Browse prediction markets

Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?Yes 2%

Satoshi's identity be proven by...?

PM $2.00M

Will GOP Nominee be Ken Paxton AND General Election Winner be Democrat for Jan 2027?Yes 62%

Texas Senate: Exact outcome

K 397.2K contracts

Will GOP Nominee be Ken Paxton AND General Election Winner be Republican for Jan 2027?Yes 39%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 10, 2028 UTC

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes 7.4%

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

PM $1.96M

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5%

KalshiSports

Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?

K 395.3K contracts

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5%

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5%

+8 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

PolymarketFinance

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

PM $1.92M

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes 25.5%

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes 18.7%

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes 18.1%

+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

Will bill that removes/changes the gambling tax provision in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act ("OBBB") become law before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 47%

Will the cap on gambling loss deduction be repealed?

K 394.8K contracts

Will bill that removes/changes the gambling tax provision in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act ("OBBB") become law before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 42.5%

Will bill that removes/changes the gambling tax provision in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act ("OBBB") become law before Sep 1, 2027?Yes 32%

+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes 81.5%

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

PM $1.90M

Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes 16%

Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes 2.1%

+13 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC

KalshiEconomics

South Dakota corn yield in 2026

K 389.8K contracts

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 125 bu/acre?Yes 98.5%

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 130 bu/acre?Yes 98%

Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 135 bu/acre?Yes 96.5%

+9 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC

Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.7%

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

PM $1.90M

Will average **gas prices** be above or below $6.60 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 36.5%

KalshiEconomics

How high will gas prices in California get this year?

K 387.6K contracts

Will average **gas prices** be above or below $6.80 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 30.5%

Will average **gas prices** be above or below $7.00 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 16%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

PolymarketEconomy

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

PM $1.88M

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes 79%

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Yes 8.2%

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?Yes 6%

+17 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 64.5%

Michigan Senate margin of victory

K 373.8K contracts

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 42.5%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 24.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes 75.5%

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

PM $1.86M

Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes 17.5%

Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?Yes 3.7%

+12 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Trevor Lawrence: 150+ passing yardsYes 99.5%

Houston vs Jacksonville: Passing Yards

K 363.8K contracts

Trevor Lawrence: 175+ passing yardsYes 98.5%

C.J. Stroud: 175+ passing yardsYes 97.5%

+16 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Michigan Senate winner?

PM $1.86M · K 7.64M contracts

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Michigan?

Related contracts

PM Yes 70%Rules differK Yes 67.5%

Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Michigan?

Related contracts

PM Yes 31%Rules differK Yes 32.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiWorld

Will the US acquire any new territory?

K 360.8K contracts

Will the United States acquire any territory not under its sovereignty (as of Issuance) before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 23%

Will the United States acquire any territory not under its sovereignty (as of Issuance) before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 16%

Will the United States acquire any territory not under its sovereignty (as of Issuance) before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 5.4%

3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.9%

Ukraine election called by...?

PM $1.86M

Will Republican win the House race for MN-01?Yes 76.5%

MN-01 House winner?

K 360.6K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for MN-01?Yes 23.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Yes 95.9%

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

PM $1.84M

Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes 1.8%

Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes 1.6%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiTech

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

K 354.0K contracts

Will there be more than 10 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 98.5%

Will there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 97.5%

Will there be more than 20 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 70.5%

+9 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC

Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 15%

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

PM $1.81M

Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 5.7%

Will Egypt join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 5.7%

+9 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Republicans win the Senate race in South Dakota?Yes 92.3%

South Dakota Senate winner?

K 343.4K contracts

Will Brian Bengss win the Senate race in South Dakota?Yes 6.5%

Will Democratics win the Senate race in South Dakota?Yes <0.1%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 3%

US x Russia military clash by...?

PM $1.81M

Will Matthew Stafford lead Pro Football in Passing Yards for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?Yes 27.5%

KalshiSports

Pro Football Passing Yards Leader

K 341.4K contracts

Will Jared Goff lead Pro Football in Passing Yards for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?Yes 13.5%

Will Dak Prescott lead Pro Football in Passing Yards for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?Yes 12%

+25 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC

Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 11.5%

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

PM $1.80M

Will Lil Baby release a new album in 2026?Yes 90%

KalshiCulture

Who will release a new album in 2026?

K 324.1K contracts

Will Offset release a new album in 2026?Yes 79.5%

Will 2 Chainz release a new album in 2026?Yes 76.5%

+70 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

PM $1.78M · K 3.92M contracts

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

Kalshi: Will Mitch McConnell resign his office early?

Related contracts

PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 1.3%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

Will Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index be at least 6 in the 2026 edition?Yes 2.1%

Will Iran become a democracy in 2026?

K 323.4K contracts

1 mktNext deadline May 30, 2027 UTC

Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes 18.5%

Kash Patel out by...?

PM $1.78M

Kash Patel out by October 31?Yes 2.9%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 333?Yes 1.5%

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 333?

K 320.0K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes 8.5%

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

PM $1.75M

Will Jerome Powell leave Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 31, 2028?Yes 71.5%

Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?

K 319.2K contracts

Will Jerome Powell leave Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 54%

Will Jerome Powell leave Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jun 1, 2027?Yes 27.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 33.5%

Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?

PM $1.72M

Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Yes 9%

Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Yes 7.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?Yes 13.5%

2028 Presidential matchup

K 318.8K contracts

Will Gavin Newsom and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?Yes 12%

Will Jon Ossoff and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?Yes 11.6%

+13 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2028 UTC

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes 31.5%

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

PM $1.57M

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Yes 19.5%

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Yes 6.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiElections

Will the midterms happen on time?

K 318.6K contracts

Will at least 50 states conduct 2026 U.S. House midterms on time?Yes 91.5%

1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC

PolymarketFinance

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

PM $1.56M

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?Yes 74.5%

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes 67.5%

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes 58.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Alaska Governor Election Winner

PM $1.56M · K 818.8K contracts

Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in Alaska? (Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins)

Related contracts

PM Yes 78.5%Rules differK Yes 80.5%

Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in Alaska? (Bernadette Wilson)

Related contracts

PM Yes 21.5%Rules differK Yes 19.5%

Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in Alaska? (Tom Begich)

Related contracts

PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.7%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

14 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiEntertainment

Who Will Perform at Red Rocks in 2027?

K 316.0K contracts

Will Widespread Panic perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?Yes 89.5%

Will The String Cheese Incident perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?Yes 88.5%

Will The Avett Brothers perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?Yes 88.5%

+32 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC

Will Democratic win the House race for FL-25?Yes 82.5%

FL-25 House winner?

K 312.7K contracts

Will Republican win the House race for FL-25?Yes 17.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC