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Showing 337-384 of 7,225 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

How many weeks will Iceman spend at #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?
K 156.7K contractsWill ICEMAN by Drake spend 5 weeks at #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?Yes 8.5%
Will ICEMAN by Drake spend 6 weeks at #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?Yes 6.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
PM $682.0KWill Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?Yes 14%
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?Yes 13.5%
Will Donald Trump visit Portugal in 2026?Yes 11.6%
+17 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Trump run for a third term?
K 156.5K contractsWill Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Nov 7, 2028?Yes 17%
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 14%
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 5.9%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
PM $671.6KWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes 99.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

How high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
K 156.3K contractsWill Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be above 45% during Dec 2025 to Dec 2026 according to VoteHub?Yes 6.4%
Will Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be above 43% during Dec 2025 to Dec 2026 according to VoteHub?Yes 6.3%
Will Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be above 44% during Dec 2025 to Dec 2026 according to VoteHub?Yes 5.3%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Houthis enter Aden by...?
PM $669.0KHouthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Yes 25.5%
Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?Yes 13.5%
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Yes 2.9%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

Top Fantasy QB
K 155.2K contractsWill Josh Allen be the #1 ranked fantasy QB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 51%
Will Brock Purdy be the #1 ranked fantasy QB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 16.5%
Will Jared Goff be the #1 ranked fantasy QB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 5.5%
+34 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
PM $663.6KU.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NY-21 House winner?
K 150.5K contractsWill Republican win the House race for NY-21?Yes 74.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for NY-21?Yes 26.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
PM $656.0KWill Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 21, 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 22, 2026?Yes 85%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will the US take control of any part of Canada?
K 149.1K contractsWill the United States acquire any part of Canada before 2029?Yes 8.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 21, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Erdoğan out by...?
PM $649.6KErdoğan out by December 31, 2027?Yes 16%
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas Railroad Commissioner winner
K 147.5K contractsWho will win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner Election? (Bo French)Yes 55.5%
Who will win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner Election? (Jon Rosenthal)Yes 45%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
PM $642.4KUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 3.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
K 146.7K contractsWhat will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? (Oil)Yes 62.5%
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? (Coal)Yes 13.5%
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? (Gas)Yes 6.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 30, 2032 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
PM $627.1KWill Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Yes 2.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections

Who will the next Pope be?
K 146.0K contractsWho will the next Pope be? (Luis Antonio Tagle)Yes 11.2%
Who will the next Pope be? (Pietro Parolin)Yes 4.9%
Who will the next Pope be? (Pierbattista Pizzaballa)Yes 3.8%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2070 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
PM $618.2KWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes 14%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture

Boston Calling Music Festival 2027: Headliners
K 145.9K contractsWill Noah Kahan be a headliner at Boston Calling Music Festival 2027?Yes 36.5%
Will The Strokes be a headliner at Boston Calling Music Festival 2027?Yes 26.5%
Will Zach Bryan be a headliner at Boston Calling Music Festival 2027?Yes 24%
+27 moreNext deadline Dec 30, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
PM $618.0KWill oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes 59.4%
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes 31.6%
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes 5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Max Miller leave the House before the midterms?
K 145.8K contractsWill Max Miller be out as U.S. representative before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will Russia invade another country by...?
PM $611.7KWill Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027?Yes 19%
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Yes 5.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology

Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
K 145.4K contractsWill a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?Yes 54.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
PM $607.8KWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes 69%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Yes 49%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes 13.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
K 145.3K contractsWho will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? (Donald Trump)Yes 52%
Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? (Bill Clinton)Yes 48.5%
Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? (Naomi Campbell)Yes 45%
+15 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
PM $598.0KWill Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 42.5%
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 24.1%
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 21.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?
K 145.2K contractsWill Texas be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 34.5%
Will Kansas be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 24.5%
Will North Carolina be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 14.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketScience

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
PM $595.2KFDA approves Retatrutide this year?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Texas Governor winner?
PM $578.2K · K 2.47M contractsWill the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Texas
Related contracts
PM Yes 75.4%Rules differK Yes 75.5%
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Texas
Related contracts
PM Yes 24.5%Rules differK Yes 25.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

When will the Riemann hypothesis win the Millennium Prize?
K 144.4K contractsWill a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 50.5%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2032?Yes 44.5%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 27.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Next Senate Democratic Leader?
K 143.4K contractsWill Chuck Schumer win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?Yes 81.5%
Will Brian Schatz win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?Yes 7.6%
Will Chris Murphy win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?Yes 6.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PM $571.2KPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes 24.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Chicago Mayor winner?
K 142.6K contractsWho will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? (Alexi Giannoulias)Yes 62.5%
Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? (Brandon Johnson)Yes 16.5%
Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? (Susana Mendoza)Yes 5.8%
+14 moreNext deadline Feb 23, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
PM $567.6KWill Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes 45%
Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes 41%
Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes 14.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Daylight Saving Time become permanent?
K 140.3K contractsWill legislation establishing permanent Daylight Saving Time become law before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 37.5%
Will legislation establishing permanent Daylight Saving Time become law before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 23%
Will permanent daylight savings become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 7.7%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
PM $566.9KWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 93.7%
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 92%
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 86.5%
+43 moreNext deadline Apr 17, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

2028 popular vote margin of victory?
K 139.3K contractsWill Democratic win the 2028 popular vote by 9.0% to 100.0%?Yes 23.5%
Will Democratic win the 2028 popular vote by 8.0% to 8.99%?Yes 9.5%
Will Democratic win the 2028 popular vote by 7.0% to 7.99%?Yes 8.5%
+17 moreNext deadline May 6, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...?
PM $565.5KWill Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Yes 10%
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/12-10/18)
K 137.4K contractsWill the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly 7 between Oct 12, 2026 and Oct 18, 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly 6 between Oct 12, 2026 and Oct 18, 2026?Yes 2.5%
Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly 5 between Oct 12, 2026 and Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
PM $564.8KLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Yes 4.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports

Pro Football: 4000+ Passing Yards Season
K 136.5K contractsWill Joe Burrow record 4000+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 74.5%
Will Matthew Stafford record 4000+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 65.5%
Will Trevor Lawrence record 4000+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 62.5%
+27 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
PM $562.5KGOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?Yes 7.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
K 135.7K contractsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee?Yes 9.5%
Will Jon Ossoff defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, with Jon Ossoff as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee?Yes 8.5%
Will JD Vance defeat Gavin Newsom in the 2028 presidential election, with Gavin Newsom as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee?Yes 8.5%
+29 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PM $548.8KTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes 28.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18)
K 135.6K contractsWill there be more than 150 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will there be more than 160 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 85.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
PM $547.6KUS-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Yes 79.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026?
K 135.5K contractsWill Trump fire 0 Cabinet members before 2027?Yes 87%
Will Trump fire 1 Cabinet members before 2027?Yes 3.5%
Will Trump fire 2 Cabinet members before 2027?Yes 3.2%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Lima Mayoral Election Winner
PM $547.5KWill Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes 90.3%
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes 1.1%
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes 0.3%
+20 more