Browse prediction markets

Will Texas be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 34.5%

Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?

K 145.2K contracts

Will Kansas be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 24.5%

Will North Carolina be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 14.5%

+13 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Yes 3.1%

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

PM $769.6K

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 50.5%

KalshiWorld

When will the Riemann hypothesis win the Millennium Prize?

K 144.4K contracts

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2032?Yes 44.5%

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 27.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

Will Iran hold a presidential election by December 31?Yes 12%

Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?

PM $767.5K

PM $763.2K · K 100.5K contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?

Kalshi: Who will recognize Palestine? (Italy)

Related contracts

PM Yes 9%Rules differK Yes 6.7%

Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?

Kalshi: Who will recognize Palestine? (The Netherlands)

Related contracts

PM Yes 8.5%Rules differK Yes 6.9%

Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?

Kalshi: Who will recognize Palestine? (New Zealand)

Related contracts

PM Yes 8.5%Rules differK Yes 8.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

9 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Chuck Schumer win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?Yes 81.5%

Next Senate Democratic Leader?

K 143.4K contracts

Will Brian Schatz win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?Yes 7.6%

Will Chris Murphy win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?Yes 7.1%

+10 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2028 UTC

Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? (Alexi Giannoulias)Yes 62.5%

Chicago Mayor winner?

K 142.9K contracts

Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? (Brandon Johnson)Yes 16.5%

Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? (Susana Mendoza)Yes 4.5%

+14 moreNext deadline Feb 23, 2028 UTC

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes 34.5%

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

PM $761.2K

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Yes 22.5%

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Yes 5.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiWorld

Connecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026

K 140.9K contracts

Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 2,000 units?Yes 96.5%

Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 2,500 units?Yes 82.5%

Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 3,000 units?Yes 62.5%

+8 moreNext deadline May 10, 2027 UTC

Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?Yes 69.5%

Worlds 2026 Winning Region

PM $759.5K

Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?Yes 22.5%

Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?Yes 5.8%

+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Wisconsin Governor winner?

PM $726.2K · K 1.39M contracts

Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Wisconsin

Related contracts

PM Yes 80.5%Rules differK Yes 79.5%

Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Wisconsin

Related contracts

PM Yes 19.5%Rules differK Yes 19.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will legislation establishing permanent Daylight Saving Time become law before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 37.5%

Will Daylight Saving Time become permanent?

K 140.3K contracts

Will legislation establishing permanent Daylight Saving Time become law before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 23%

Will permanent daylight savings become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8.1%

3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly 7 between Oct 12, 2026 and Oct 18, 2026?Yes 96%

How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/12-10/18)

K 140.1K contracts

Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly 6 between Oct 12, 2026 and Oct 18, 2026?Yes 1.5%

Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly 5 between Oct 12, 2026 and Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Nebraska Senate winner?

PM $722.6K · K 2.60M contracts

Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Nebraska?

Related contracts

PM Yes 70.5%Rules differK Yes 72.5%

Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Dan Osborn (as an independent)s win the Senate race in Nebraska?

Related contracts

PM Yes 29.5%Rules differK Yes 27.5%

Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Nebraska?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.4%Rules differK Yes <0.1%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will Democratic win the 2028 popular vote by 9.0% to 100.0%?Yes 23.5%

2028 popular vote margin of victory?

K 139.3K contracts

Will Democratic win the 2028 popular vote by 8.0% to 8.99%?Yes 9.5%

Will Democratic win the 2028 popular vote by 7.0% to 7.99%?Yes 8.5%

+17 moreNext deadline May 6, 2029 UTC

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 36.5%

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

PM $706.5K

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 27.5%

Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 25%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiSports

Pro Football: 4000+ Passing Yards Season

K 136.6K contracts

Will Joe Burrow record 4000+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 73%

Will Patrick Mahomes record 4000+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 64.5%

Will Matthew Stafford record 4000+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 64.5%

+27 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2027 UTC

Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?Yes 13.5%

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

PM $682.0K

Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?Yes 13.5%

Will Donald Trump visit Portugal in 2026?Yes 11.6%

+17 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiTech

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18)

K 136.5K contracts

Will there be more than 150 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 96.5%

Will there be more than 160 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 94.5%

Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 89%

+9 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC

Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes 0.9%

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

PM $677.8K

Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes 0.4%

Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes 0.3%

+20 more

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee?Yes 9.5%

2028 Presidential race: exact outcome

K 136.0K contracts

Will Jon Ossoff defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, with Jon Ossoff as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee?Yes 8.5%

Will JD Vance defeat Gavin Newsom in the 2028 presidential election, with Gavin Newsom as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee?Yes 8.5%

+29 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes 99.1%

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

PM $672.1K

Will Trump fire 0 Cabinet members before 2027?Yes 87%

How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026?

K 135.5K contracts

Will Trump fire 1 Cabinet members before 2027?Yes 3.5%

Will Trump fire 2 Cabinet members before 2027?Yes 3.2%

+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Yes 25.5%

Houthis enter Aden by...?

PM $669.2K

Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?Yes 13.5%

Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Yes 3.8%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 89.5%

Florida Senate margin of victory

K 135.2K contracts

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 84.5%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 68%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?Yes >99.9%

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

PM $667.7K

Will Russia target Kyiv on October 22, 2026?Yes 85.5%

Will Russia target Kyiv on October 27, 2026?Yes 85.5%

+12 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC

Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 4.9%

Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?

K 134.3K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.5%

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

PM $663.6K

Will Democratic win the House race for FL-22?Yes 55.5%

FL-22 House winner?

K 133.8K contracts

Will Republican win the House race for FL-22?Yes 44.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Yes 7.5%

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?

PM $657.9K

Will ARIRANG be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Albums of 2026 in U.S. (Physical & Digital Sales Combined), as Published by Billboard?Yes 81.5%

Top U.S. Selling Album (Physical and Digital Sales Combined): 2026

K 132.7K contracts

Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Albums of 2026 in U.S. (Physical & Digital Sales Combined), as Published by Billboard?Yes 7%

Will The Life of a Showgirl be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Albums of 2026 in U.S. (Physical & Digital Sales Combined), as Published by Billboard?Yes 2.5%

+15 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2027?Yes 16%

Erdoğan out by...?

PM $649.6K

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.6%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Republican win the House race for KY-06?Yes 69.5%

KY-06 House winner?

K 132.5K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for KY-06?Yes 30.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 3.6%

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

PM $642.4K

Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $50 billion event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026?Yes 96.5%

Robinhood event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026

K 131.8K contracts

Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $55 billion event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026?Yes 87.5%

Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $60 billion event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026?Yes 61.5%

+8 moreNext deadline May 12, 2027 UTC

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Yes 9.5%

Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

PM $640.6K

Will The Invite win Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 24.5%

KalshiSports

Critics Choice Awards: Best Comedy

K 130.5K contracts

Will Club Kid win Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 20.5%

Will The Debut win Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 12.5%

+13 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Yes 2.9%

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

PM $627.1K

Will Spencer Rattler be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 62%

KalshiWorld

NFL Players Traded

K 130.1K contracts

Will Jerry Jeudy be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 57%

Will Will McDonald IV be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 52.5%

+50 moreNext deadline Dec 15, 2026 UTC