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Showing 433-480 of 7,549 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

Will Mamdani tax billion-dollar incomes in 2026?
K 95.5K contractsWill become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 5.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

US x Cuba economic deal by...?
PM $446.7KUS x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 12%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate

Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 18, 2026?
K 95.3K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 56-57° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 89.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 58-59° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 10.5%
Will the maximum temperature be >61° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
PM $446.3KWill oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes 62.7%
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes 31.4%
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes 3.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Who will visit the White House in 2026?
K 94.7K contractsWill Mark Carney visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 53.5%
Will Hakeem Jeffries visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 36.5%
Will Abdel Fattah al-Sisi visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 32.5%
+19 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
PM $434.9KWill Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes 98.6%
Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes 97.7%
Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes 97.3%
+19 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

FL-09 House winner?
K 94.2K contractsWill Republican win the House race for FL-09?Yes 71.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-09?Yes 28.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)
PM $429.8KIsraeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?Yes 25%
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Yes 6.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas?
K 94.2K contractsWhat will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Wichita, Kansas originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (Transgender)Yes 98%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Wichita, Kansas originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (Save America Act)Yes 95.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Wichita, Kansas originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (Farm / Farmer)Yes 95.5%
+32 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
PM $426.7KWill China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Yes 3.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Minnesota Senate margin of victory
K 93.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 84%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 75.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 61%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
PM $426.1KWill Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes 75.5%
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes 25.5%
Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes <0.1%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?
K 93.4K contractsWill government spending decrease by 1 before 2028?Yes 5.5%
Will government spending decrease by $200 billion before 2028?Yes 5.5%
Will government spending decrease by $750 billion before 2028?Yes 5.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?
PM $422.7KPerim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Yes 30%
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?Yes 20%
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Yes 6.2%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Georgia Governor-Senate combo
K 92.8K contractsWill Georgia Governor winner be Republican party and Georgia Senate winner be Democratic party?Yes 52.5%
Will Georgia Governor winner be Democratic party and Georgia Senate winner be Democratic party?Yes 46.5%
Will Georgia Governor winner be Republican party and Georgia Senate winner be Republican party?Yes 3.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Next Premier of Quebec
PM $422.7KWill Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes 99.9%
Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes 0.1%
Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes 0.1%
+4 more
KalshiTech

Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026?
K 92.7K contractsRain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 65%
Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 9.5%
Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 3.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
PM $419.4KUS reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?
K 92.4K contractsWill Pete Buttigieg be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?Yes 29%
Will Andy Beshear be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?Yes 19.5%
Will Gavin Newsom be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?Yes 14%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Israel military action against Beirut by...?
PM $419.4KIsrael military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?Yes 12.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Israeli legislative election winner?
K 92.2K contractsWill Yashar win the next Israeli legislative election? (Yashar)Yes 67%
Who will win the next Israeli legislative election? (Likud)Yes 31.5%
Will Together win the next Israeli legislative election? (Together)Yes 2%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
PM $410.7KWill Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes 94%
Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes 3.1%
Will Marco Rubio be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes 2%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

"Housewife" by Tate McRae · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Oct 31, 2026)
K 91.7K contractsWill "Housewife" rank No. 3–4 on Billboard Hot 100?Yes 41.5%
Will "Housewife" rank No. 1–2 on Billboard Hot 100?Yes 33%
Will "Housewife" rank No. 5–6 on Billboard Hot 100?Yes 4%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
PM $408.9KIAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Yes 11.5%
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Yes 2.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Vancouver mayoral election winner?
K 91.4K contractsWill Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Yes 99.2%
Will Gölök Z. Buday win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Yes 0.5%
Will Muhammad Ahmad win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Yes 0.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 17, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
PM $408.8KWill ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes 91%
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Yes 8.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

CO-05 House winner?
K 91.4K contractsWill Republican win the House race for CO-05?Yes 76.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for CO-05?Yes 24.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Trump meets with Putin by...?
PM $407.3KTrump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes 82.5%
Trump meets with Putin by November 30?Yes 76.5%
Trump meets with Putin by October 31?Yes 1.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MercadoLibre items sold in 2026
K 90.2K contractsWill MercadoLibre Inc. report Above 3 billion items sold in 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will MercadoLibre Inc. report Above 3.1 billion items sold in 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will MercadoLibre Inc. report Above 3.05 billion items sold in 2026?Yes 95.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?
PM $406.2KWill Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027?Yes 58%
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?Yes 33%
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Yes 12.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Trump impose martial law?
K 89.6K contractsWill Trump impose martial law before his term ends?Yes 42%
Will Trump impose martial law before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 31%
Will Trump impose martial law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 21%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
PM $402.4KU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?Yes 14.7%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?Yes 14%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?Yes 10.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?
K 89.1K contractsWill New York City experience population change between 0.01% and 0.99% during 2025-2027?Yes 39.5%
Will New York City experience population change between -0.99% and 0% during 2025-2027?Yes 32.5%
Will New York City experience population change between 1% and 1.99% during 2025-2027?Yes 7%
+5 moreNext deadline Jun 1, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Modi out by December 31, 2026?
PM $398.9KModi out by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld

What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?
K 89.0K contractsWill the Secretary of State visit India before 2027?Yes 97.5%
Will the Secretary of State visit Uzbekistan before 2027?Yes 95.5%
Will the Secretary of State visit Switzerland before 2027?Yes 27.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Jimmy Lai released by...?
PM $391.2KJimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?Yes 5.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

How many billionaires will New York City lose this year?
K 89.0K contractsHow many billionaires will New York City lose this year? (At least 1)Yes 55%
How many billionaires will New York City lose this year? (At least 2)Yes 45%
How many billionaires will New York City lose this year? (At least 3)Yes 27%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
PM $388.7KWill Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes 89%
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes 43%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes 40.5%
+33 moreNext deadline Apr 19, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas Governor-Senate combo
K 88.3K contractsWill Texas Governor winner be Republican party and Texas Senate winner be Democratic party?Yes 40%
Will Texas Governor winner be Republican party and Texas Senate winner be Republican party?Yes 37.5%
Will Texas Governor winner be Democratic party and Texas Senate winner be Democratic party?Yes 23.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by...?
PM $375.6KMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Manchin Senate combo: Rogers & Collins
K 87.3K contractsManchin Senate combo: Both lose?Yes 55%
Manchin Senate combo: Both win?Yes 23.5%
Manchin Senate combo: Rogers loses, Collins wins?Yes 19.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics

New Hampshire Senate winner?
PM $365.3K · K 2.15M contractsWill the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in New Hampshire?
Related contracts
PM Yes 90.5%Rules differK Yes 89.5%
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in New Hampshire?
Related contracts
PM Yes 10.5%Rules differK Yes 10.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027?
K 86.9K contractsWill Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027?Yes 2.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Lecornu out as French PM by...?
PM $364.0KLecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?Yes 20.5%
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31, 2026?Yes 10.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Trump add a 51st state to the US?
K 86.6K contractsWill the United States add another state before date?Yes 13%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?
PM $361.8KWill Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate

Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 18, 2026?
K 85.9K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 82-83° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the maximum temperature be >87° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
Will the maximum temperature be <80° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
PM $361.0KWill there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes 90.6%
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Yes 9.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC