Browse prediction markets

Hantavirus Public Health Emergency of International Concern by 2026?Yes 3.9%

Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

K 2.02M contracts

PM Yes 8.5%Rules differK Yes 6.7%

KalshiEntertainment

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Kalshi: Will OpenAI announce the creation of AGI? (Before 2027)

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1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will a new nuclear reactor be approved by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 6.5%

US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?

K 833.7K contracts

PM $1.73M · K 816.1K contracts

PolymarketKalshiCulture

Top artist on Spotify in 2026?

Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?

Kalshi: Who will be the top Spotify artist this year? (Bad Bunny)

Related contracts

PM Yes 85.5%Rules differK Yes 86.5%

Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?

Kalshi: Who will be the top Spotify artist this year? (Taylor Swift)

Related contracts

PM Yes 8.5%Rules differK Yes 11%

Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?

Kalshi: Who will be the top Spotify artist this year? (Drake)

Related contracts

PM Yes 5.9%Rules differK Yes 4.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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9 saved comparisonsNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? (Above 120)Yes 98.5%

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

K 741.1K contracts

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? (Above 140)Yes 79.5%

How many launches will SpaceX have in Dec 2026? (Above 145)Yes 27.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 10%

When will Anthropic release Mythos?

K 713.7K contracts

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 2.5%

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 1.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

KalshiCulture

Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album · Features

K 713.2K contracts

Will SZA be featured on Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album?Yes 99.5%

Will Rauw Alejandro be featured on Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album?Yes 99.5%

Will PinkPantheress be featured on Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album?Yes 99.5%

+127 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiClimate

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

PM $8.13M · K 629.3K contracts

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Kalshi: Will there be more than 5000 measles cases in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 98%Rules differK Yes 96.5%

Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Kalshi: Will there be more than 6000 measles cases in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 88.5%Rules differK Yes 83.5%

Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Kalshi: Will there be more than 7000 measles cases in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 45.5%Rules differK Yes 55.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiScience

NASA lands on the moon?

K 553.9K contracts

Will NASA land a person on the Moon by 2029?Yes 41.5%

Will NASA land a person on the Moon by 2028?Yes 24%

Will NASA land a person on the Moon before 2028?Yes 3.1%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiScience

Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026

K 522.7K contracts

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 80,000 jobs?Yes 97.5%

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 81,000 jobs?Yes 96.5%

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 82,000 jobs?Yes 92.5%

+10 moreNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC

Best AI in Oct 2026? (Gemini)Yes 76.5%

Best AI in Oct 2026?

K 507.9K contracts

Best AI in Oct 2026? (Claude)Yes 22.5%

Best AI in Oct 2026? (Muse)Yes 1.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC

Google market share this week? (Above 18.5%)Yes 99.5%

Google market share this week

K 453.0K contracts

Google market share this week? (Above 18.0%)Yes 99.5%

Google market share this week? (Above 17.4%)Yes 99.5%

PM $132.8K · K 433.2K contracts

PolymarketKalshiTech

Tesla Optimus released this year?

Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Tesla Optimus on sale before 2027?

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PM Yes 12.2%Rules differK Yes 7%

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1 saved comparisonNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Will OpenAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?Yes 14.5%

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

K 424.7K contracts

Will xAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?Yes 11%

Will Meta have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?Yes 8%

+9 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will the FDA approve Any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?Yes 21%

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?

K 413.9K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

OpenAI market share this week? (Above 17.1%)Yes 99.5%

OpenAI market share this week

K 404.1K contracts

OpenAI market share this week? (Above 15.1%)Yes 99.5%

OpenAI market share this week? (Above 18.1%)Yes 73.5%

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Central African Republic be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 71.5%

KalshiHealth

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

K 386.0K contracts

Will a human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 34%

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Somalia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 29.5%

+12 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

DeepSeek market share this week? (Above 23.9%)Yes 99.5%

DeepSeek market share this week

K 381.0K contracts

DeepSeek market share this week? (Above 21.7%)Yes 99.5%

DeepSeek market share this week? (Above 23.2%)Yes 99%

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 83.2%

When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?

K 332.3K contracts

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 58.5%

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 29.2%

+2 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC

Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Denver, CO before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 95.5%

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?

K 271.1K contracts

Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Las Vegas, NV before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 86.5%

Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Sacramento, CA before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 16.5%

+16 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Best AI this week (Gemini)Yes 99.5%

Best AI this week

K 258.7K contracts

Best AI this week (Grok)Yes 0.5%

Best AI this week (ChatGPT)Yes 0.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 13, 2026?Yes 36.5%

When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?

K 238.6K contracts

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 6, 2026?Yes 34%

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Oct 30, 2026?Yes 18%

+1 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 6)Yes 99.5%

How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

K 228.9K contracts

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 7)Yes 98.5%

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 8)Yes 97.5%

+8 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Which agencies will Trump eliminate?

K 200.4K contracts

Will USAID be eliminated?Yes 17.5%

Will EPA be eliminated?Yes 11.3%

Will IRS be eliminated?Yes 7.4%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC

Will Claude be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?Yes 26.5%

Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?

K 193.9K contracts

Will Gemini be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?Yes 15.5%

Will ChatGPT be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?Yes 6.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?Yes 13%

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?

K 184.8K contracts

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? (United States)Yes 56.5%

KalshiScience

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

K 171.2K contracts

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? (China)Yes 30.9%

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? (Russia)Yes 1.7%

+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2031 UTC

Above 0 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026Yes 18%

How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

K 158.2K contracts

Above 1 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026Yes 12.5%

Above 2 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026Yes 11.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Clip-on device for clothing)Yes 8.5%

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?

K 157.1K contracts

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Earbuds/Headphones)Yes 7%

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Glasses)Yes 6.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?Yes 54.2%

Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?

K 145.4K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?

K 145.3K contracts

Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? (Donald Trump)Yes 52%

Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? (Bill Clinton)Yes 51%

Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026? (Naomi Campbell)Yes 45.5%

+15 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 52%

When will the Riemann hypothesis win the Millennium Prize?

K 144.4K contracts

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2032?Yes 45%

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 28%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

PolymarketKalshiTech

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

PM $277.7K · K 140.2K contracts

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Kalshi: Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?

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PM Yes 6%Rules differK Yes 8%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Jonah Elliss be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 60.5%

NFL Players Traded

K 129.1K contracts

Will Jerry Jeudy be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 59%

Will Spencer Rattler be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 56.5%

+50 moreNext deadline Dec 15, 2026 UTC

KalshiSports

Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score

K 128.6K contracts

Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? (above 1490)Yes 28%

Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? (above 1510)Yes 27%

Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? (above 1505)Yes 27%

+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Anthropic market share this week? (Above 4.0%)Yes 99.5%

Anthropic market share this week

K 126.3K contracts

Anthropic market share this week? (Above 3.8%)Yes 99.5%

Anthropic market share this week? (Above 3.7%)Yes 99.5%

Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?Yes 10.5%

Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?

K 122.9K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Aug 8, 2099 UTC

Will Pennsylvania have at least 180 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 74.5%

Number of data centers in Pennsylvania this year?

K 118.4K contracts

Will Pennsylvania have at least 185 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 64.5%

Will Pennsylvania have at least 190 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 57.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 33%

When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?

K 112.1K contracts

Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 21%

Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 8.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

KalshiSports

AI capability growth this year?

K 104.8K contracts

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1540 before Jan 1, 2027Yes 57.5%

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027Yes 33%

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1600 before Jan 1, 2027Yes 7.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?Yes 19.5%

Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?

K 96.4K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC

Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?Yes 59%

Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?

K 95.7K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC

Will a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague be reported in the United States before January 1, 2027?Yes 13.5%

Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?

K 88.4K contracts

Will a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague be reported in the United States before December 1, 2026?Yes 7%

Will a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague be reported in the United States before November 1, 2026?Yes 4.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

Will Meta release A model called Llama 5 or greater before Jan 2027?Yes 2.5%

Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?

K 80.7K contracts