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Showing 433-480 of 7,196 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Ohio Governor winner?
PM $457.4K · K 2.66M contractsWill the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Ohio
Related contracts
PM Yes 72.5%Rules differK Yes 70.5%
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Ohio
Related contracts
PM Yes 27.5%Rules differK Yes 30.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-27 House winner?
K 112.5K contractsWill Republican win the House race for FL-27?Yes 67.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-27?Yes 33.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Roblox hours engaged in Q3
K 112.2K contractsWill Roblox Corporation report Above 32 billion hours engaged in Q3 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Roblox Corporation report Above 33 billion hours engaged in Q3 2026?Yes 88%
Will Roblox Corporation report Above 34 billion hours engaged in Q3 2026?Yes 67%
+8 moreNext deadline Feb 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?
PM $451.9KWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Yes 17%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
K 112.1K contractsWill OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 32.5%
Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 21%
Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 8.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
PM $446.7KUS x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 12%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)
K 111.2K contractsWill there be more than 170 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 86%
Will there be more than 185 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 72%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
PM $446.3KWill oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes 62.7%
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes 31.4%
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes 3.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas Governor margin of victory
K 111.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 74%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 65.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 39.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
PM $434.9KWill Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes 98.6%
Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes 97.7%
Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes 97.3%
+19 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
2028 Republican Presidential ticket
K 109.9K contractsWill JD Vance and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?Yes 27.5%
Will Marco Rubio and JD Vance be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?Yes 8.2%
Will JD Vance and Erika Kirk be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?Yes 5.3%
+22 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)
PM $429.8KIsraeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?Yes 25%
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Yes 6.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
South Carolina Senate margin of victory
K 109.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 81.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 73.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 50.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
PM $426.7KWill China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Yes 3.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?
K 108.4K contractsWill Samuel Alito resign during Trump's term?Yes 64.5%
Will Clarence Thomas resign during Trump's term?Yes 46.5%
Will John Roberts resign during Trump's term?Yes 18.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
PM $426.1KWill Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes 75.5%
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes 25.5%
Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes <0.1%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will a cabinet member be impeached?
K 107.8K contractsWill any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 73%
Will any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 65.5%
Will any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 55%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?
PM $422.7KPerim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Yes 30%
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?Yes 20%
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Yes 6.2%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many reconciliation bills will become law from Nov 25, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026?
K 107.2K contractsWill exactly 1 reconciliation bill become law from Nov 25, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026?Yes 64.5%
Will exactly 2 reconciliation bills become law from Nov 25, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026?Yes 32%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Premier of Quebec
PM $422.7KWill Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes 99.9%
Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes 0.1%
Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes 0.1%
+4 more
KalshiPolitics
Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes?
K 107.1K contractsWill a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 40.5%
Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 39.5%
Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 23.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
PM $419.4KUS reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
AI capability growth this year?
K 106.4K contractsWill any AI model have a score of at least 1540 before Jan 1, 2027Yes 54.5%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027Yes 35%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1600 before Jan 1, 2027Yes 7.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Israel military action against Beirut by...?
PM $419.4KIsrael military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?Yes 12.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage?
K 105.5K contractsWill the Supreme Court overturn marriage equality?Yes 8.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
PM $410.7KWill Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes 94%
Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes 3.1%
Will Marco Rubio be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes 2%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will a GOP member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment?
K 105.0K contractsWill any Republican member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 48.5%
Will any Republican member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 40.5%
Will any Republican member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 27%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
PM $408.9KIAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Yes 11.5%
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Yes 2.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Iowa ethanol production in 2026
K 103.8K contractsWill Iowa ethanol production for 2026 be above 4.3 billion gallons?Yes 97%
Will Iowa ethanol production for 2026 be above 4.4 billion gallons?Yes 96%
Will Iowa ethanol production for 2026 be above 4.5 billion gallons?Yes 79.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
PM $408.8KWill ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes 91%
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Yes 8.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Gianni Infantino out as President of FIFA in 2026
K 103.2K contractsWill Gianni Infantino leave from being President of FIFA in 2026?Yes 11%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Trump meets with Putin by...?
PM $407.3KTrump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes 82.5%
Trump meets with Putin by November 30?Yes 76.5%
Trump meets with Putin by October 31?Yes 1.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 2nd place?
K 102.9K contractsWill SNSD finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?Yes 77.5%
Will NiP finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?Yes 40.5%
Will SDA finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?Yes 19%
+22 moreNext deadline Oct 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?
PM $406.2KWill Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027?Yes 58%
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?Yes 33%
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Yes 12.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Maine Senate margin of victory
K 102.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Maine be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 37%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Maine be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 26.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Maine be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 15%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
PM $402.4KU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?Yes 14.7%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?Yes 14%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?Yes 10.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Wisconsin total milk production in 2026
K 100.7K contractsWill Wisconsin’s total milk production for 2026 be above 32.75 billion pounds?Yes 96.5%
Will Wisconsin’s total milk production for 2026 be above 33.00 billion pounds?Yes 92.5%
Will Wisconsin’s total milk production for 2026 be above 33.25 billion pounds?Yes 59.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
PM $398.9KModi out by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Elon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026
K 98.5K contractsWill Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $600 billion?Yes 90.5%
Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $500 billion?Yes 85.5%
Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $700 billion?Yes 78.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Jimmy Lai released by...?
PM $391.2KJimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?Yes 5.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?
K 98.0K contractsWill Mike Johnson win the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress?Yes 32%
Will Jim Jordan win the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress?Yes 30%
Will Steve Scalise win the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress?Yes 12.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
PM $388.7KWill Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes 89%
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes 43%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes 40.5%
+33 moreNext deadline Apr 19, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NV-02 House winner?
K 97.7K contractsWill Republican win the House race for NV-02?Yes 73.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for NV-02?Yes 27.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by...?
PM $375.6KMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?
K 97.0K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that New Hampshire holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 86%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Iowa holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 8%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that South Carolina holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 4%
+1 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
New Hampshire Senate winner?
PM $365.3K · K 2.15M contractsWill the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in New Hampshire?
Related contracts
PM Yes 90.5%Rules differK Yes 89.5%
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in New Hampshire?
Related contracts
PM Yes 10.5%Rules differK Yes 10.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
K 96.4K contractsWill SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?Yes 19.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Lecornu out as French PM by...?
PM $364.0KLecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?Yes 20.5%
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31, 2026?Yes 10.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC