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Showing 289-336 of 1,794 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEconomics
Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027?
K 80.9K contractsWill the IMF declare a global recession before 2027?Yes 2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
ECB Interest Rates: December 2026
PM $35.6KWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?Yes 82.5%
Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?Yes 15%
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?Yes 1.8%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 17, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
PM $34.7K · K 3.30M contractsObama federally charged before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Barack Obama be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?
Needs review
PM Yes 4.5%Review neededK Yes 4.7%
Obama federally charged before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Barack Obama be arrested before Jan 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 4.5%Rules differK Yes 2.7%
Obama arrested before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Barack Obama be arrested before Jan 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.7%Rules differK Yes 2.7%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Rivian total vehicles delivered in 2026
K 79.3K contractsWill Rivian Automotive Inc. report Above 38000 total vehicles delivered in 2026?Yes 96%
Will Rivian Automotive Inc. report Above 40000 total vehicles delivered in 2026?Yes 95%
Will Rivian Automotive Inc. report Above 42000 total vehicles delivered in 2026?Yes 92.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
US credit rating downgrade in 2026?
K 79.2K contractsWill the U.S. credit rating be downgraded by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomics
US real GDP growth in 2026?
PM $34.0K · K 422.4K contractsNegative GDP growth in 2026?
Kalshi: GDP growth in 2026? (0.0% or Below)
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.1%Rules differK Yes 0.4%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 29, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US real GDP growth in 2032?
K 78.6K contractsGDP growth in 2032? (2.1% to 2.5%)Yes 16%
GDP growth in 2032? (1.1% to 1.5%)Yes 11%
GDP growth in 2032? (2.6% to 3.0%)Yes 11%
+11 moreNext deadline Feb 28, 2033 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?
PM $33.3KWill US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?Yes 23%
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by October 30, 2026?Yes 6%
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 260M by October 30, 2026?Yes 3%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 11, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026?
K 76.7K contractsWill U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP for FY2026 be below 5%?Yes 3.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)
PM $32.9KWill Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?Yes 41%
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Yes 29.5%
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?Yes 12%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Vermont maple syrup production in 2027
K 75.1K contractsWill Vermont’s maple syrup production for 2027 be above 2.7 million gallons?Yes 84.5%
Will Vermont’s maple syrup production for 2027 be above 2.8 million gallons?Yes 74.5%
Will Vermont’s maple syrup production for 2027 be above 2.9 million gallons?Yes 68.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jul 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Alphabet’s Market Cap end of October 2026?
PM $32.5KWill Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of October 2026?Yes 55%
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026?Yes 34.5%
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of October 2026?Yes 13.4%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Who will acquire Pinterest this year?
PM $32.0K · K 259.3K contractsWill OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?
Kalshi: Will OpenAI announce acquisition of Pinterest before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.1%Rules differK Yes 3.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Paper price index in November 2026
K 74.7K contractsWill the paper price index for November 2026 be above 275?Yes 84%
Will the paper price index for November 2026 be above 280?Yes 82.5%
Will the paper price index for November 2026 be above 285?Yes 29.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 15, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q3
K 74.6K contractsWill Southwest Airlines Company report Above $205 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $200 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $195 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?Yes 98.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Feb 19, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in October 2026?
PM $32.0KWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 in October?Yes 93.5%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 in October?Yes 71.5%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?Yes 61.9%
+13 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Core CPI in November
K 74.1K contractsWill CPI Core rise more than 0.0% in November?Yes 94.5%
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.1% in November?Yes 77.5%
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.2% in November?Yes 50%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 17, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth?
PM $31.9KIntuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?Yes 51.5%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 15% to 17.5%?Yes 23%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%?Yes 16.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How low will US gas prices get in 2026?
K 74.0K contractsWill average **gas prices** be below $3.60 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 23%
Will average **gas prices** be below $3.40 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 12.5%
Will average **gas prices** be below $3.20 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 12%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
JIO Platforms IPO by...?
PM $31.8KWill Jio Platforms IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 99.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Highest natural gas spot price in 2026
K 73.1K contractsWill the price of natural gas get above $4.00 per million BTU before January 1, 2027?Yes 72.5%
Will the price of natural gas get above $4.50 per million BTU before January 1, 2027?Yes 57.5%
Will the price of natural gas get above $5.00 per million BTU before January 1, 2027?Yes 46%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 14, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?
PM $31.5KLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Yes 7.6%
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by November 30?Yes 3.2%
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?Yes 0.6%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
PM $31.5KWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.32% in October?Yes 18.9%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.38% in October?Yes 12%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October?Yes 10.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What flavors will JUUL relaunch?
K 72.9K contractsWhen will JUUL release Mint to the public?Yes 10%
When will JUUL release Mango to the public?Yes 6.5%
When will JUUL release Crème Brûlée to the public?Yes 5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
California permitted housing units in 2026
K 72.4K contractsWill California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in 2026 be above 100,000?Yes 96.5%
Will California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in 2026 be above 105,000?Yes 90.5%
Will California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in 2026 be above 110,000?Yes 60.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomics
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
PM $31.5KWill no one dissent the December Fed decision?Yes 44.5%
Will one person dissent the December Fed decision?Yes 29.3%
Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?Yes 10.9%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
K 72.1K contractsWill the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 3.99% on Dec 31, 2027?Yes 94%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 3.74% on Dec 31, 2027?Yes 94%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 1.99% on Dec 31, 2027?Yes 92%
+22 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2028 UTC
PolymarketFinance
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?
PM $30.5KSpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?Yes 2.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
K 71.1K contractsWill Kevin Warsh say Central Bank at his Oct 2026 press conference?Yes 94.5%
Will Kevin Warsh say Good Day at his Oct 2026 press conference?Yes 94%
Will Kevin Warsh say Shock at his Oct 2026 press conference?Yes 80%
+44 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?
PM $30.3KTrump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
CPI in November
K 70.7K contractsWill CPI rise more than -0.1% in November 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in November 2026?Yes 78%
Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in November 2026?Yes 62.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 11, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomics
How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?
PM $30.1KWill no one dissent the October Fed decision?Yes 27.5%
Will two people dissent the October Fed decision?Yes 24.5%
Will three people dissent the October Fed decision?Yes 17.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?
K 70.4K contractsHow high will the price of fertilizer get this year? (Above $1000)Yes 8%
How high will the price of fertilizer get this year? (Above $1300)Yes 4%
How high will the price of fertilizer get this year? (Above $1200)Yes 4%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Nvidia’s Market Cap end of 2026?
PM $29.4KWill Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?Yes 24%
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?Yes 24%
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?Yes 18%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
CPI in December
K 70.0K contractsWill CPI rise more than -0.1% in December 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in December 2026?Yes 79.5%
Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in December 2026?Yes 73%
+8 moreNext deadline Apr 14, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Alphabet’s Market Cap end of 2026?
PM $29.1KWill Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?Yes 31%
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of 2026?Yes 25.5%
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?Yes 16.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Sweetgreen restaurant-level profit margin in Q3
K 68.4K contractsWill Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 6% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 7% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?Yes 91%
Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 8% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?Yes 72.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Mar 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on December 31?
PM $28.2KWill the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $397,000 on December 31?Yes 48.5%
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $397,000 and $407,000 on December 31?Yes 25.1%
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $407,000 and $417,000 on December 31?Yes 15%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 11, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Kentucky coal production in 2027
K 68.1K contractsWill Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 20 million short tons?Yes 86.5%
Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 22 million short tons?Yes 74%
Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 24 million short tons?Yes 38.5%
+3 moreNext deadline May 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
PM $27.7KBank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?Yes 69%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How low will US gas prices get in Oct 2026?
K 67.9K contractsWill average gas prices go below $4.30 by Oct 31, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will average gas prices go below $4.25 by Oct 31, 2026?Yes 68.5%
Will average gas prices go below $4.20 by Oct 31, 2026?Yes 42.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
PM $27.1KWill Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?Yes 33.5%
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?Yes 28%
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be at least $2.25T at the end of October 2026?Yes 15.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
K 67.4K contractsWill Florida visitors in 2026 be above 143.33 million visitors?Yes 22.5%
1 mktNext deadline Mar 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October 2026
PM $26.7KWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October?Yes 47%
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in October?Yes 43.5%
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in October?Yes 4.7%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arkansas broiler production in 2026
K 66.5K contractsWill Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 7.6 billion pounds?Yes 95.5%
Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 7.8 billion pounds?Yes 91.5%
Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 8.0 billion pounds?Yes 35%
+2 moreNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Amazon 2026 capex above ___?
PM $26.2KAmazon 2026 capex above $170B?Yes 99.3%
Amazon 2026 capex above $190B?Yes 96.2%
Amazon 2026 capex above $180B?Yes 94.8%
+3 moreNext deadline May 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Kentucky aging Bourbon-barrel inventory as of January 1, 2026
K 66.4K contractsWill the number of Bourbon barrels aging in Kentucky for January 1, 2026 be above 15.5 million barrels?Yes 97.5%
Will the number of Bourbon barrels aging in Kentucky for January 1, 2026 be above 16.0 million barrels?Yes 82.5%
Will the number of Bourbon barrels aging in Kentucky for January 1, 2026 be above 16.5 million barrels?Yes 76.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
PM $26.0K · K 31.50M contractsNo comparable saved prices
0 saved comparisonsNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC