Browse prediction markets

Kalshi: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 12.5%Rules differK Yes 6.7%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

Kalshi: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before November 1, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.9%Rules differK Yes 1.5%

Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?

Kalshi: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before November 1, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.3%Rules differK Yes 1.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiTech

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Kalshi: Will there be more than 5000 measles cases in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 97.9%Rules differK Yes 96.5%

Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Kalshi: Will there be more than 6000 measles cases in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 88.5%Rules differK Yes 84.5%

Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Kalshi: Will there be more than 7000 measles cases in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 53%Rules differK Yes 56%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiCulture

Oscar nominees: Best Picture

K 1.31M contracts

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (The Odyssey)Yes 97.5%

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (The Black Ball)Yes 94.5%

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (Wild Horse Nine)Yes 87.5%

+50 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

KalshiPolitics

What will Trump say during his rally in Kentucky?

K 1.29M contracts

What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Highland Heights, Kentucky originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Ford)Yes 99.5%

What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Highland Heights, Kentucky originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Transgender)Yes 99.5%

What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Highland Heights, Kentucky originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Tariff (3+ times))Yes 99.5%

+36 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

PolymarketTech

IPOs before 2027?

PM $7.54M

Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes 72.5%

Celonis IPO before 2027?Yes 7%

Discord IPO before 2027?Yes 6.7%

+26 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiEntertainment

Top Artist on Spotify U.S. 2026

K 1.18M contracts

Will Drake be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 82.5%

Will Taylor Swift be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 11%

Will Bad Bunny be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 3.5%

+13 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

PolymarketClimate

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

PM $6.62M

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 65%

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 35.9%

Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 0.4%

+9 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiWorld

Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

K 1.16M contracts

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Justin Gaethje)Yes 87%

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Arman Tsarukyan)Yes 10.5%

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Ilia Topuria)Yes 2.5%

+9 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

PolymarketTech

Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?

PM $6.18M

Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?Yes >99.9%

1 mkt

KalshiCompanies

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

K 1.16M contracts

Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (Anthropic)Yes 74%

Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (OpenAI)Yes 16.5%

Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (Google)Yes 3.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

PolymarketTech

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

PM $6.03M

Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Yes 26.5%

Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Yes 12.5%

Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Yes 9.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiTech

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

PM $5.43M · K 14.73M contracts

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Gemini)

Related contracts

PM Yes 73.8%Rules differK Yes 36.9%

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Claude)

Related contracts

PM Yes 47.5%Rules differK Yes 45.6%

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Claude)

Related contracts

PM Yes 25.5%Rules differK Yes 45.6%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

15 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiTech

Avengers: Doomsday: Cast

K 944.1K contracts

Will Hugh Jackman perform as Wolverine in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes 92%

Will Ryan Reynolds perform as Deadpool in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes 90.5%

Will Benedict Cumberbatch perform as Doctor Strange in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes 90%

+16 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

KalshiScience and Technology

US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?

K 833.7K contracts

Will a new nuclear reactor be approved by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 6.3%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketScience

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

PM $3.79M

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes 80.5%

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes 19.5%

Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Yes 0.3%

+3 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiTech

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

K 741.1K contracts

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? (Above 120)Yes 98.5%

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? (Above 140)Yes 79.5%

How many launches will SpaceX have in Dec 2026? (Above 145)Yes 27.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

PolymarketTech

AI bubble burst by...?

PM $3.06M

AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?Yes 15.5%

AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes 7.6%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiCulture

Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album · Features

K 714.4K contracts

Will SZA be featured on Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album?Yes 99.5%

Will Rauw Alejandro be featured on Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album?Yes 99.5%

Will PinkPantheress be featured on Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album?Yes 99.5%

+127 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

PolymarketTech

OpenAI IPO by...?

PM $3.06M

Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?Yes 34.5%

Will OpenAI IPO by March 31 2027?Yes 20%

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes 4.3%

3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiScience and Technology

When will Anthropic release Mythos?

K 713.7K contracts

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 10%

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 2.5%

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 1.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

PolymarketTech

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

PM $2.44M

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 96.7%

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes 1.1%

Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Yes 0.8%

+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiScience

NASA lands on the moon?

K 554.0K contracts

Will NASA land a person on the Moon by 2029?Yes 41.5%

Will NASA land a person on the Moon by 2028?Yes 23.5%

Will NASA land a person on the Moon before 2028?Yes 3.1%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketTech

Human moon landing in 2026?

PM $1.98M

Human moon landing in 2026?Yes 1.2%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiSports

Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026?

K 522.7K contracts

Who will be the Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026? (Ciryl Gane)Yes 69%

Who will be the Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026? (Josh Hokit)Yes 31.5%

Heavyweight Title holder to be vacant on Dec 31, 2026 (Vacant)Yes 0.5%

+9 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

PolymarketTech

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

PM $1.94M

Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes 97.1%

Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?Yes 1.1%

Will Michael Dell be richest person on December 31?Yes 0.4%

+8 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiScience

Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026

K 522.7K contracts

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 80,000 jobs?Yes 97.5%

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 81,000 jobs?Yes 96.5%

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 82,000 jobs?Yes 92.5%

+10 moreNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC

PolymarketTech

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

PM $1.84M

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Yes 23.5%

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Yes 18.5%

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Yes 9.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

KalshiTech

Best AI in Oct 2026?

K 507.9K contracts

Best AI in Oct 2026? (Gemini)Yes 75.5%

Best AI in Oct 2026? (Claude)Yes 22.5%

Best AI in Oct 2026? (Muse)Yes 1.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiCulture

Top artist on Spotify in 2026?

PM $1.73M · K 816.5K contracts

Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?

Kalshi: Who will be the top Spotify artist this year? (Bad Bunny)

Related contracts

PM Yes 85.5%Rules differK Yes 85.5%

Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?

Kalshi: Who will be the top Spotify artist this year? (Taylor Swift)

Related contracts

PM Yes 10.3%Rules differK Yes 11.5%

Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?

Kalshi: Who will be the top Spotify artist this year? (Drake)

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.1%Rules differK Yes 3.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

9 saved comparisonsNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiClimate and Weather

Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

K 502.2K contracts

Will there be an at least 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?Yes 4.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PolymarketTech

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

PM $1.65M

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026?Yes 29%

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026?Yes 25%

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes 8.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Oct 24, 2026 UTC

KalshiTech

Google market share this week

K 464.8K contracts

Google market share this week? (Above 19.5%)Yes 99.5%

Google market share this week? (Above 18.9%)Yes 99.5%

Google market share this week? (Above 18.7%)Yes 99.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC

PolymarketClimate

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

PM $1.48M

Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 46%

Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 18.5%

Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 17.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

KalshiTech

OpenAI market share this week

K 431.0K contracts

OpenAI market share this week? (Above 18.1%)Yes 99.5%

OpenAI market share this week? (Above 17.1%)Yes 99.5%

OpenAI market share this week? (Above 15.1%)Yes 99.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

PM $1.44M · K 4.51M contracts

Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Susie WIles leaves Chief of Staff in before 2027?

Needs review

PM Yes 34.5%Review neededK Yes 37%

Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Tom Homan leaves White House Border Czar in before 2027?

Needs review

PM Yes 26%Review neededK Yes 14.5%

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Pete Hegseth leaves Secretary of Defense in before 2027?

Needs review

PM Yes 25%Review neededK Yes 23.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

11 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiClimate and Weather

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

K 426.7K contracts

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes 69.8%

1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketTech

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

PM $1.41M

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?Yes 65%

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?Yes 59%

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?Yes 39.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiTech

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

K 424.9K contracts

Will OpenAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?Yes 14.5%

Will xAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?Yes 10.5%

Will ByteDance have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?Yes 7.5%

+9 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketClimate

New pandemic in 2026?

PM $1.24M

New pandemic in 2026?Yes 4%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Browse prediction markets

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Time's Person of the Year for 2026

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

#1 searched person on Google in 2026

When will Apple release the iPhone 18?

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Oscar nominees: Best Picture

What will Trump say during his rally in Kentucky?

IPOs before 2027?

Top Artist on Spotify U.S. 2026

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Avengers: Doomsday: Cast

US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

AI bubble burst by...?

Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album · Features

OpenAI IPO by...?

When will Anthropic release Mythos?

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

NASA lands on the moon?

Human moon landing in 2026?

Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026?

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

Best AI in Oct 2026?

Top artist on Spotify in 2026?

Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Google market share this week

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

OpenAI market share this week

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

New pandemic in 2026?