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Showing 97-144 of 1,817 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
PolymarketKalshiTech
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
PM $277.7K · K 140.2K contractsWill a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
Kalshi: Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
Related contracts
PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 8%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
K 413.9K contractsWill the FDA approve Any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?Yes 20.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
New Jersey gas prices this week
K 408.0K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $4.2200?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2000?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1800?Yes 99.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Bank of Japan rate decision in December
PM $264.4K · K 34.7K contractsNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of Japan Maintain current rate at the December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 96.5%Rules differK Yes 28%
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of Japan Maintain current rate at the October 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 96.5%Rules differK Yes 94.5%
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of Japan Hike 25bps at the December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 72%Rules differK Yes 71.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
13 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026
K 404.4K contractsWill Washington statewide seasonally adjusted employment in Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services for December 2026 be above 235,000 jobs?Yes 98.5%
Will Washington statewide seasonally adjusted employment in Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services for December 2026 be above 240,000 jobs?Yes 97.5%
Will Washington statewide seasonally adjusted employment in Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services for December 2026 be above 245,000 jobs?Yes 95.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
PM $245.4KFed emergency rate cut before 2027?Yes 3.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
DeepSeek market share this week
K 403.1K contractsDeepSeek market share this week? (Above 23.9%)Yes 99.5%
DeepSeek market share this week? (Above 23.2%)Yes 99.5%
DeepSeek market share this week? (Above 21.7%)Yes 99.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PM $242.0KWill the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?Yes 59%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?Yes 37.5%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?Yes 22%
+1 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
K 395.3K contractsWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?
PM $188.0KWill Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?Yes 55.5%
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?Yes 13.5%
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026?Yes 12.4%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Will Stripe acquire PayPal this year?
PM $187.0K · K 29.8K contractsWill Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Stripe and Advent International (collectively) announce acquisition of PayPal before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.6%Rules differK Yes 5.5%
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Stripe and Advent International (collectively) announce acquisition of PayPal before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 5.5%Rules differK Yes 5.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
South Dakota corn yield in 2026
K 389.8K contractsWill South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 125 bu/acre?Yes 98.5%
Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 130 bu/acre?Yes 98%
Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 135 bu/acre?Yes 96.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How high will gas prices in California get this year?
K 387.6K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above or below $6.60 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 36.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above or below $6.80 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 30.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above or below $7.00 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 16%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
PM $184.2KWill the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Yes 81.6%
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Yes 18.7%
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Yes 0.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
K 386.7K contractsWill a human case of Ebola disease in Central African Republic be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 71.5%
Will a human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 34.5%
Will a human case of Ebola disease in Somalia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 29.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026?
PM $177.8KWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in October?Yes 80.5%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $58 in October?Yes 76.8%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 in October?Yes 54.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
How high will Brazil inflation get this year?
PM $168.3K · K 19.4K contractsWill Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be at least 7.00%?
Kalshi: Will Brazil annual inflation rate before 2027 be above 7.00%?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
K 332.3K contractsWill a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 83.2%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 58.5%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 29.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Arizona vs Los Angeles R: Touchdowns
K 309.8K contractsKyren Williams: 1+ touchdownsYes 64.5%
Puka Nacua: 1+ touchdownsYes 57.5%
Davante Adams: 1+ touchdownsYes 52.5%
+46 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
PM $165.3KWill Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Yes 37.5%
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?Yes 37.2%
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?Yes 7.4%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Buffalo vs Las Vegas: Touchdowns
K 306.9K contractsJames Cook III: 1+ touchdownsYes 57.5%
Josh Allen: 1+ touchdownsYes 57.5%
Ashton Jeanty: 1+ touchdownsYes 53.5%
+49 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomics
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
PM $161.6KWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?Yes 97.1%
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?Yes 2.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
CPI YoY in December
K 304.1K contractsWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.0% for the year ending in December 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.2% for the year ending in December 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.1% for the year ending in December 2026?Yes 94.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Apr 14, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
PM $157.5KWill Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?Yes 7%
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?Yes 4%
Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?Yes 3.3%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in November
PM $156.8K · K 25.2K contractsNo change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of Australia maintain the current rate at the November Monetary Policy Board meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 82.5%Rules differK Yes 81%
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of Australia maintain the current rate at the November Monetary Policy Board meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 70%Rules differK Yes 81%
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of Australia hike 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Board meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 21.5%Rules differK Yes 16.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
8 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: Touchdowns
K 291.4K contractsJaylen Warren: 1+ touchdownsYes 43.5%
Bucky Irving: 1+ touchdownsYes 35.5%
DK Metcalf: 1+ touchdownsYes 31.5%
+39 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
NYC median asking rent in December 2026
K 288.2K contractsWill New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $3,800?Yes 94.5%
Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $3,900?Yes 80.5%
Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,000?Yes 38.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027?
PM $150.4KWill Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes 5.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Washington vs San Francisco: Touchdowns
K 277.2K contractsChristian McCaffrey: 1+ touchdownsYes 69.5%
Mike Evans: 1+ touchdownsYes 52.5%
George Kittle: 1+ touchdownsYes 46.5%
+44 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?
PM $146.6KWill Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?Yes 75.5%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?Yes 24%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31?Yes 11.8%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
K 271.9K contractsWill **real GDP** increase by more than 0.0% in Q3 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.5% in Q3 2026?Yes 99%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q3 2026?Yes 97.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PM $146.5KWill Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?Yes 45.5%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $8B by December 31?Yes 38%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?Yes 37%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Where will Waymo operate in 2026?
K 271.1K contractsWill Waymo operate ride-hailing in Denver, CO before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 95.5%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Las Vegas, NV before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 86%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Sacramento, CA before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 16.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
PM $141.0KWill the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?Yes 67.7%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?Yes 18.5%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be less than 1.0%?Yes 5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 21, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Number of rate hikes in 2026?
K 270.1K contractsWill there be exactly 2 Fed rate hikes in 2026?Yes 69.5%
Will there be exactly 1 Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 25.5%
Will there be exactly 3 Fed rate hikes in 2026?Yes 8.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
PM $140.5KWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 in October?Yes 91.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in October?Yes 60%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?Yes 58%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Baltimore vs Cleveland: 1st Touchdown
K 267.6K contractsDerrick Henry: 1st TouchdownYes 19.5%
Zay Flowers: 1st TouchdownYes 8.5%
Denzel Boston: 1st TouchdownYes 7.5%
+21 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will USD/KRW hit __ in 2026?
PM $137.6KWill USD/KRW hit 1300 (Low) in 2026?Yes 40.5%
Will USD/KRW hit 1200 (Low) in 2026?Yes 12%
Will USD/KRW hit 1100 (Low) in 2026?Yes 10.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Best AI this week
K 259.7K contractsBest AI this week (Gemini)Yes 99.5%
Best AI this week (Grok)Yes 0.5%
Best AI this week (ChatGPT)Yes 0.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PM $133.8KWill the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?Yes 27.5%
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?Yes 21.5%
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?Yes 14%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed decision in Jan 2027?
K 249.7K contractsWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their January 2027 meeting?Yes 61.5%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their January 2027 meeting?Yes 32.5%
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their January 2027 meeting?Yes 2.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Apr 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Tesla Optimus released this year?
PM $132.9K · K 433.3K contractsWill Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Tesla Optimus on sale before 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 12%Rules differK Yes 5.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Starlink officially announce an IPO?
K 242.1K contractsWhen will Starlink IPO? (Before Jun 30, 2027)Yes 5.5%
When will Starlink IPO? (Before May 1, 2027)Yes 4.5%
When will Starlink IPO? (Before Mar 1, 2027)Yes 4%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiFinance
Will a NYSE marketwide circuitbreaker happen this year?
PM $132.3K · K 193.7K contractsNYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Kalshi: Will a NYSE marketwide circuitbreaker happen before 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 10.5%Rules differK Yes 7.3%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
K 241.4K contractsWill Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 87.5 TWh?Yes 96.5%
Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 90.0 TWh?Yes 95.5%
Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 92.5 TWh?Yes 94.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PM $126.9KWill the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?Yes 65%
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?Yes 29.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?
K 238.6K contractsWill OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 13, 2026?Yes 36%
Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 6, 2026?Yes 34%
Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Oct 30, 2026?Yes 18%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
PM $126.9KWill Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Yes 33%
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?Yes 29.8%
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLDE?Yes 4.8%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC