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Explore the full Polymarket and Kalshi catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
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Showing 49-96 of 840 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 17 - Oct 18)?
K 226.1K contractsWill it rain in West Palm Beach between Oct 17 and Oct 18, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will it rain in Trenton between Oct 17 and Oct 18, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will it rain in Seattle between Oct 17 and Oct 18, 2026?Yes 99.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
When will the Danube River return to normal levels?
PM $150.5KWill the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?Yes 86.2%
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Yes 12.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Where will it rain on Oct 18, 2026?
K 216.1K contractsWill it rain in Miami on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will it rain in West Palm Beach on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49%
Will it rain in Phoenix on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 27%
+32 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
PM $147.8KMajor volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Yes 8.2%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which agencies will Trump eliminate?
K 200.4K contractsWill USAID be eliminated?Yes 17.5%
Will EPA be eliminated?Yes 11.3%
Will IRS be eliminated?Yes 7.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PM $142.8KWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
K 193.9K contractsWill Claude be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?Yes 28.5%
Will Gemini be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?Yes 15.5%
Will ChatGPT be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?Yes 6.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
When will the Rhine River return to normal levels?
PM $134.0KWill the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Yes 55%
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?Yes 44.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
K 184.8K contractsWill OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?Yes 13%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Tesla Optimus released this year?
PM $132.9K · K 433.3K contractsWill Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Tesla Optimus on sale before 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 12%Rules differK Yes 5.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
K 171.3K contractsWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii during the 2026 hurricane season?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Wuhan on October 18?
PM $127.6KWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?Yes 99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiScience
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
K 171.2K contractsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? (United States)Yes 56.5%
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? (China)Yes 30.9%
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? (Russia)Yes 1.7%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2031 UTC
PolymarketClimate
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
PM $117.5K1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?Yes 1.6%
1 mktNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 158.2K contractsAbove 0 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026Yes 17.5%
Above 1 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026Yes 12.5%
Above 2 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026Yes 11%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketScience
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?
PM $111.3KRussia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?Yes 4.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
K 157.1K contractsWhat kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Clip-on device for clothing)Yes 8.5%
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Earbuds/Headphones)Yes 7%
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Glasses)Yes 6.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?
PM $104.4KWill the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?Yes 74%
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?Yes 27%
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25?Yes 2.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate
How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
K 152.8K contractsWill there be more than 1 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?Yes 19.5%
Will there be more than 2 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?Yes 8.5%
Will there be more than 3 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?Yes 4.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketScience
Another pneumonic plague case in Russia by...?
PM $94.8KWill a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?Yes 1.9%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
K 146.7K contractsWhat will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? (Oil)Yes 62.5%
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? (Coal)Yes 13.5%
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? (Gas)Yes 6.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 30, 2032 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 17?
PM $91.2KWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 17?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on October 17?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 17?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiScience and Technology
Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
K 145.4K contractsWill a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?Yes 54.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketClimate
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
PM $86.1KWill 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Yes 4%
Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Yes 1.8%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 11, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
K 145.3K contractsWho will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? (Donald Trump)Yes 52%
Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? (Bill Clinton)Yes 50.5%
Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? (Naomi Campbell)Yes 45%
+15 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Munich on October 18?
PM $76.4KWill the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 18?Yes 93.5%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 18?Yes 6.7%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 18?Yes 0.4%
+8 more
KalshiWorld
When will the Riemann hypothesis win the Millennium Prize?
K 144.4K contractsWill a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 50.5%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2032?Yes 44.5%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 27.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 18?
PM $73.7KWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiClimate and Weather
Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026?
K 135.7K contractsTotal snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 97.5%
Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 10 inches)Yes 97.5%
Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 15 inches)Yes 92.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
PM $73.5KWill there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Yes 97.7%
Will there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Yes 2.1%
Will there be 7+ hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Yes <0.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Anthropic market share this week
K 132.1K contractsAnthropic market share this week? (Above 4.5%)Yes 99.5%
Anthropic market share this week? (Above 4.0%)Yes 99.5%
Anthropic market share this week? (Above 3.8%)Yes 99.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 16?
PM $61.2KWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 16?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on October 16?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 16?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiWorld
NFL Players Traded
K 129.4K contractsWill Jonah Elliss be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 60%
Will Jerry Jeudy be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 57.5%
Will Spencer Rattler be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 56.5%
+50 moreNext deadline Dec 15, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 18?
PM $61.1KWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiSports
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score
K 128.6K contractsGemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? (above 1490)Yes 28%
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? (above 1505)Yes 27.5%
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? (above 1510)Yes 27%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketScience
How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
PM $60.3KWill there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Yes 76.1%
Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Yes 20%
Will there be 50 or more West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Yes 3.7%
+1 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
When will Big Sky open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 128.6K contractsWill Big Sky open before Dec 13, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Big Sky open before Dec 6, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Big Sky open before Nov 29, 2026?Yes 93.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?
PM $60.1KWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?Yes 8.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?
K 122.9K contractsWill Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?Yes 10.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 8, 2099 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Beijing on October 18?
PM $55.9KWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiScience and Technology
Number of data centers in Pennsylvania this year?
K 119.2K contractsWill Pennsylvania have at least 180 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 74.5%
Will Pennsylvania have at least 185 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 64.5%
Will Pennsylvania have at least 190 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 57.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Madrid on October 18?
PM $55.0KWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on October 18?Yes 98.9%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on October 18?Yes 0.9%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on October 18?Yes 0.2%
+8 more
KalshiTech
New Orleans vs New York G: Receiving Yards
K 113.4K contractsJuwan Johnson: 15+ receiving yardsYes 84.5%
Chris Olave: 40+ receiving yardsYes 83.5%
Isaiah Likely: 25+ receiving yardsYes 82.5%
+87 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 18?
PM $50.6KWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 18?Yes 99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiTech
When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
K 112.1K contractsWill OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 33%
Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 21%
Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 8.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 18?
PM $50.6KWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiTech
What will Bernie say during his rally in Melbourne?
K 108.9K contractsWhat will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Melbourne originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Working Class)Yes 99.5%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Melbourne originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Tax Break)Yes 99.5%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Melbourne originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Social Security)Yes 99.5%
+24 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Chongqing on October 18?
PM $49.8KWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more