Browse prediction markets

PM Yes 96.8%Rules differK Yes 95.7%

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Fed cut rates 0 times?

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Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Fed cut rates 1 time?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.1%Rules differK Yes 2.1%

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Fed cut rates 2 times?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.5%Rules differK Yes 0.8%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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12 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiEconomics

Fed decision in Oct 2026?

PM $45.33M · K 12.57M contracts

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2027 meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 86.5%Rules differK Yes 76.5%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 86.5%Rules differK Yes 86.5%

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their October 2027 meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 13.5%Rules differK Yes 8%

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8 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 33000 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 10%

Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?

K 4.81M contracts

Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 30500 and 30999.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 8.5%

Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 30000 and 30499.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 8.5%

+27 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiHealth

Pandemic in 2026?

PM $18.62M · K 984.0K contracts

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Kalshi: Pandemic in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.4%Rules differK Yes 5%

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1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will there be a recession in 2026?Yes 4.5%

Recession this year?

K 3.69M contracts

1 mktNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC

Will at least 50% of scheduled passenger and cargo flights at JFK be cancelled October 21, 2026?Yes 0.6%

Will at least 50% of scheduled flights at JFK be cancelled on October 21, 2026?

K 3.07M contracts

1 mktNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiClimate

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

PM $8.13M · K 629.5K contracts

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Kalshi: Will there be more than 5000 measles cases in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 97.9%Rules differK Yes 96.5%

Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Kalshi: Will there be more than 6000 measles cases in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 88.5%Rules differK Yes 84.5%

Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Kalshi: Will there be more than 7000 measles cases in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 53%Rules differK Yes 56%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Bhayshul Tuten: 2+ touchdownsYes 99.5%

Houston vs Jacksonville: Touchdowns

K 2.78M contracts

Woody Marks: 1+ touchdownsYes 69.5%

Bhayshul Tuten: 4+ touchdownsYes 46%

+47 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes 83.5%

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

PM $5.79M

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes 67.5%

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes 57.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC

KalshiCompanies

Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

K 2.09M contracts

Who will IPO before 2027? (Anthropic)Yes 70.5%

Who will IPO before 2027? (Discord)Yes 11%

Who will IPO before 2027? (Skims)Yes 6.5%

+24 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiTech

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

PM $5.43M · K 14.73M contracts

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Gemini)

Related contracts

PM Yes 73.8%Rules differK Yes 36.9%

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Claude)

Related contracts

PM Yes 47.5%Rules differK Yes 45.6%

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Claude)

Related contracts

PM Yes 25.5%Rules differK Yes 45.6%

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15 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiScience and Technology

Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

K 2.02M contracts

Hantavirus Public Health Emergency of International Concern by 2026?Yes 3.9%

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 71.5%

Anthropic IPO by __?

PM $4.96M

Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Yes 66.5%

Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes 55%

+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.60 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 47.5%

How high will US gas prices get in 2026?

K 1.86M contracts

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.80 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 31.5%

Will average **gas prices** be above $5.00 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 24.5%

+10 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

Fed rate cut by July 2027 meeting?Yes 50%

Fed rate cut by...?

PM $3.80M

Fed rate cut by June 2027 meeting?Yes 36%

Fed rate cut by April 2027 meeting?Yes 32.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Jan 29, 2027 UTC

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 85%

When will Apple release the iPhone 18?

K 1.59M contracts

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 11%

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 4%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PolymarketScience

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

PM $3.79M

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes 80.5%

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes 19.5%

Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Yes 0.3%

+3 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiFinance

Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?

PM $3.14M · K 3.55M contracts

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Kalshi: Will GameStop announce acquisition of eBay before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 5.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will the Federal Reserve cut rates before 2027?Yes 5.3%

Fed rate cut before 2027?

K 1.51M contracts

Will it be reported that at least one million Americans have received checks of at least $1000 directly attributable to tariff revenue?Yes 3.3%

KalshiPolitics

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

K 1.51M contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?Yes 88%

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

PM $2.81M

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?Yes 61.5%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Yes 46.5%

+18 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will the S&P 500 be above 6845.5 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 89.5%

Will the S&P finish positive this year?

K 1.35M contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,500 by end of December?Yes 49.5%

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?

PM $2.05M

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Yes 13.5%

Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?Yes 12.5%

+8 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiCulture

Oscar nominees: Best Picture

K 1.31M contracts

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (The Odyssey)Yes 97.5%

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (The Black Ball)Yes 94.5%

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (Wild Horse Nine)Yes 87.5%

+50 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes 25.5%

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

PM $1.92M

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes 18.7%

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes 18.1%

+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

KalshiCompanies

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

K 1.26M contracts

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 85.5%

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? (Before Mar 1, 2027)Yes 83%

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? (Before Feb 1, 2027)Yes 73.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiCulture

Top artist on Spotify in 2026?

PM $1.73M · K 816.5K contracts

Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?

Kalshi: Who will be the top Spotify artist this year? (Bad Bunny)

Related contracts

PM Yes 85.5%Rules differK Yes 85.5%

Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?

Kalshi: Who will be the top Spotify artist this year? (Taylor Swift)

Related contracts

PM Yes 10.3%Rules differK Yes 11.5%

Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?

Kalshi: Who will be the top Spotify artist this year? (Drake)

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.1%Rules differK Yes 3.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

9 saved comparisonsNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting?Yes 71.5%

Fed decision in Dec 2026?

K 1.25M contracts

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2026 meeting?Yes 21.5%

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their December 2026 meeting?Yes 5%

+2 moreNext deadline Mar 10, 2027 UTC

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?Yes 74.5%

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

PM $1.56M

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes 67.5%

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes 58.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

PolymarketKalshiCulture

Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond

PM $1.47M · K 2.55M contracts

Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?

Kalshi: Will Jack Lowden be the next James Bond?

Related contracts

PM Yes 26.8%Rules differK Yes 33.5%

Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?

Kalshi: Will Callum Turner be the next James Bond?

Related contracts

PM Yes 19.5%Rules differK Yes 31.5%

Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?

Kalshi: Will Josh O'Connor be the next James Bond?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.3%Rules differK Yes 23.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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19 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiEntertainment

Top Artist on Spotify U.S. 2026

K 1.18M contracts

Will Drake be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 82.5%

Will Taylor Swift be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 11%

Will Bad Bunny be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 3.5%

+13 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

KalshiCompanies

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

K 1.16M contracts

Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (Anthropic)Yes 74%

Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (OpenAI)Yes 16.5%

Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (Google)Yes 3.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

PM $1.44M · K 4.51M contracts

Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Susie WIles leaves Chief of Staff in before 2027?

Needs review

PM Yes 34.5%Review neededK Yes 37%

Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Tom Homan leaves White House Border Czar in before 2027?

Needs review

PM Yes 26%Review neededK Yes 14.5%

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Pete Hegseth leaves Secretary of Defense in before 2027?

Needs review

PM Yes 25%Review neededK Yes 23.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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11 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiCrypto

Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026

PM $1.42M · K 304.2K contracts

Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 17.5%Rules differK Yes 43.8%

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 40%Rules differK Yes 43.8%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Unusual Machines?Yes 31.5%

Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?

K 1.10M contracts

Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Anduril?Yes 24%

Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Neros Technologies?Yes 20.5%

+15 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Chuba Hubbard: 1+ touchdownsYes 49.5%

Carolina vs Philadelphia: Touchdowns

K 1.03M contracts

Dameon Pierce: 1+ touchdownsYes 34.5%

Tetairoa McMillan: 1+ touchdownsYes 31.5%

+40 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes 64.5%

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

PM $1.31M

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes 13.5%

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Yes 9%

+10 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Cam Skattebo: 1+ touchdownsYes 41.5%

New Orleans vs New York G: Touchdowns

K 998.2K contracts

Malik Nabers: 1+ touchdownsYes 37.5%

Chris Olave: 1+ touchdownsYes 37.5%

+48 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

PolymarketFinancials

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...?

PM $1.22M

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?Yes 93.5%

Will the maximum SP500 value reach 7999.99 by Jan 1, 2027?Yes 49.2%

How high will the S&P get this year?

K 991.9K contracts

Will the maximum SP500 value reach 8199.99 by Jan 1, 2027?Yes 21.7%

Will the maximum SP500 value reach 8399.99 by Jan 1, 2027?Yes 11.1%

+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PolymarketEconomics

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

PM $1.10M

Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes 68.5%

Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes 22.5%

Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes 10.4%

+2 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiEconomy

How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?

PM $1.03M · K 11.4K contracts

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?

Kalshi: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.39% by Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 36.5%Rules differK Yes 35%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?

Kalshi: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.49% by Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 26.3%Rules differK Yes 32%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6300.01 by Jan 1, 2027?Yes 9.3%

How low will the S&P get this year?

K 921.3K contracts

Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6200.01 by Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8%

Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6000.01 by Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2800?Yes 99.5%

US gas prices this week

K 892.4K contracts

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2600?Yes 99.5%

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2400?Yes 99.5%

+20 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

PolymarketHealth

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

PM $784.1K

Ebola pandemic in 2026?Yes 2.2%