Rules differK Yes 97%

California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?

Kalshi: Will a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative in California pass?

Related contracts

PM Yes 13.5%Rules differK Yes 24.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will the Democratic party hold fewer than 53 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 64.5%

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)

K 470.3K contracts

Will the Democratic party hold exactly 53 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 13.5%

Will the Democratic party hold exactly 54 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 9.7%

+4 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiEconomics

How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?

K 463.4K contracts

Will Musk have a net worth more than 1400 billion dollars before 2027?Yes 18%

Will Musk have a net worth more than 1500 billion dollars before 2027?Yes 9.5%

Will Musk have a net worth more than 1600 billion dollars before 2027?Yes 6.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes 11%

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

PM $3.80M

Will the Democratic party win the House, the Democratic party win the Senate, and the Democratic party win the Presidency?Yes 49%

2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate?

K 456.1K contracts

Will the Republican party win the House, the Republican party win the Senate, and the Republican party win the Presidency?Yes 14.5%

Will the Democratic party win the House, the Republican party win the Senate, and the Republican party win the Presidency?Yes 8%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes 95.6%

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

PM $3.77M

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?Yes 1.8%

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?Yes 0.6%

+11 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will credit card rates be capped before 2027?Yes 3.4%

Will credit card rates be capped in 2026?

K 443.9K contracts

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 7.5%

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

PM $3.63M

Will Eric Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 65%

Who will Trump pardon?

K 440.4K contracts

Will Jared Kushner receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 63%

Will Donald Trump Jr. receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 61%

+49 moreNext deadline Jan 22, 2029 UTC

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes 5.5%

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

PM $3.60M

Will Tame Impala be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?Yes 87.5%

KalshiSports

Who will headline Coachella 2027?

K 430.0K contracts

Will Dua Lipa be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?Yes 83.5%

Will Drake be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?Yes 63.5%

+113 moreNext deadline Dec 30, 2028 UTC

Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes 17.5%

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

PM $3.55M

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes 6%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will Democratic win the House race for MN-05?Yes 94.3%

MN-05 House winner?

K 419.0K contracts

Will Republican win the House race for MN-05?Yes 4.8%

Will DeVelle Jackson win the House race for MN-05?Yes 0.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes 9.5%

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

PM $3.52M

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

Will Donald Trump visit Iran before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 2.9%

Will Donald Trump visit Iran?

K 414.1K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes 4%

US strike on Mexico by...?

PM $3.50M

KalshiScience and Technology

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?

K 413.9K contracts

Will the FDA approve Any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?Yes 20.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 39.5%

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

PM $3.19M

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 16.5%

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 12.5%

+8 more

KalshiCulture

Who will have a #1 album this year?

K 406.6K contracts

Will Post Malone have a #1 album this year?Yes 53%

Will Lil Baby have a #1 album this year?Yes 41.5%

Will SZA have a #1 album this year?Yes 38.5%

+99 moreNext deadline Dec 27, 2026 UTC

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Yes 29.5%

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

PM $3.14M

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Yes 21.5%

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes 5.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

Will GOP Nominee be Ken Paxton AND General Election Winner be Democrat for Jan 2027?Yes 62%

Texas Senate: Exact outcome

K 397.2K contracts

Will GOP Nominee be Ken Paxton AND General Election Winner be Republican for Jan 2027?Yes 39%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 10, 2028 UTC

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes 5.5%

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

PM $3.13M

Will bill that removes/changes the gambling tax provision in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act ("OBBB") become law before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 47%

Will the cap on gambling loss deduction be repealed?

K 394.8K contracts

Will bill that removes/changes the gambling tax provision in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act ("OBBB") become law before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 42.5%

Will bill that removes/changes the gambling tax provision in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act ("OBBB") become law before Sep 1, 2027?Yes 32%

+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Yes 7%

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

PM $3.07M

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Central African Republic be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 71.5%

KalshiHealth

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

K 386.7K contracts

Will a human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 34.5%

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Somalia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 29.5%

+12 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?Yes 41.5%

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

PM $2.92M

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?Yes 31.5%

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?Yes 18%

+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 64.5%

Michigan Senate margin of victory

K 373.8K contracts

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 42.5%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 24.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Yes 13.5%

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

PM $2.90M

Trevor Lawrence: 150+ passing yardsYes 99.5%

Houston vs Jacksonville: Passing Yards

K 363.8K contracts

Trevor Lawrence: 175+ passing yardsYes 98.5%

C.J. Stroud: 175+ passing yardsYes 97.5%

+16 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 7%

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

PM $2.86M

Will the United States acquire any territory not under its sovereignty (as of Issuance) before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 23%

KalshiWorld

Will the US acquire any new territory?

K 360.8K contracts

Will the United States acquire any territory not under its sovereignty (as of Issuance) before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 16%

Will the United States acquire any territory not under its sovereignty (as of Issuance) before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 5.4%

3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.5%

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?

PM $2.69M