Browse prediction markets

Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 98.5%

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

K 111.2K contracts

Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 86%

Will there be more than 185 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 72%

+7 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC

Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?Yes 13%

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

PM $536.3K

Will Israel annex any territory by March 31?Yes 10.5%

Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Yes 4.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 74%

Texas Governor margin of victory

K 111.0K contracts

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 65.5%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 39.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?Yes 6%

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

PM $533.6K

Will JD Vance and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?Yes 27.5%

2028 Republican Presidential ticket

K 109.9K contracts

Will Marco Rubio and JD Vance be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?Yes 8.2%

Will JD Vance and Erika Kirk be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?Yes 5.3%

+22 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2028 UTC

Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.5%

Tim Walz charged by...?

PM $525.4K

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 81.5%

South Carolina Senate margin of victory

K 109.5K contracts

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 73.5%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 50.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Who will Trump pardon in 2026?

PM $519.7K · K 556.7K contracts

Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Keonne Rodriguez receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 10.5%Rules differK Yes 10.6%

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Ghislaine Maxwell receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 4.7%Rules differK Yes 8.7%

Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Elizabeth Holmes receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 4.5%Rules differK Yes 8.1%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

13 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Samuel Alito resign during Trump's term?Yes 64.5%

Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?

K 108.4K contracts

Will Clarence Thomas resign during Trump's term?Yes 46.5%

Will John Roberts resign during Trump's term?Yes 18.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Yes 5.5%

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

PM $514.3K

1 mktNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC

Will any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 73%

Will a cabinet member be impeached?

K 107.8K contracts

+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will the US announce a diesel export ban by December 31?Yes 11%

US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?

PM $510.0K

Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Yes 2.3%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Nevada Governor winner?

PM $495.0K · K 1.63M contracts

Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Nevada

Related contracts

PM Yes 57.5%Rules differK Yes 56.5%

Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Nevada

Related contracts

PM Yes 41.5%Rules differK Yes 44.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will exactly 1 reconciliation bill become law from Nov 25, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026?Yes 64.5%

How many reconciliation bills will become law from Nov 25, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026?

K 107.2K contracts

Will exactly 2 reconciliation bills become law from Nov 25, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026?Yes 32%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC

Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 40.5%

Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes?

K 107.1K contracts

Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 39.5%

Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 23.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31?Yes 10%

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?

PM $487.1K

Will the Supreme Court overturn marriage equality?Yes 8.5%

Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage?

K 105.5K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2029 UTC

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.5%

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

PM $485.7K

Will any Republican member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 48.5%

Will a GOP member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment?

K 105.0K contracts

Will any Republican member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 40.5%

Will any Republican member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 27%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yes 7.5%

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

PM $478.6K

Will First Solar Inc. report Above 3700 mw module volume sold in Q3 2026?Yes 95.5%

KalshiClimate

First Solar module volume sold in Q3

K 104.5K contracts

Will First Solar Inc. report Above 3800 mw module volume sold in Q3 2026?Yes 91.5%

Will First Solar Inc. report Above 3900 mw module volume sold in Q3 2026?Yes 86.5%

+15 moreNext deadline Feb 25, 2027 UTC

Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes 71%

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

PM $476.4K

Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes 3.2%

Will Sepp Müller be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes 1.6%

+9 more

PolymarketKalshiWorld

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

PM $471.1K · K 105.7K contracts

Will "Leave" win the Alberta independence referendum?

Kalshi: Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada before the next general election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1%Rules differK Yes 9.7%

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada before the next general election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.8%Rules differK Yes 9.7%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

Will Iowa ethanol production for 2026 be above 4.3 billion gallons?Yes 97%

Iowa ethanol production in 2026

K 103.8K contracts

Will Iowa ethanol production for 2026 be above 4.4 billion gallons?Yes 96%

Will Iowa ethanol production for 2026 be above 4.5 billion gallons?Yes 79.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC

KalshiSports

Gianni Infantino out as President of FIFA in 2026

K 103.2K contracts

Will Gianni Infantino leave from being President of FIFA in 2026?Yes 11%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Yes 9.5%

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

PM $469.5K

Will SNSD finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?Yes 77.5%

Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 2nd place?

K 102.9K contracts

Will NiP finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?Yes 40.5%

Will SDA finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?Yes 19%

+22 moreNext deadline Oct 4, 2027 UTC

SBF released from custody in 2026?Yes 2.1%

SBF released from custody in 2026?

PM $468.2K

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Maine be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 37%

Maine Senate margin of victory

K 102.4K contracts

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Maine be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 26.5%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Maine be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 15%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?Yes 83%

Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?

PM $466.3K

Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?Yes 23%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will Wisconsin’s total milk production for 2026 be above 32.75 billion pounds?Yes 96.5%

Wisconsin total milk production in 2026

K 100.7K contracts

Will Wisconsin’s total milk production for 2026 be above 33.00 billion pounds?Yes 92.5%

Will Wisconsin’s total milk production for 2026 be above 33.25 billion pounds?Yes 59.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC

Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?Yes 86.5%

Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?

PM $463.6K

Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?Yes 80%

Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?Yes 74.5%

+10 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

KalshiTech

Elon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026

K 98.5K contracts

Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $600 billion?Yes 90.5%

Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $500 billion?Yes 85.5%

Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $700 billion?Yes 78.5%

+18 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?Yes 12.5%

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?

PM $460.6K

Will Mike Johnson win the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress?Yes 32%

Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?

K 98.0K contracts

Will Jim Jordan win the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress?Yes 30%

Will Steve Scalise win the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress?Yes 12.5%

+13 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2027 UTC

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by December 31?Yes 9.2%

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

PM $458.2K

1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Ohio Governor winner?

PM $457.4K · K 2.66M contracts

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Ohio

Related contracts

PM Yes 72.5%Rules differK Yes 70.5%

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Ohio

Related contracts

PM Yes 27.5%Rules differK Yes 30.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will Republican win the House race for NV-02?Yes 73.5%

NV-02 House winner?

K 97.7K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for NV-02?Yes 27.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that New Hampshire holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 86%

Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?

K 97.0K contracts

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Iowa holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 8%

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that South Carolina holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 4%

+1 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2028 UTC

Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Yes 17%

Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?

PM $451.9K