Politics prediction markets
6,971 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories
Showing 193-240 of 6,971 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Maine Senate margin of victory
K 250.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Maine be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 53.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Maine be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 38.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Maine be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 18.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US x Russia military clash by...?
PM $1.81MUS x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arkansas Senate winner?
K 249.3K contractsWill Republicans win the Senate race in Arkansas?Yes 94.4%
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Arkansas?Yes 6.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
PM $1.80MCuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 11.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
PM $1.78M · K 3.92M contractsMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
Kalshi: Will Mitch McConnell resign his office early?
Related contracts
PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 1.4%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?
K 247.3K contractsWill Donald Trump meet in person Bongbong Marcos before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 85.5%
Will Donald Trump meet in person Vladimir Putin before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 79.5%
Will Donald Trump meet in person Mohammed bin Salman before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 77.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended?
K 245.6K contractsWill legislation extending or reinstating (if expired) enhanced ACA premium tax credits becomes law before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 11%
Will legislation extending or reinstating (if expired) enhanced ACA premium tax credits becomes law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 5.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Kash Patel out by...?
PM $1.78MKash Patel out by December 31?Yes 19.5%
Kash Patel out by October 31?Yes 2.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many House seats will Democrats win in Virginia?
K 241.8K contractsWill Democrats win exactly 8 seats in 2026 Virginia House of Representatives elections?Yes 34%
Will Democrats win exactly 7 seats in 2026 Virginia House of Representatives elections?Yes 29.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 9 seats in 2026 Virginia House of Representatives elections?Yes 24.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
PM $1.75MWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes 8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?
K 241.5K contractsVolodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 37.5%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 21%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 7.2%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
PM $1.72MWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 30%
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Yes 9.5%
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Yes 7.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Taipei mayoral election winner?
K 240.1K contractsWill Chiang Wan-an win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?Yes 59.5%
Will Shen Bo-yang win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?Yes 41.5%
Will Tang Hsin-min win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
PM $1.57MRussia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes 31.5%
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Yes 19%
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Yes 7.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?
K 239.5K contractsWill Trump next nominate Stephen Miran as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System?Yes 6.6%
Will Trump next nominate Kevin Hassett as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System?Yes 6.3%
Will Trump next nominate Rick Rieder as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System?Yes 5.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Alaska Governor Election Winner
PM $1.56M · K 818.8K contractsWill Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in Alaska? (Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins)
Related contracts
PM Yes 78.6%Rules differK Yes 80.5%
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in Alaska? (Bernadette Wilson)
Related contracts
PM Yes 21.5%Rules differK Yes 19.5%
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in Alaska? (Tom Begich)
Related contracts
PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.7%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
14 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
College Football Conference USA Championship Winner
K 237.8K contractsWill Liberty win the College Football Conference USA Championship?Yes 58%
Will Jacksonville St. win the College Football Conference USA Championship?Yes 22.5%
Will Florida International win the College Football Conference USA Championship?Yes 6.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
PM $1.53MWill Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes 34.5%
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes 33%
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes 31%
+20 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?
K 234.7K contractsWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 9.5%
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 2.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
PM $1.44M · K 4.52M contractsWill Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Susie WIles leaves Chief of Staff in before 2027?
Needs review
PM Yes 36.5%Review neededK Yes 39%
Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Tom Homan leaves White House Border Czar in before 2027?
Needs review
PM Yes 26%Review neededK Yes 14.5%
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Pete Hegseth leaves Secretary of Defense in before 2027?
Needs review
PM Yes 24%Review neededK Yes 23.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
11 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Alaska Senate winner? (Person)
PM $1.44M · K 515.1K contractsWill Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate race?
Related contracts
PM Yes 73.5%Rules differK Yes 73.5%
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Dan Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate race?
Related contracts
PM Yes 26.5%Rules differK Yes 26.5%
Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Ann Diener win the 2026 Alaska Senate race?
Related contracts
PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes <0.1%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Bear Bryant Coach of the Year Winner
K 228.7K contractsWho will win College Football Coach of the Year? (Bob Chesney)Yes 61%
Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? (Kalani Sitake)Yes 11.5%
Who will win College Football Coach of the Year? (Mario Cristobal)Yes 6%
+28 moreNext deadline Feb 12, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
K 227.3K contractsWill Pope Leo XIV visit Uruguay before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 74.5%
Will Pope Leo XIV visit Peru before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 74.5%
Will Pope Leo XIV visit Argentina before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 72%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
PM $1.44MWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Supreme Court justice confirmed?
K 224.9K contractsWill a new Supreme Court justice be confirmed by January 20, 2029?Yes 55%
Will a new Supreme Court justice be confirmed by December 31, 2027?Yes 42%
Will a new Supreme Court justice be confirmed by May 31, 2027?Yes 19%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will any country leave NATO by...?
PM $1.43MWill any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the federal gas tax be suspended?
K 223.8K contractsWill legislation that would temporarily suspend or reduce the federal excise tax on gasoline become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Iran Nuke before 2027?
PM $1.41MIran Nuke before 2027?Yes 3.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OH-07 House winner?
K 217.9K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for OH-07?Yes 80.5%
Will Republican win the House race for OH-07?Yes 19.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
PM $1.41MWill Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes 68.5%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes 32.5%
Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes <0.1%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?
K 216.8K contractsWill the next President confirm 0 Supreme Court justices?Yes 35.5%
Will the next President confirm 1 Supreme Court justices?Yes 22%
Will the next President confirm 2 Supreme Court justices?Yes 14.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
PM $1.40MWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by March 31?Yes 22%
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Yes 5%
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by October 31?Yes 1.6%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-35 House winner?
K 215.4K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for TX-35?Yes 60.5%
Will Republican win the House race for TX-35?Yes 39.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?
PM $1.38MCilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Trump say this week?
K 211.6K contractsWill Trump say "Stupid Question" before Oct 19, 2026?Yes 25%
Will Trump say "Zacharia" before Oct 19, 2026?Yes 15%
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" before Oct 19, 2026?Yes 9.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
PM $1.38MWill Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes 66.8%
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Yes 22.5%
Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes 3.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will have a top 10 song this year?
K 207.6K contractsWill Don Toliver have a top 10 song this year?Yes 99.5%
Will Mariah Carey have a top 10 song this year?Yes 97%
Will Chappell Roan have a top 10 song this year?Yes 96%
+105 moreNext deadline Dec 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Lai Ching-te impeached by...?
PM $1.36MLai Ching-te impeached by December 31?Yes 2.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival 2027: Headliner
K 206.9K contractsWill Vampire Weekend be a headliner at Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival 2027?Yes 4.5%
Will Tyler, The Creator be a headliner at Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival 2027?Yes 4.5%
Will Travis Scott be a headliner at Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival 2027?Yes 4.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Dec 30, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Ohio Senate winner?
PM $1.32M · K 7.37M contractsWill the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Ohio?
Related contracts
PM Yes 65.5%Rules differK Yes 65%
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Ohio?
Related contracts
PM Yes 33.5%Rules differK Yes 35.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
K 204.1K contractsWill the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 30 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 16.5%
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 40 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 12.5%
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 50 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 10.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Apr 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
PM $1.32MWill any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 14.5%
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 12.5%
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 12%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which agencies will Trump eliminate?
K 200.4K contractsWill USAID be eliminated?Yes 17.5%
Will EPA be eliminated?Yes 11.3%
Will IRS be eliminated?Yes 7.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
PM $1.29MWill Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes 82.5%
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?Yes 79.5%
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Yes 30%
+11 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-01 House winner?
K 199.0K contractsWill Republican win the House race for NY-01?Yes 86.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for NY-01?Yes 13%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketSports
Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner
PM $1.28MWill Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes 24.5%
Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes 23.3%
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes 9.3%
+26 moreNext deadline Feb 15, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
K 197.5K contractsWill Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Greece x Turkey military engagement by...?
PM $1.27MGreece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?Yes 4.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC