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Showing 385-432 of 7,040 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Texas Governor margin of victory
K 110.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 73.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 65.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 39.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Israel annex any territory by...?
PM $536.3KWill Israel annex any territory by June 30?Yes 13%
Will Israel annex any territory by March 31?Yes 10.5%
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Yes 4.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)
K 110.3K contractsWill there be more than 170 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 86%
Will there be more than 185 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 76.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
PM $533.6KUkraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
2028 Republican Presidential ticket
K 109.9K contractsWill JD Vance and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?Yes 27.5%
Will Marco Rubio and JD Vance be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?Yes 8.2%
Will JD Vance and Erika Kirk be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?Yes 5.3%
+22 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Tim Walz charged by...?
PM $525.4KTim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
South Carolina Senate margin of victory
K 108.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 81.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 73.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 48.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Who will Trump pardon in 2026?
PM $519.7K · K 556.6K contractsWill Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Keonne Rodriguez receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 10.5%Rules differK Yes 10.6%
Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Elizabeth Holmes receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 4.5%Rules differK Yes 8.1%
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Roger Ver receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 5.4%Rules differK Yes 7.6%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
13 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?
K 108.4K contractsWill Samuel Alito resign during Trump's term?Yes 64.5%
Will Clarence Thomas resign during Trump's term?Yes 46.5%
Will John Roberts resign during Trump's term?Yes 18.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
PM $514.3KWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will a cabinet member be impeached?
K 107.7K contractsWill any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 73%
Will any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 65.5%
Will any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 55%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?
PM $510.0KWill the US announce a diesel export ban by December 31?Yes 11%
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Yes 2.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Nevada Governor winner?
PM $495.0K · K 1.63M contractsWill the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Nevada
Related contracts
PM Yes 57.5%Rules differK Yes 55.5%
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Nevada
Related contracts
PM Yes 41.5%Rules differK Yes 44.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many reconciliation bills will become law from Nov 25, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026?
K 107.1K contractsWill exactly 1 reconciliation bill become law from Nov 25, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026?Yes 64.5%
Will exactly 2 reconciliation bills become law from Nov 25, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026?Yes 32%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes?
K 106.9K contractsWill a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 40.5%
Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 39.5%
Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 23.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?
PM $487.1KWill Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage?
K 105.5K contractsWill the Supreme Court overturn marriage equality?Yes 8.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?
PM $485.7KNATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will a GOP member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment?
K 105.0K contractsWill any Republican member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 48.5%
Will any Republican member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 40.5%
Will any Republican member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 27%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
PM $478.6KIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Iowa ethanol production in 2026
K 103.8K contractsWill Iowa ethanol production for 2026 be above 4.3 billion gallons?Yes 97%
Will Iowa ethanol production for 2026 be above 4.4 billion gallons?Yes 96%
Will Iowa ethanol production for 2026 be above 4.5 billion gallons?Yes 79.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?
PM $476.3KWill Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes 69.5%
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes 3.2%
Will Sepp Müller be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes 1.5%
+9 more
KalshiSports
Gianni Infantino out as President of FIFA in 2026
K 103.2K contractsWill Gianni Infantino leave from being President of FIFA in 2026?Yes 10%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
PM $469.5KJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 2nd place?
K 102.9K contractsWill SNSD finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?Yes 77.5%
Will NiP finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?Yes 47%
Will SDA finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?Yes 19.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Oct 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
SBF released from custody in 2026?
PM $468.2KSBF released from custody in 2026?Yes 2.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Maine Senate margin of victory
K 102.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Maine be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 37%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Maine be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 26.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Maine be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 15%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?
PM $466.3KWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?Yes 83%
Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?Yes 23%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Wisconsin total milk production in 2026
K 100.7K contractsWill Wisconsin’s total milk production for 2026 be above 32.75 billion pounds?Yes 96.5%
Will Wisconsin’s total milk production for 2026 be above 33.00 billion pounds?Yes 92.5%
Will Wisconsin’s total milk production for 2026 be above 33.25 billion pounds?Yes 59.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?
PM $463.6KWill Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?Yes 86.5%
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?Yes 78%
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?Yes 75%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Elon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026
K 98.5K contractsWill Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $600 billion?Yes 91%
Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $500 billion?Yes 89%
Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $700 billion?Yes 81%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?
PM $460.6KU.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?Yes 12.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?
K 98.0K contractsWill Mike Johnson win the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress?Yes 32.5%
Will Jim Jordan win the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress?Yes 30.5%
Will Steve Scalise win the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress?Yes 13%
+13 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?
PM $458.2KIsraeli forces enter Nabatieh by December 31?Yes 9.2%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Ohio Governor winner?
PM $457.4K · K 2.65M contractsWill the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Ohio
Related contracts
PM Yes 72.5%Rules differK Yes 70.5%
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Ohio
Related contracts
PM Yes 27.5%Rules differK Yes 30.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NV-02 House winner?
K 97.7K contractsWill Republican win the House race for NV-02?Yes 73.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for NV-02?Yes 27.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory
PM $457.2K · K 104.8K contractsWill "Leave" win the Alberta independence referendum?
Kalshi: Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada before the next general election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.4%Rules differK Yes 15%
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada before the next general election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.4%Rules differK Yes 15%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?
K 97.0K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that New Hampshire holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 86%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Iowa holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 8%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that South Carolina holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 4.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Mamdani tax billion-dollar incomes in 2026?
K 95.5K contractsWill become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 5.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?
PM $449.5KWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Yes 23.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will visit the White House in 2026?
K 94.7K contractsWill Mark Carney visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 53.5%
Will Hakeem Jeffries visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 36.5%
Will Abdel Fattah al-Sisi visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 32.5%
+19 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
PM $446.6KUS x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 12%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-09 House winner?
K 94.2K contractsWill Republican win the House race for FL-09?Yes 71.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-09?Yes 28.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
PM $446.3KWill oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes 62.7%
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes 31.4%
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes 3.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Minnesota Senate margin of victory
K 93.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 84%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 75.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 61%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
PM $434.9KWill Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes 98.6%
Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes 97.7%
Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes 97.5%
+19 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?
K 93.4K contractsWill government spending decrease by 1 before 2028?Yes 5.5%
Will government spending decrease by $200 billion before 2028?Yes 5.5%
Will government spending decrease by $750 billion before 2028?Yes 5.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)
PM $429.8KIsraeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?Yes 25%
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Yes 6.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC