Browse prediction markets

PM Yes 36.5%Review neededK Yes 42.5%

Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Susie WIles leaves Chief of Staff in before 2027?

Needs review

Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Tom Homan leaves White House Border Czar in before 2027?

Needs review

PM Yes 26%Review neededK Yes 14.5%

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Pete Hegseth leaves Secretary of Defense in before 2027?

Needs review

PM Yes 24%Review neededK Yes 22.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

11 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Democratic win the House race for FL-14?Yes 67.5%

FL-14 House winner?

K 301.1K contracts

Will Republican win the House race for FL-14?Yes 32.5%

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes 2.5%

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

PM $1.44M

PM $1.44M · K 514.3K contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Alaska Senate winner? (Person)

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate race?

Related contracts

PM Yes 73.5%Rules differK Yes 73.5%

Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Dan Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate race?

Related contracts

PM Yes 25.5%Rules differK Yes 26.5%

Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Ann Diener win the 2026 Alaska Senate race?

Related contracts

PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes <0.1%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiTech

Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

K 301.0K contracts

Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 46.5%

Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 28.5%

Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 21%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will Democratic win the House race for NC-11?Yes 78.5%

NC-11 House winner?

K 293.1K contracts

Will Republican win the House race for NC-11?Yes 21.5%

Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.8%

Will any country leave NATO by...?

PM $1.43M

Will End of Beginning be the #1 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 88%

KalshiEntertainment

Top Song on Spotify in 2026?

K 293.0K contracts

Will Babydoll be the #1 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 11.5%

Will SWIM be the #1 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 2%

+25 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes 3.3%

Iran Nuke before 2027?

PM $1.41M

Will Republican win the House race for TX-23?Yes 71.5%

TX-23 House winner?

K 289.8K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for TX-23?Yes 29.5%

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by March 31?Yes 22%

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

PM $1.40M

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Yes 5.5%

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by October 31?Yes 1.6%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiTech

What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?

K 289.5K contracts

Will NYC subway average weekday ridership (the mean of the MTA's daily subway ridership figures for every Monday through Friday, holidays included) as published in its Daily Ridership and Traffic series be above 4100000 in October 2026?Yes 98.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC

Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes 68.5%

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

PM $1.40M

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes 31.5%

Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes <0.1%

+7 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC

Christian McCaffrey: 1+ touchdownsYes 69.5%

Washington vs San Francisco: Touchdowns

K 289.1K contracts

Mike Evans: 1+ touchdownsYes 52.5%

George Kittle: 1+ touchdownsYes 46.5%

+44 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC

Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.4%

Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?

PM $1.38M

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $3,800?Yes 94.5%

NYC median asking rent in December 2026

K 288.2K contracts

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $3,900?Yes 80.5%

Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,000?Yes 38.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC

Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes 69.2%

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

PM $1.37M

Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Yes 22.5%

Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes 3%

+7 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC

KalshiWorld

Who will have a #1 hit this year?

K 281.1K contracts

Will Mariah Carey have a #1 hit this year?Yes 90.5%

Will Zach Bryan have a #1 hit this year?Yes 30%

Will Morgan Wallen have a #1 hit this year?Yes 29.5%

+111 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC

Lai Ching-te impeached by December 31?Yes 3%

Lai Ching-te impeached by...?

PM $1.36M

Will Nancy Pelosi resign her office early?Yes 1.6%

KalshiElections

Will Nancy Pelosi resign her office before the midterms?

K 280.4K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 14.5%

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

PM $1.32M

Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 12.5%

Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 12%

+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Republican win the House race for AL-02?Yes 71.5%

AL-02 House winner?

K 275.7K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for AL-02?Yes 28.5%

PM $1.31M · K 7.33M contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Ohio Senate winner?

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Ohio?

Related contracts

PM Yes 67.5%Rules differK Yes 65.5%

Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Ohio?

Related contracts

PM Yes 32.5%Rules differK Yes 35.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will government spending decrease by 50 before 2026?Yes 5.3%

How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?

K 274.7K contracts

Will government spending decrease by 250 before 2026?Yes 4.3%

Will government spending decrease by 2000 before 2026?Yes 4%

+3 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC

PolymarketFinance

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

PM $1.31M

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes 65.5%

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes 13.5%

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Yes 9%

+10 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 41.5%

Will Trump declare an election emergency?

K 273.0K contracts

Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before Nov 4, 2026?Yes 31%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 11, 2026 UTC

Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes 82.5%

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

PM $1.29M

Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?Yes 79.5%

Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Yes 30%

+11 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Will there be exactly 2 Fed rate hikes in 2026?Yes 69.5%

Number of rate hikes in 2026?

K 272.9K contracts

Will there be exactly 1 Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 24.5%

Will there be exactly 3 Fed rate hikes in 2026?Yes 8.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketSports

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

PM $1.28M

Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes 24.8%

Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes 24.5%

Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes 9%

+26 moreNext deadline Feb 15, 2027 UTC

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.0% in Q3 2026?Yes 99.5%

US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?

K 272.3K contracts

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.5% in Q3 2026?Yes 99%

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q3 2026?Yes 97.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Jan 29, 2027 UTC

Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?Yes 4.6%

Greece x Turkey military engagement by...?

PM $1.27M

PM $1.22M · K 40.9K contracts

PolymarketKalshiWorld

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Iliana Yotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 87.5%Rules differK Yes 88.5%

Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 13%Rules differK Yes 12%

Will Atanas Atanasov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Atanas Atanasov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?

Related contracts

PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 1.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

11 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

KalshiElections

2026: Trump's bad year?

K 271.8K contracts

Will the bear case for Trump occur in 2026?Yes 5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2028 UTC

Will Susie Wiles be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?Yes 29.5%

Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?

K 263.2K contracts

Will Pete Hegseth be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?Yes 21.5%

Will Howard Lutnick be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?Yes 16%

+22 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?Yes 3%

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?

PM $1.22M

Who will win the 2026 Providence, RI mayoral election? (David Morales)Yes 98.5%

Providence Mayor winner?

K 261.4K contracts

Who will win the 2026 Providence, RI mayoral election? (Brett Smiley)Yes 1.5%

Who will win the 2026 Providence, RI mayoral election? (Michael English)Yes 0.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 59.9%

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

PM $1.22M

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 33.6%

Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 23.6%

+68 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Labour win the next U.K. election?Yes 36%

Which party will win the next UK general election?

K 261.1K contracts

Will Reform win the next U.K. election?Yes 35%

Will Conservative win the next U.K. election?Yes 25%

+5 moreNext deadline Aug 31, 2029 UTC

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes 62.5%

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

PM $1.19M

Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes 37.6%

Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes <0.1%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC

KalshiSports

Canelo Alvarez vs Christian Mbilli

K 252.2K contracts

Canelo Alvarez winsYes 73.5%

Christian Mbilli winsYes 27.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 15, 2026 UTC

Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Yes 55.5%

Next leader out of power before 2027?

PM $1.18M

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 27%

Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 5.3%

+19 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will the difference between the number of Republican governors and the number of Democratic governors be between -50 and -1 governors after the 2026 midterms?Yes 69%

Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?

K 250.7K contracts

Will the difference between the number of Republican governors and the number of Democratic governors be between 1 and 50 governors after the 2026 midterms?Yes 22%

Will the difference between the number of Republican governors and the number of Democratic governors be exactly 0 governors after the 2026 midterms?Yes 10%

3 mktsNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?

PM $1.14M · K 608.7K contracts

Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?

Kalshi: Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency? (Before Jan 1, 2027)

Related contracts

PM Yes 15%Rules differK Yes 17%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC

Will Republican win the House race for VA-05?Yes 71.5%

VA-05 House winner?

K 250.5K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for VA-05?Yes 27.5%

Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes 12%

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

PM $1.12M