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Showing 1-48 of 6,415 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
PolymarketKalshiCrypto
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
PM $111.77M · K 24.44M contractsWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will Bitcoin be above $99,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?
Related contracts
PM Yes 20.5%Rules differK Yes 24.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will Bitcoin be below $55000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?
Related contracts
PM Yes 10.5%Rules differK Yes 10.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will Bitcoin be above $109,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?
Related contracts
PM Yes 9.5%Rules differK Yes 7.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
15 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCrypto
Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
K 42.09M contractsBTC price on Jan 1, 2027? (80,000 to 84,999.99)Yes 14.9%
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027? (75,000 to 79,999.99)Yes 13.8%
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027? (85,000 to 89,999.99)Yes 12.4%
+25 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
PM $98.43M · K 5.73M contractsWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Kalshi: Will Nicolás Maduro be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Needs review
PM Yes 71.9%Review neededK Yes 77%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Kalshi: Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Needs review
PM Yes 20%Review neededK Yes 18.5%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Kalshi: Will Edmundo González Urrutia be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Needs review
PM Yes 0.3%Review neededK Yes 6.1%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
15 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials
How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
K 9.20M contractsWill the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $115.01 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 38.6%
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $120.01 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 30.9%
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $125.01 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 19.6%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
PM $74.11M · K 33.40M contractsWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Kalshi: Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 5.1%Rules differK Yes 4.2%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?
Kalshi: Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Nov 1, 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.5%Rules differK Yes 0.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
S&P close price end of 2026?
K 7.81M contractsWill the S&P 500 be between 7800 and 7999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 17.5%
Will the S&P 500 be between 8000 and 8199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 15.5%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7600 and 7799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 14.5%
+24 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
K 4.81M contractsWill the Nasdaq-100 be above 33000 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 10%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 30500 and 30999.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 8.5%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 30000 and 30499.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 8.5%
+27 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomics
Number of rate cuts in 2026?
PM $54.49M · K 10.73M contractsWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Fed cut rates 0 times?
Related contracts
PM Yes 96.8%Rules differK Yes 95.7%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Fed cut rates 1 time?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.1%Rules differK Yes 2.1%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Fed cut rates 2 times?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.5%Rules differK Yes 0.8%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
12 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCrypto
Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000?
K 3.75M contractsWill BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomics
Fed decision in Oct 2026?
PM $45.33M · K 12.57M contractsWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2027 meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 86.5%Rules differK Yes 76.5%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 86.5%Rules differK Yes 86.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their October 2027 meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 13.5%Rules differK Yes 8%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
8 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Will the Clarity Act become law?
PM $24.09M · K 4.18M contractsClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Kalshi: Will a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 5.1%Rules differK Yes 5.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Recession this year?
K 3.69M contractsWill there be a recession in 2026?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will at least 50% of scheduled flights at JFK be cancelled on October 21, 2026?
K 3.07M contractsWill at least 50% of scheduled passenger and cargo flights at JFK be cancelled October 21, 2026?Yes 0.6%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCrypto
Who will launch a token this year?
PM $20.96M · K 85.8K contractsWill Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will Exponent launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 11.5%Rules differK Yes 26.5%
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will Felix launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 14.2%Rules differK Yes 14%
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
Kalshi: Will Arc launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 7.5%Rules differK Yes 12.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
12 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCrypto
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
PM $18.11M · K 12.23M contractsWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: ETH price on Jan 1, 2027? (999.99 or below)
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.5%Rules differK Yes 2.1%
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: ETH price on Jan 1, 2027? (5,000 or above)
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.1%Rules differK Yes 3.3%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Houston vs Jacksonville: Touchdowns
K 2.78M contractsBhayshul Tuten: 2+ touchdownsYes 99.5%
Woody Marks: 1+ touchdownsYes 69.5%
Bhayshul Tuten: 4+ touchdownsYes 46%
+47 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiCrypto
How high will Ethereum get in 2026?
K 2.74M contractsWill Ethereum reach above $3500.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM?Yes 13.5%
Will Ethereum reach above $3750.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM?Yes 9.5%
Will Ethereum reach above $4000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM?Yes 7.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Bitcoin all time high by ___?
PM $10.50MBitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
K 2.09M contractsWho will IPO before 2027? (Anthropic)Yes 70.5%
Who will IPO before 2027? (Discord)Yes 11%
Who will IPO before 2027? (Skims)Yes 6.5%
+24 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiClimate
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
PM $8.13M · K 629.5K contractsWill there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Kalshi: Will there be more than 5000 measles cases in 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 97.9%Rules differK Yes 96.5%
Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Kalshi: Will there be more than 6000 measles cases in 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 88.5%Rules differK Yes 84.5%
Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Kalshi: Will there be more than 7000 measles cases in 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 53%Rules differK Yes 56%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
K 2.02M contractsHantavirus Public Health Emergency of International Concern by 2026?Yes 3.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PM $7.07MPredict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 97.2%
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 95.6%
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 92.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCrypto
Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PM $6.91M · K 183.9K contractsOpensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Kalshi: Will Opensea FDV be above $1999999999.99 at 10:00 AM on Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.9%Rules differK Yes 13%
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Kalshi: Will Opensea FDV be above $4999999999.99 at 10:00 AM on Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.8%Rules differK Yes 9.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Time's Person of the Year for 2026
K 1.87M contractsWill Zohran Mamdani be Time Person of the Year in 2026?Yes 28.5%
Will Pope Leo XIV be Time Person of the Year in 2026?Yes 17%
Will Mark Carney be Time Person of the Year in 2026?Yes 12.5%
+39 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
K 1.86M contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $4.60 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 47.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.80 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 31.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $5.00 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 24.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PM $5.79MWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes 83.5%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes 67.5%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes 57.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
K 1.59M contractsWill Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 85%
Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 11%
Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 4%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PM $5.60MPuffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 25.5%
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 23.5%
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 15%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
PM $5.43M · K 14.73M contractsWill Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Gemini)
Related contracts
PM Yes 73.8%Rules differK Yes 36.9%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Claude)
Related contracts
PM Yes 47.5%Rules differK Yes 45.6%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Claude)
Related contracts
PM Yes 25.5%Rules differK Yes 45.6%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
15 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed rate cut before 2027?
K 1.51M contractsWill the Federal Reserve cut rates before 2027?Yes 5.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
K 1.51M contractsWill it be reported that at least one million Americans have received checks of at least $1000 directly attributable to tariff revenue?Yes 3.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Anthropic IPO by __?
PM $4.96MWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 71.5%
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Yes 66.5%
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes 55%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCrypto
Will Bitcoin be above $250k by 2027?
K 1.42M contractsWill Bitcoin be above $250000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET?Yes 1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PM $3.97MExtended FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes 65.5%
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 38.5%
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 18.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Will the S&P finish positive this year?
K 1.35M contractsWill the S&P 500 be above 6845.5 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 89.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Fed rate cut by...?
PM $3.80MFed rate cut by July 2027 meeting?Yes 50%
Fed rate cut by June 2027 meeting?Yes 36%
Fed rate cut by April 2027 meeting?Yes 32.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 29, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Picture
K 1.31M contracts2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (The Odyssey)Yes 97.5%
2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (The Black Ball)Yes 94.5%
2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (Wild Horse Nine)Yes 87.5%
+50 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketScience
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PM $3.79MWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes 80.5%
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes 19.5%
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Yes 0.3%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiCrypto
How high will BTC get in October?
K 1.30M contractsWill BTC trimmed mean be above $87500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 27%
Will BTC trimmed mean be above $90000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 15.5%
Will BTC trimmed mean be above $92500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 8.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PM $3.55MVariational FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 98.1%
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 98%
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 93.1%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
K 1.26M contractsWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 85.5%
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? (Before Mar 1, 2027)Yes 83%
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? (Before Feb 1, 2027)Yes 73.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PM $3.35MMetamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 6%
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 5.5%
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiFinance
Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
PM $3.14M · K 3.55M contractsWill GameStop acquire eBay?
Kalshi: Will GameStop announce acquisition of eBay before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 5.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCrypto
How low will Ethereum get in 2026?
K 1.25M contractsWill Ethereum reach below $1500.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET?Yes 12.5%
Will Ethereum reach below $1250.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET?Yes 7.5%
Will Ethereum reach below $1000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET?Yes 4.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed decision in Dec 2026?
K 1.25M contractsWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting?Yes 71.5%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2026 meeting?Yes 21.5%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their December 2026 meeting?Yes 5%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
PM $2.81MWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?Yes 88%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?Yes 61.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Yes 46.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Top Artist on Spotify U.S. 2026
K 1.18M contractsWill Drake be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 82.5%
Will Taylor Swift be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 11%
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 3.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Pump.fun airdrop by ....?
PM $2.79MWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026Yes 10%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC