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Showing 1-48 of 2,279 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
PM $74.11M · K 33.40M contractsWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Kalshi: Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 5.1%Rules differK Yes 4.2%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?
Kalshi: Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Nov 1, 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.5%Rules differK Yes 0.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials
How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
K 9.20M contractsWill the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $115.01 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 38.6%
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $120.01 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 30.9%
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $125.01 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 19.6%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
S&P close price end of 2026?
K 7.81M contractsWill the S&P 500 be between 7800 and 7999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 17.5%
Will the S&P 500 be between 8000 and 8199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 15.5%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7600 and 7799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 14.5%
+24 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomics
Number of rate cuts in 2026?
PM $54.49M · K 10.73M contractsWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Fed cut rates 0 times?
Related contracts
PM Yes 96.8%Rules differK Yes 95.7%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Fed cut rates 1 time?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.1%Rules differK Yes 2.1%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Fed cut rates 2 times?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.5%Rules differK Yes 0.8%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
12 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomics
Fed decision in Oct 2026?
PM $45.33M · K 12.57M contractsWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2027 meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 86.5%Rules differK Yes 76.5%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 86.5%Rules differK Yes 86.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their October 2027 meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 13.5%Rules differK Yes 8%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
8 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
K 4.81M contractsWill the Nasdaq-100 be above 33000 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 10%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 30500 and 30999.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 8.5%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 30000 and 30499.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 8.5%
+27 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiHealth
Pandemic in 2026?
PM $18.62M · K 984.0K contractsHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Kalshi: Pandemic in 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.4%Rules differK Yes 5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Recession this year?
K 3.69M contractsWill there be a recession in 2026?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will at least 50% of scheduled flights at JFK be cancelled on October 21, 2026?
K 3.07M contractsWill at least 50% of scheduled passenger and cargo flights at JFK be cancelled October 21, 2026?Yes 0.6%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiClimate
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
PM $8.13M · K 629.5K contractsWill there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Kalshi: Will there be more than 5000 measles cases in 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 97.9%Rules differK Yes 96.5%
Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Kalshi: Will there be more than 6000 measles cases in 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 88.5%Rules differK Yes 84.5%
Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Kalshi: Will there be more than 7000 measles cases in 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 53%Rules differK Yes 56%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Houston vs Jacksonville: Touchdowns
K 2.78M contractsBhayshul Tuten: 2+ touchdownsYes 99.5%
Woody Marks: 1+ touchdownsYes 69.5%
Bhayshul Tuten: 4+ touchdownsYes 46%
+47 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PM $5.79MWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes 83.5%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes 67.5%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes 57.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
K 2.09M contractsWho will IPO before 2027? (Anthropic)Yes 70.5%
Who will IPO before 2027? (Discord)Yes 11%
Who will IPO before 2027? (Skims)Yes 6.5%
+24 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
PM $5.43M · K 14.73M contractsWill Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Gemini)
Related contracts
PM Yes 73.8%Rules differK Yes 36.9%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Claude)
Related contracts
PM Yes 47.5%Rules differK Yes 45.6%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Claude)
Related contracts
PM Yes 25.5%Rules differK Yes 45.6%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
15 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
K 2.02M contractsHantavirus Public Health Emergency of International Concern by 2026?Yes 3.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Anthropic IPO by __?
PM $4.96MWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 71.5%
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Yes 66.5%
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes 55%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
K 1.86M contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $4.60 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 47.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.80 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 31.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $5.00 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 24.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Fed rate cut by...?
PM $3.80MFed rate cut by July 2027 meeting?Yes 50%
Fed rate cut by June 2027 meeting?Yes 36%
Fed rate cut by April 2027 meeting?Yes 32.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 29, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
K 1.59M contractsWill Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 85%
Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 11%
Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 4%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketScience
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PM $3.79MWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes 80.5%
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes 19.5%
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Yes 0.3%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiFinance
Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
PM $3.14M · K 3.55M contractsWill GameStop acquire eBay?
Kalshi: Will GameStop announce acquisition of eBay before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 5.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed rate cut before 2027?
K 1.51M contractsWill the Federal Reserve cut rates before 2027?Yes 5.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Will the S&P finish positive this year?
K 1.35M contractsWill the S&P 500 be above 6845.5 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 89.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
PM $2.81MWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?Yes 88%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?Yes 61.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Yes 46.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Picture
K 1.31M contracts2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (The Odyssey)Yes 97.5%
2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (The Black Ball)Yes 94.5%
2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (Wild Horse Nine)Yes 87.5%
+50 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
PM $2.05MWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,500 by end of December?Yes 49.5%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Yes 13.5%
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?Yes 12.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Trump say during his rally in Kentucky?
K 1.29M contractsWhat will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Highland Heights, Kentucky originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Ford)Yes 99.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Highland Heights, Kentucky originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Transgender)Yes 99.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Highland Heights, Kentucky originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Tariff (3+ times))Yes 99.5%
+36 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PM $1.92MWill Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes 25.5%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes 18.7%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes 18.1%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed decision in Dec 2026?
K 1.25M contractsWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting?Yes 71.5%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2026 meeting?Yes 21.5%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their December 2026 meeting?Yes 5%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCulture
Top artist on Spotify in 2026?
PM $1.73M · K 816.5K contractsWill Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?
Kalshi: Who will be the top Spotify artist this year? (Bad Bunny)
Related contracts
PM Yes 85.5%Rules differK Yes 85.5%
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?
Kalshi: Who will be the top Spotify artist this year? (Taylor Swift)
Related contracts
PM Yes 10.3%Rules differK Yes 11.5%
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?
Kalshi: Who will be the top Spotify artist this year? (Drake)
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.1%Rules differK Yes 3.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
9 saved comparisonsNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Top Artist on Spotify U.S. 2026
K 1.18M contractsWill Drake be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 82.5%
Will Taylor Swift be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 11%
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 3.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
PM $1.56MOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?Yes 74.5%
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes 67.5%
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes 58.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCulture
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
PM $1.47M · K 2.55M contractsJack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
Kalshi: Will Jack Lowden be the next James Bond?
Related contracts
PM Yes 26.8%Rules differK Yes 33.5%
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
Kalshi: Will Callum Turner be the next James Bond?
Related contracts
PM Yes 19.5%Rules differK Yes 31.5%
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?
Kalshi: Will Josh O'Connor be the next James Bond?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.3%Rules differK Yes 23.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
19 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
K 1.16M contractsWhich AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (Anthropic)Yes 74%
Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (OpenAI)Yes 16.5%
Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (Google)Yes 3.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
PM $1.44M · K 4.51M contractsWill Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Susie WIles leaves Chief of Staff in before 2027?
Needs review
PM Yes 34.5%Review neededK Yes 37%
Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Tom Homan leaves White House Border Czar in before 2027?
Needs review
PM Yes 26%Review neededK Yes 14.5%
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Pete Hegseth leaves Secretary of Defense in before 2027?
Needs review
PM Yes 25%Review neededK Yes 23.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
11 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?
K 1.10M contractsWill any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Unusual Machines?Yes 31.5%
Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Anduril?Yes 24%
Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Neros Technologies?Yes 20.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCrypto
Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026
PM $1.42M · K 304.2K contractsWill Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 17.5%Rules differK Yes 43.8%
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 40%Rules differK Yes 43.8%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Carolina vs Philadelphia: Touchdowns
K 1.03M contractsChuba Hubbard: 1+ touchdownsYes 49.5%
Dameon Pierce: 1+ touchdownsYes 34.5%
Tetairoa McMillan: 1+ touchdownsYes 31.5%
+40 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
New Orleans vs New York G: Touchdowns
K 998.2K contractsCam Skattebo: 1+ touchdownsYes 41.5%
Malik Nabers: 1+ touchdownsYes 37.5%
Chris Olave: 1+ touchdownsYes 37.5%
+48 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PM $1.31MWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes 64.5%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes 13.5%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Yes 9%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
How high will the S&P get this year?
K 991.9K contractsWill the maximum SP500 value reach 7999.99 by Jan 1, 2027?Yes 49.2%
Will the maximum SP500 value reach 8199.99 by Jan 1, 2027?Yes 21.7%
Will the maximum SP500 value reach 8399.99 by Jan 1, 2027?Yes 11.1%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinancials
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...?
PM $1.22MMicrostrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?Yes 93.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
How low will the S&P get this year?
K 921.3K contractsWill the minimum SP500 value reach below 6300.01 by Jan 1, 2027?Yes 9.3%
Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6200.01 by Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8%
Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6000.01 by Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomics
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
PM $1.10MWill 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes 68.5%
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes 22.5%
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes 10.4%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?
PM $1.03M · K 11.4K contractsWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?
Kalshi: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.39% by Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 36.5%Rules differK Yes 35%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
Kalshi: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.49% by Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 26.3%Rules differK Yes 32%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US gas prices this week
K 892.4K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $4.2800?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2600?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2400?Yes 99.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
K 833.7K contractsWill a new nuclear reactor be approved by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 6.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketHealth
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
PM $784.1KEbola pandemic in 2026?Yes 2.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC