Browse prediction markets

Will Republican win the House race for NY-01?Yes 87%

NY-01 House winner?

K 199.0K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for NY-01?Yes 12.5%

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?Yes 3%

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?

PM $1.22M

Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8%

Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?

K 197.5K contracts

Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 59.9%

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

PM $1.22M

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 33.6%

Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 23.6%

+68 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Republicans win the Senate race in Kentucky?Yes 96.7%

Kentucky Senate winner?

K 196.6K contracts

Will Democratics win the Senate race in Kentucky?Yes 3%

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes 62.5%

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

PM $1.19M

Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes 37.6%

Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes <0.1%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC

Will Kash Patel be out as FBI Director before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 82.5%

Kash Patel out as FBI Director?

K 192.9K contracts

Will Kash Patel be out as FBI Director before Jul 1, 2028?Yes 74%

Will Kash Patel be out as FBI Director before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 62%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Yes 55.5%

Next leader out of power before 2027?

PM $1.18M

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 27%

Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 5.3%

+19 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will there be more than 260 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 98.5%

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

K 189.8K contracts

Will there be more than 270 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 96.5%

Will there be more than 280 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 90.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC

PolymarketClimate

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

PM $1.17M

Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Yes 52%

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes 34.5%

Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes 6.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Republican win the House race for SC-01?Yes 71.5%

SC-01 House winner?

K 188.3K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for SC-01?Yes 28.5%

PM $1.14M · K 608.7K contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?

Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?

Kalshi: Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency? (Before Jan 1, 2027)

Related contracts

PM Yes 15%Rules differK Yes 17%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC

How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)? (Above 60)Yes 7.5%

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

K 188.1K contracts

How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)? (Above 62)Yes 6.5%

How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)? (Above 66)Yes 5.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes 12%

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

PM $1.12M

Will ARIRANG be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Vinyl Albums of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard?Yes 48%

Top U.S. Selling Vinyl Album: 2026

K 184.4K contracts

Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Vinyl Albums of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard?Yes 20%

Will The Life of a Showgirl be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Vinyl Albums of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard?Yes 7.5%

+25 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

Iran invades Kuwait by December 31?Yes 6.8%

Iran invades Kuwait by...?

PM $1.11M

Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?Yes 1.1%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will the Democratic party win the governorship in AlaskaYes 79.5%

Alaska Governor winner? (Party)

K 179.1K contracts

Will the Republican party win the governorship in AlaskaYes 20.5%

French election called by December 31, 2026?Yes 8.3%

French election called by...?

PM $1.10M

Will Trump say "Zacharia" before Oct 19, 2026?Yes 16.5%

What will Trump say this week?

K 178.6K contracts

Will Trump say "Stupid Question" before Oct 19, 2026?Yes 16%

Will Trump say "Ceasefire" before Oct 19, 2026?Yes 8.5%

+18 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC

Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Yes 91.2%

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

PM $1.09M

Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes 5%

Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes 3.6%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will Maine be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 38%

Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?

K 175.3K contracts

Will Florida be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 36%

Will Ohio be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 8%

+17 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?Yes 31.5%

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

PM $1.06M

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026?Yes 1.2%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will the number of ICE removals be above 200000 in FY2026?Yes 99.4%

Deportations in 2026?

K 174.4K contracts

Will the number of ICE removals be above 300000 in FY2026?Yes 98.5%

Will the number of ICE removals be above 400000 in FY2026?Yes 97.9%

+4 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Will Trump be impeached?

PM $1.05M · K 3.21M contracts

Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?

Kalshi: Will the President be impeached before Jan 1, 2028?

Related contracts

PM Yes 63.5%Rules differK Yes 64.5%

Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027?

Kalshi: Will the President be impeached before Jul 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 47.5%Rules differK Yes 42.5%

Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will the President be impeached before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.4%Rules differK Yes 4.3%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Republican win the House race for CO-04?Yes 73.5%

CO-04 House winner?

K 173.4K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for CO-04?Yes 26.5%

Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 67.5%

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

PM $1.01M

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 32.5%

Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 0.4%

+3 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC

KalshiTech

Top 5 most searched people on Google in 2026

K 171.8K contracts

Will Lindsay Clancy be the #Top 5 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People list?Yes 76.5%

Will Erling Haaland be in the Top 5 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 53.5%

Will Savannah Guthrie be in the Top 5 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 43.5%

+17 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Yes 11.5%

India strike on Pakistan by...?

PM $996.9K

KalshiClimate and Weather

Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?

K 171.3K contracts

Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii during the 2026 hurricane season?Yes 6%

US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.1%

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

PM $995.3K

Will Trombone Shorty & Orleans Avenue be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?Yes 76.5%

KalshiEntertainment

New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027: Headliners

K 170.1K contracts

Will Jon Batiste be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?Yes 59.5%

Will Noah Kahan be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?Yes 56.5%

+17 moreNext deadline Dec 30, 2028 UTC

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Yes 26%

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?

PM $992.2K

Tony Pollard: 25+ rushing yardsYes 94.5%

Tennessee vs Indianapolis: Rushing Yards

K 165.7K contracts

Seth McGowan: 10+ rushing yardsYes 92%

Seth McGowan: 5+ rushing yardsYes 91.5%

+48 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Yes 7%

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?

PM $985.5K

PM $976.4K · K 78.7K contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Javier Milei win the first round of the 2027 Argentine presidential election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 48.5%Rules differK Yes 59.5%

Will Javier Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next Argentine presidential election? (Javier Milei)

Related contracts

PM Yes 58.5%Rules differK Yes 54.5%

Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next Argentine presidential election? (Javier Milei)

Related contracts

PM Yes 48.5%Rules differK Yes 54.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

30 saved comparisonsNext deadline Sep 1, 2027 UTC

Will the Department of Education be eliminated before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 11.5%

Will Trump abolish the Department of Education?

K 164.8K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC

Will Democratic win the House race for MO-05?Yes 96.5%

MO-05 House winner?

K 164.3K contracts

Will Republican win the House race for MO-05?Yes 2.8%