Skip to main content
PredictPedia

Browse prediction markets

Explore the full Polymarket and Kalshi catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories

Showing 1-48 of 2,815 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

KalshiEconomics
S&P close price end of 2026?

S&P close price end of 2026?

K 7.82M contracts
Will the S&P 500 be between 7800 and 7999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 17.5%
Will the S&P 500 be between 8000 and 8199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 15.5%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7600 and 7799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 14.5%
+24 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

PM $98.44M · K 5.73M contracts

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Kalshi: Will Nicolás Maduro be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Needs review

PM Yes 72%Review neededK Yes 78.5%

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Kalshi: Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Needs review

PM Yes 21.5%Review neededK Yes 17.5%

Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Kalshi: Will Edmundo González Urrutia be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Needs review

PM Yes 0.3%Review neededK Yes 6.1%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

15 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

PM $74.12M · K 33.41M contracts

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Kalshi: Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 5.1%Rules differK Yes 4.2%

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?

Kalshi: Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Nov 1, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.5%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?

Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?

K 4.81M contracts
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 33000 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 10%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 30500 and 30999.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 8.5%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 30000 and 30499.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 8.5%
+27 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

K 3.78M contracts
Will Christopher Luxon leave Prime Minister of New Zealand before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 48.5%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu leave Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 38.5%
Will Pedro Sánchez leave Prime Minister of Spain before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 21.5%
+31 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomics
Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

PM $54.50M · K 10.74M contracts

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Fed cut rates 0 times?

Related contracts

PM Yes 96.9%Rules differK Yes 94.8%

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Fed cut rates 1 time?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.1%Rules differK Yes 2.9%

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Fed cut rates 2 times?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.5%Rules differK Yes 0.6%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

12 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

PM $48.44M · K 124.3K contracts

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Kalshi: Will Gadi Eisenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Related contracts

PM Yes 45.6%Rules differK Yes 58.5%

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Related contracts

PM Yes 12.5%Rules differK Yes 16.5%

Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.1%Rules differK Yes 4%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

10 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Recession this year?

Recession this year?

K 3.69M contracts
Will there be a recession in 2026?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomics
Fed decision in Oct 2026?

Fed decision in Oct 2026?

PM $45.53M · K 12.59M contracts

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2027 meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 86.5%Rules differK Yes 77.5%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 86.5%Rules differK Yes 86.5%

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their October 2027 meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 13.5%Rules differK Yes 8%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

8 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will at least 50% of scheduled flights at JFK be cancelled on October 21, 2026?

Will at least 50% of scheduled flights at JFK be cancelled on October 21, 2026?

K 3.07M contracts
Will at least 50% of scheduled passenger and cargo flights at JFK be cancelled October 21, 2026?Yes 0.7%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

PM $18.46M · K 9.91M contracts

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Kalshi: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 12.5%Rules differK Yes 7%

Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?

Kalshi: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before November 1, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.3%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

Kalshi: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before November 1, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.9%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Buffalo vs Las Vegas: Touchdowns

Buffalo vs Las Vegas: Touchdowns

K 2.40M contracts
Josh Allen: 1+ touchdownsYes 48.5%
James Cook III: 1+ touchdownsYes 46.5%
Ashton Jeanty: 2+ touchdownsYes 43.5%
+50 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

K 2.09M contracts
Who will IPO before 2027? (Anthropic)Yes 71%
Who will IPO before 2027? (Discord)Yes 10.5%
Who will IPO before 2027? (Skims)Yes 6.5%
+24 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

PM $18.38M
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?Yes 11%
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Yes 10%
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?Yes 9%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

K 2.02M contracts
Hantavirus Public Health Emergency of International Concern by 2026?Yes 3.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Largest Company end of December 2026?

Largest Company end of December 2026?

PM $8.58M
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 66.5%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 28.5%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 2.1%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiClimate
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

PM $8.13M · K 629.9K contracts

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Kalshi: Will there be more than 5000 measles cases in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 98%Rules differK Yes 97%

Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Kalshi: Will there be more than 6000 measles cases in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 89%Rules differK Yes 83.5%

Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Kalshi: Will there be more than 7000 measles cases in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 54%Rules differK Yes 55%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Time's Person of the Year for 2026

Time's Person of the Year for 2026

K 1.87M contracts
Will Zohran Mamdani be Time Person of the Year in 2026?Yes 27.5%
Will Pope Leo XIV be Time Person of the Year in 2026?Yes 16.5%
Will Mark Carney be Time Person of the Year in 2026?Yes 12.5%
+39 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How high will US gas prices get in 2026?

How high will US gas prices get in 2026?

K 1.86M contracts
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.60 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 47.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.80 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 31.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $5.00 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 23%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
IPOs before 2027?

IPOs before 2027?

PM $7.54M
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes 73.5%
Celonis IPO before 2027?Yes 7%
Discord IPO before 2027?Yes 6.4%
+26 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
#1 searched person on Google in 2026

#1 searched person on Google in 2026

K 1.64M contracts
Will Erling Haaland be in the 1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 17.5%
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 12%
Will Donald Trump be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 6.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?

Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?

PM $6.43M
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?Yes >99.9%
1 mkt
KalshiFinancials
When will Apple release the iPhone 18?

When will Apple release the iPhone 18?

K 1.59M contracts
Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 85%
Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 12.5%
Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 4%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

PM $6.04M
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Yes 26.5%
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Yes 12.5%
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Yes 9.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed rate cut before 2027?

Fed rate cut before 2027?

K 1.51M contracts
Will the Federal Reserve cut rates before 2027?Yes 5.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

PM $5.80M
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes 83.5%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes 67.5%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes 58.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

PM $5.45M · K 14.77M contracts

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Gemini)

Related contracts

PM Yes 75.6%Rules differK Yes 37.8%

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Claude)

Related contracts

PM Yes 47.5%Rules differK Yes 46.9%

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Claude)

Related contracts

PM Yes 23.5%Rules differK Yes 46.9%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

15 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

K 1.51M contracts
Will it be reported that at least one million Americans have received checks of at least $1000 directly attributable to tariff revenue?Yes 3.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Will the S&P finish positive this year?

Will the S&P finish positive this year?

K 1.36M contracts
Will the S&P 500 be above 6845.5 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 90.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Anthropic IPO by __?

Anthropic IPO by __?

PM $4.98M
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 74.5%
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Yes 66.5%
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes 56.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Los Angeles C vs Kansas City: Touchdowns

Los Angeles C vs Kansas City: Touchdowns

K 1.35M contracts
Kenneth Walker III: 2+ touchdownsYes 50.5%
KC Chiefs D/ST: 1+ touchdownsYes 29%
Xavier Worthy: 1+ touchdownsYes 27.5%
+45 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Fed Decision in December?

Fed Decision in December?

PM $3.95M
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes 75.5%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes 21.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes 2.8%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Picture

Oscar nominees: Best Picture

K 1.32M contracts
2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (The Odyssey)Yes 97.5%
2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (The Black Ball)Yes 94.5%
2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (Wild Horse Nine)Yes 87.5%
+50 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

PM $3.80M
Fed rate cut by July 2027 meeting?Yes 51%
Fed rate cut by April 2027 meeting?Yes 32%
Fed rate cut by June 2027 meeting?Yes 28.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 29, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

K 1.26M contracts
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 85.5%
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? (Before Mar 1, 2027)Yes 83%
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? (Before Feb 1, 2027)Yes 73.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketScience
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

PM $3.79M
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes 82.5%
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes 18%
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Yes 0.3%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiFinance
Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?

Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?

PM $3.14M · K 3.56M contracts

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Kalshi: Will GameStop announce acquisition of eBay before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 6.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed decision in Dec 2026?

Fed decision in Dec 2026?

K 1.25M contracts
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting?Yes 72.5%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2026 meeting?Yes 23.5%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their December 2026 meeting?Yes 4.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 10, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Top Artist on Spotify U.S. 2026

Top Artist on Spotify U.S. 2026

K 1.18M contracts
Will Drake be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 82.5%
Will Taylor Swift be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 12%
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 3%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

PM $3.08M
AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?Yes 16.5%
AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes 10.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

K 1.16M contracts
Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Justin Gaethje)Yes 87.5%
Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Arman Tsarukyan)Yes 9.5%
Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Ilia Topuria)Yes 2.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
OpenAI IPO by...?

OpenAI IPO by...?

PM $3.06M
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?Yes 34.5%
Will OpenAI IPO by March 31 2027?Yes 19.5%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes 4.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

K 1.16M contracts
Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (Anthropic)Yes 74%
Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (OpenAI)Yes 13.5%
Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (Google)Yes 3%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

PM $2.83M
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?Yes 90%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?Yes 61.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Yes 46.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Arizona vs Los Angeles R: Touchdowns

Arizona vs Los Angeles R: Touchdowns

K 1.14M contracts
Kyren Williams: 1+ touchdownsYes 45.5%
Puka Nacua: 1+ touchdownsYes 41.5%
Davante Adams: 1+ touchdownsYes 34.5%
+41 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

PM $2.44M
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 96.7%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes 1.1%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Yes 0.8%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?

Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?

K 1.10M contracts
Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Unusual Machines?Yes 30.5%
Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Anduril?Yes 22.5%
Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Neros Technologies?Yes 20%
+15 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

PM $2.32M
US recession by end of 2026?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 31, 2027 UTC