Browse prediction markets

Will the S&P 500 be between 7800 and 7999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 17.5%

S&P close price end of 2026?

K 7.81M contracts

Will the S&P 500 be between 8000 and 8199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 15.5%

Will the S&P 500 be between 7600 and 7799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 14.5%

+24 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PM $189.63M · K 6.78M contracts

Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Kalshi: Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff be at least 1%?

Related contracts

PM Yes 80.8%Rules differK Yes 81.5%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the vote abroad in the Brazil presidential runoff?

Related contracts

PM Yes 80.8%Rules differK Yes 33%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 80.8%Rules differK Yes 79.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

19 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

PM $98.43M · K 5.73M contracts

Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Kalshi: Will Nicolás Maduro be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Needs review

PM Yes 71.9%Review neededK Yes 77%

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Kalshi: Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Needs review

PM Yes 20%Review neededK Yes 18.5%

Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Kalshi: Will Edmundo González Urrutia be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Needs review

PM Yes 0.3%Review neededK Yes 6.1%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

15 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

PM $34.00M · K 5.12M contracts

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.5%Rules differK Yes 5.1%

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Kalshi: Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.4%Rules differK Yes 5.1%

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.5%Rules differK Yes 4.9%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

6 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 33000 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 10%

Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?

K 4.81M contracts

Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 30500 and 30999.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 8.5%

Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 30000 and 30499.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 8.5%

+27 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PM $1.44M · K 4.51M contracts

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Susie WIles leaves Chief of Staff in before 2027?

Needs review

PM Yes 34.5%Review neededK Yes 37%

Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Tom Homan leaves White House Border Czar in before 2027?

Needs review

PM Yes 26%Review neededK Yes 14.5%

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Pete Hegseth leaves Secretary of Defense in before 2027?

Needs review

PM Yes 25%Review neededK Yes 23.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

11 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Kalshi: Will GameStop announce acquisition of eBay before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 5.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year? (Before Jan 20, 2029)Yes 39%

US-Iran nuclear deal?

K 3.54M contracts

Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year? (Before Jan 1, 2028)Yes 32%

Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year? (Before Mar 1, 2027)Yes 15.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

PM $10.94M · K 3.49M contracts

Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the United States acquire any part of Greenland before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 2.8%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PM $34.7K · K 3.29M contracts

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Obama federally charged before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Barack Obama be arrested before Jan 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 4.5%Rules differK Yes 2.7%

Obama federally charged before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Barack Obama be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Needs review

PM Yes 4.5%Review neededK Yes 4.3%

Obama arrested before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Barack Obama be arrested before Jan 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.7%Rules differK Yes 2.7%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiSports

LeBron James to Announce his Retirement Before the 2026-27 Season

K 3.26M contracts

Will LeBron James announce his retirement in 2026?Yes 0.5%

1 mktNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

Will at least 50% of scheduled passenger and cargo flights at JFK be cancelled October 21, 2026?Yes 0.6%

Will at least 50% of scheduled flights at JFK be cancelled on October 21, 2026?

K 3.07M contracts

1 mktNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC

Bhayshul Tuten: 2+ touchdownsYes 99.5%

Houston vs Jacksonville: Touchdowns

K 2.78M contracts

Woody Marks: 1+ touchdownsYes 69.5%

Bhayshul Tuten: 4+ touchdownsYes 46%

+47 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiCulture

Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond

PM $1.47M · K 2.55M contracts

Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?

Kalshi: Will Jack Lowden be the next James Bond?

Related contracts

PM Yes 26.8%Rules differK Yes 33.5%

Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?

Kalshi: Will Callum Turner be the next James Bond?

Related contracts

PM Yes 19.5%Rules differK Yes 31.5%

Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?

Kalshi: Will Josh O'Connor be the next James Bond?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.3%Rules differK Yes 23.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

19 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiTech

Time's Person of the Year for 2026

K 1.87M contracts

Will Zohran Mamdani be Time Person of the Year in 2026?Yes 28.5%

Will Pope Leo XIV be Time Person of the Year in 2026?Yes 17%

Will Mark Carney be Time Person of the Year in 2026?Yes 12.5%

+39 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.60 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 47.5%

How high will US gas prices get in 2026?

K 1.86M contracts

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.80 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 31.5%

Will average **gas prices** be above $5.00 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 24.5%

+10 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

Will the Federal Reserve cut rates before 2027?Yes 5.3%

Fed rate cut before 2027?

K 1.51M contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiFinancials

Will the S&P finish positive this year?

K 1.35M contracts

Will the S&P 500 be above 6845.5 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 89.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

KalshiCulture

Oscar nominees: Best Picture

K 1.31M contracts

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (The Odyssey)Yes 97.5%

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (The Black Ball)Yes 94.5%

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (Wild Horse Nine)Yes 87.5%

+50 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting?Yes 71.5%

Fed decision in Dec 2026?

K 1.25M contracts

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2026 meeting?Yes 21.5%

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their December 2026 meeting?Yes 5%

+2 moreNext deadline Mar 10, 2027 UTC

KalshiEntertainment

Top Artist on Spotify U.S. 2026

K 1.18M contracts

Will Drake be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 82.5%

Will Taylor Swift be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 11%

Will Bad Bunny be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 3.5%

+13 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Justin Gaethje)Yes 87%

Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

K 1.16M contracts

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Arman Tsarukyan)Yes 10.5%

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Ilia Topuria)Yes 2.5%

+9 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Unusual Machines?Yes 31.5%

Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?

K 1.10M contracts

Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Anduril?Yes 24%

Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Neros Technologies?Yes 20.5%

+15 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Bhayshul Tuten: 5+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%

Houston vs Jacksonville: Receiving Yards

K 1.08M contracts

Travis Hunter: 10+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%

Jaylin Noel: 10+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%

+125 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

Chuba Hubbard: 1+ touchdownsYes 49.5%

Carolina vs Philadelphia: Touchdowns

K 1.03M contracts

Dameon Pierce: 1+ touchdownsYes 34.5%

Tetairoa McMillan: 1+ touchdownsYes 31.5%

+40 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

Cam Skattebo: 1+ touchdownsYes 41.5%

New Orleans vs New York G: Touchdowns

K 998.2K contracts

Malik Nabers: 1+ touchdownsYes 37.5%

Chris Olave: 1+ touchdownsYes 37.5%

+48 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

KalshiTech

Avengers: Doomsday: Cast

K 944.1K contracts

Will Hugh Jackman perform as Wolverine in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes 92%

Will Ryan Reynolds perform as Deadpool in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes 90.5%

Will Benedict Cumberbatch perform as Doctor Strange in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes 90%

+16 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2800?Yes 99.5%

US gas prices this week

K 892.4K contracts

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2600?Yes 99.5%

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2400?Yes 99.5%

+20 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiCulture

Top artist on Spotify in 2026?

PM $1.73M · K 816.5K contracts

Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?

Kalshi: Who will be the top Spotify artist this year? (Bad Bunny)

Related contracts

PM Yes 85.5%Rules differK Yes 85.5%

Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?

Kalshi: Who will be the top Spotify artist this year? (Taylor Swift)

Related contracts

PM Yes 10.3%Rules differK Yes 11.5%

Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?

Kalshi: Who will be the top Spotify artist this year? (Drake)

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.1%Rules differK Yes 3.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

9 saved comparisonsNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC

How high will unemployment get before 2027? (Above 5%)Yes 11.8%

How high will unemployment get in 2026?

K 809.5K contracts

How high will unemployment get before 2027? (Above 6.5%)Yes 11%

How high will unemployment get before 2027? (Above 4.5%)Yes 11%

+11 moreNext deadline Mar 9, 2027 UTC

Derrick Henry: 1+ touchdownsYes 57.5%

Baltimore vs Cleveland: Touchdowns

K 770.8K contracts

Denzel Boston: 1+ touchdownsYes 29.5%

Zay Flowers: 1+ touchdownsYes 29.5%

+40 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiWorld

Next French Presidential Election

PM $152.97M · K 748.7K contracts

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Needs review

PM Yes 47.9%Review neededK Yes 46.5%

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Needs review

PM Yes 19.5%Review neededK Yes 16.5%

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

Needs review

PM Yes 11.7%Review neededK Yes 12.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

23 saved comparisonsNext deadline Apr 19, 2027 UTC

Will there be a recession in 2027?Yes 20%

Recession in 2027?

K 702.1K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Feb 7, 2028 UTC

Will CPI rise more than -0.1% in October 2026?Yes 98.5%

CPI in October

K 696.8K contracts

Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in October 2026?Yes 96.5%

Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in October 2026?Yes 85.5%

+9 moreNext deadline Feb 9, 2027 UTC

Will integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during 2026 get above 91,500 MW?Yes 4.5%

How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?

K 682.7K contracts

Will integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during 2026 get above 92,500 MW?Yes 3.5%

Will integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during 2026 get above 92,000 MW?Yes 3.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.0% in October?Yes 94.5%

Core CPI in October

K 681.8K contracts

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.1% in October?Yes 81.5%

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.2% in October?Yes 47%

+8 moreNext deadline Nov 17, 2026 UTC

Will the Fed cut rates more than 25 bps in 2026?Yes 2.1%

Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

K 672.1K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Jonathan Taylor: 1+ touchdownsYes 68.5%

Tennessee vs Indianapolis: Touchdowns

K 666.7K contracts

Tony Pollard: 1+ touchdownsYes 37.5%

Tyler Warren: 1+ touchdownsYes 36.5%

+45 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

Rhamondre Stevenson: 1+ touchdownsYes 51.5%

New York J vs New England: Touchdowns

K 634.8K contracts

Braelon Allen: 1+ touchdownsYes 40.5%

Garrett Wilson: 1+ touchdownsYes 29.5%

+36 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC