Browse prediction markets

PM Yes 2.3%Rules differK Yes 4.5%

New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?

Kalshi: Will A New Episode of Stranger Things be released Worldwide before Jan 1, 2027?

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1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

2026 Game of the Year? (Grand Theft Auto VI)Yes 80.5%

The Game Awards: Game of the Year

K 2.53M contracts

2026 Game of the Year? (Phantom Blade Zero)Yes 7.5%

2026 Game of the Year? (Resident Evil Requiem)Yes 6.5%

+23 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 95.5%

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

PM $17.66M

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 3.9%

Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 0.1%

+11 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

KalshiCompanies

Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

K 2.09M contracts

Who will IPO before 2027? (Anthropic)Yes 70.5%

Who will IPO before 2027? (Discord)Yes 11%

Who will IPO before 2027? (Skims)Yes 6.5%

+24 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiClimate

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

PM $8.13M · K 629.5K contracts

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Kalshi: Will there be more than 5000 measles cases in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 97.9%Rules differK Yes 96.5%

Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Kalshi: Will there be more than 6000 measles cases in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 88.5%Rules differK Yes 84.5%

Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Kalshi: Will there be more than 7000 measles cases in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 53%Rules differK Yes 56%

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4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiTech

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

PM $5.43M · K 14.73M contracts

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Gemini)

Related contracts

PM Yes 73.8%Rules differK Yes 36.9%

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Claude)

Related contracts

PM Yes 47.5%Rules differK Yes 45.6%

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Claude)

Related contracts

PM Yes 25.5%Rules differK Yes 45.6%

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15 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiScience and Technology

Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

K 2.02M contracts

Hantavirus Public Health Emergency of International Concern by 2026?Yes 3.9%

Will Zohran Mamdani be Time Person of the Year in 2026?Yes 28.5%

Time's Person of the Year for 2026

K 1.87M contracts

Will Pope Leo XIV be Time Person of the Year in 2026?Yes 17%

Will Mark Carney be Time Person of the Year in 2026?Yes 12.5%

+39 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Yes 2.9%

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

PM $5.28M

Will Erling Haaland be in the 1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 17%

#1 searched person on Google in 2026

K 1.64M contracts

Will Bad Bunny be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 11.5%

Will Donald Trump be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 6.5%

+13 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes 80.5%

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

PM $3.79M

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes 19.5%

Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Yes 0.3%

+3 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Street Fighter Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 32)Yes 99.5%

Street Fighter · Rotten Tomatoes score

K 1.51M contracts

Street Fighter Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 30)Yes 99.5%

Street Fighter Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 25)Yes 99.5%

+17 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes 92%

Bachelorette Season 22 Winner

PM $2.47M

Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes 1.6%

Will Michael Baba win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes 1.1%

+20 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

K 1.51M contracts

Will it be reported that at least one million Americans have received checks of at least $1000 directly attributable to tariff revenue?Yes 3.3%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes 56.5%

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

PM $2.43M

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes 44.5%

Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes <0.1%

+1 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiCulture

Oscar nominees: Best Picture

K 1.31M contracts

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (The Odyssey)Yes 97.5%

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (The Black Ball)Yes 94.5%

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (Wild Horse Nine)Yes 87.5%

+50 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?Yes 18%

Taylor Swift pregnant by...?

PM $2.06M

Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the Oscars?Yes 39.5%

Oscar Winner: Best Actor

K 1.29M contracts

Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the Oscars?Yes 20%

Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the Oscars?Yes 17.5%

+22 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiCulture

Top artist on Spotify in 2026?

PM $1.73M · K 816.5K contracts

Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?

Kalshi: Who will be the top Spotify artist this year? (Bad Bunny)

Related contracts

PM Yes 85.5%Rules differK Yes 85.5%

Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?

Kalshi: Who will be the top Spotify artist this year? (Taylor Swift)

Related contracts

PM Yes 10.3%Rules differK Yes 11.5%

Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?

Kalshi: Who will be the top Spotify artist this year? (Drake)

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.1%Rules differK Yes 3.5%

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9 saved comparisonsNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiCulture

Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond

PM $1.47M · K 2.55M contracts

Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?

Kalshi: Will Jack Lowden be the next James Bond?

Related contracts

PM Yes 26.8%Rules differK Yes 33.5%

Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?

Kalshi: Will Callum Turner be the next James Bond?

Related contracts

PM Yes 19.5%Rules differK Yes 31.5%

Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?

Kalshi: Will Josh O'Connor be the next James Bond?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.3%Rules differK Yes 23.5%

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19 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiCompanies

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

K 1.26M contracts

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 85.5%

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? (Before Mar 1, 2027)Yes 83%

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? (Before Feb 1, 2027)Yes 73.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

Sense and Sensibility Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 70)Yes 99.5%

Sense and Sensibility · Rotten Tomatoes score

K 1.25M contracts

Sense and Sensibility Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 65)Yes 99.5%

Sense and Sensibility Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 60)Yes 99.5%

+9 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes 15%

Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?

PM $1.40M

1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiEntertainment

Top Artist on Spotify U.S. 2026

K 1.18M contracts

Will Drake be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 82.5%

Will Taylor Swift be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 11%

Will Bad Bunny be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 3.5%

+13 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 31.3%

Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?

PM $1.30M

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 27.6%

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 16.9%

+9 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

Who will headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show? (Miley Cyrus)Yes 45.5%

Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Headliner(s)

K 1.18M contracts

Who will headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show? (JAY-Z)Yes 42.5%

Who will headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show? (Harry Styles)Yes 19.5%

+54 moreNext deadline Feb 15, 2027 UTC

Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes 0.4%

Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?

PM $1.06M

1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiCompanies

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

K 1.16M contracts

Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (Anthropic)Yes 74%

Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (OpenAI)Yes 16.5%

Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (Google)Yes 3.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2027?Yes 45%

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?

PM $1.06M

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by June 30, 2027?Yes 29%

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?Yes 1.7%

3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

You Can See Everything Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 95)Yes 99.5%

You Can See Everything · Rotten Tomatoes score

K 1.10M contracts

You Can See Everything Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 94)Yes 99.5%

You Can See Everything Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 92)Yes 99.5%

+14 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes 3%

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

PM $864.5K

1 mktNext deadline Nov 20, 2026 UTC

KalshiEconomics

Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?

K 1.10M contracts

Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Unusual Machines?Yes 31.5%

Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Anduril?Yes 24%

Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Neros Technologies?Yes 20.5%

+15 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Weed rescheduled by December 31?Yes 7.8%

Weed rescheduled by...?

PM $820.0K

Will Hugh Jackman perform as Wolverine in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes 92%

Avengers: Doomsday: Cast

K 944.1K contracts

Will Ryan Reynolds perform as Deadpool in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes 90.5%

Will Benedict Cumberbatch perform as Doctor Strange in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes 90%

+16 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?Yes 22%

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?

PM $752.7K

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.2%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiScience and Technology

US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?

K 833.7K contracts

Will a new nuclear reactor be approved by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 6.3%

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?Yes 2.5%

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

PM $595.2K

PM $539.8K · K 51.8K contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Who will be arrested before 2027?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 6.9%Rules differK Yes 5%

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31?

Kalshi: Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 5.1%Rules differK Yes 5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? (Above 120)Yes 98.5%

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

K 741.1K contracts

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? (Above 140)Yes 79.5%

How many launches will SpaceX have in Dec 2026? (Above 145)Yes 27.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

KalshiCulture

Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album · Features

K 714.4K contracts

Will SZA be featured on Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album?Yes 99.5%

Will Rauw Alejandro be featured on Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album?Yes 99.5%

Will PinkPantheress be featured on Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album?Yes 99.5%

+127 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes 58.5%

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

PM $525.0K

Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes 35%

Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes 1.1%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiScience and Technology

When will Anthropic release Mythos?

K 713.7K contracts

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 10%

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 2.5%

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 1.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

Plague pandemic in 2026?Yes 1.8%

Plague pandemic in 2026?

PM $493.0K