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Showing 577-624 of 8,441 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEconomics
Number of Fed rate changes before 2027
K 111.9K contractsWill the number of rate changes before 2027 be exactly 2?Yes 63.9%
Will the number of rate changes before 2027 be exactly 1?Yes 17.3%
Will the number of rate changes before 2027 be exactly 3?Yes 8.8%
+9 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Andrew Tate released from custody by...?
PM $310.6KAndrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes 8.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Dallas vs Green Bay: 1st Touchdown
K 111.2K contractsJavonte Williams: 1st TouchdownYes 17.5%
MarShawn Lloyd: 1st TouchdownYes 13.5%
CeeDee Lamb: 1st TouchdownYes 8.5%
+25 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
PM $310.3KWill Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes 66%
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes 32.2%
Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes <0.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas Governor margin of victory
K 110.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 73.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 65.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 39.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
PM $309.8KLee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)
K 110.3K contractsWill there be more than 170 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 86%
Will there be more than 185 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 76.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?
PM $308.6KHamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Florida Governor winner?
PM $307.0K · K 3.39M contractsWill the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Florida
Related contracts
PM Yes 80.5%Rules differK Yes 80.5%
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Florida
Related contracts
PM Yes 20.5%Rules differK Yes 19.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
2028 Republican Presidential ticket
K 109.9K contractsWill JD Vance and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?Yes 27.5%
Will Marco Rubio and JD Vance be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?Yes 8.2%
Will JD Vance and Erika Kirk be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?Yes 5.3%
+22 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How high will US diesel prices get in 2026?
K 109.4K contractsWill the national average price for diesel in 2026 go above $6.60?Yes 62%
Will the national average price for diesel in 2026 go above $6.80?Yes 60.5%
Will the national average price for diesel in 2026 go above $7.00?Yes 45.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
PM $303.6KWill Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Yes 74.3%
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026?Yes 17.6%
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?Yes 10.1%
+5 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
South Carolina Senate margin of victory
K 108.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 81.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 73.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 48.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?
PM $301.5KSaudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?Yes 30.5%
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Yes 5.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?
K 108.4K contractsWill Samuel Alito resign during Trump's term?Yes 64.5%
Will Clarence Thomas resign during Trump's term?Yes 46.5%
Will John Roberts resign during Trump's term?Yes 18.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia enter Borova by...?
PM $298.8KWill Russia enter Borova by December 31, 2026?Yes 15%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will a cabinet member be impeached?
K 107.7K contractsWill any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 73%
Will any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 65.5%
Will any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 55%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?
PM $298.7KKadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Yes 5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many reconciliation bills will become law from Nov 25, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026?
K 107.1K contractsWill exactly 1 reconciliation bill become law from Nov 25, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026?Yes 64.5%
Will exactly 2 reconciliation bills become law from Nov 25, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026?Yes 32%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US imports Russian diesel by...?
PM $298.2KUS imports Russian diesel by November 30?Yes 28.5%
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Yes 2.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes?
K 106.9K contractsWill a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 40.5%
Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 39.5%
Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 23.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NATO article 5 before 2027?
PM $298.1KNATO article 5 before 2027?Yes 4.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
New Jersey gas price at year-end 2026
K 106.2K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $3.8000?Yes 96.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $3.7000?Yes 62%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2000?Yes 61%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?
PM $296.9KNigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027?Yes 15%
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Yes 8%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Wisconsin corn yield in 2026
K 106.1K contractsWill Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 164 bu/acre?Yes 97.5%
Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 168 bu/acre?Yes 96.5%
Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 172 bu/acre?Yes 88.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?
PM $291.7KClaudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?Yes 4.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage?
K 105.5K contractsWill the Supreme Court overturn marriage equality?Yes 8.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
PM $290.2KWill the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will a GOP member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment?
K 105.0K contractsWill any Republican member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 48.5%
Will any Republican member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 40.5%
Will any Republican member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 27%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
PM $281.6KUNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Yes 10.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Iowa ethanol production in 2026
K 103.8K contractsWill Iowa ethanol production for 2026 be above 4.3 billion gallons?Yes 97%
Will Iowa ethanol production for 2026 be above 4.4 billion gallons?Yes 96%
Will Iowa ethanol production for 2026 be above 4.5 billion gallons?Yes 79.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
PM $280.3KUS x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes 13%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Gianni Infantino out as President of FIFA in 2026
K 103.2K contractsWill Gianni Infantino leave from being President of FIFA in 2026?Yes 10%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?
PM $279.6KWill Russia capture all of Drobysheve by December 31?Yes 5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 2nd place?
K 102.9K contractsWill SNSD finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?Yes 77.5%
Will NiP finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?Yes 47%
Will SDA finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?Yes 19.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Oct 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
PM $279.4KIran nuclear test before 2027?Yes 5.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Maine Senate margin of victory
K 102.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Maine be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 37%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Maine be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 26.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Maine be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 15%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Minnesota Senate winner?
PM $278.0K · K 2.46M contractsWill the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Democratic (DFL)s win the Senate race in Minnesota?
Related contracts
PM Yes 87%Rules differK Yes 85.5%
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Minnesota?
Related contracts
PM Yes 13.5%Rules differK Yes 14.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Wisconsin total milk production in 2026
K 100.7K contractsWill Wisconsin’s total milk production for 2026 be above 32.75 billion pounds?Yes 96.5%
Will Wisconsin’s total milk production for 2026 be above 33.00 billion pounds?Yes 92.5%
Will Wisconsin’s total milk production for 2026 be above 33.25 billion pounds?Yes 59.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
PM $273.6KKRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?Yes 5.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
New York Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $271.0K · K 3.47M contractsWill the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in New York
Related contracts
PM Yes 95.2%Rules differK Yes 93.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in New York
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.4%Rules differK Yes 6.5%
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in New York
Related contracts
PM Yes 5%Rules differK Yes 6.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Elon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026
K 98.5K contractsWill Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $600 billion?Yes 91%
Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $500 billion?Yes 89%
Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $700 billion?Yes 81%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?
K 98.0K contractsWill Mike Johnson win the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress?Yes 32.5%
Will Jim Jordan win the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress?Yes 30.5%
Will Steve Scalise win the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress?Yes 13%
+13 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
PM $269.8KWill Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?Yes 1.7%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NV-02 House winner?
K 97.7K contractsWill Republican win the House race for NV-02?Yes 73.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for NV-02?Yes 27.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?
PM $268.3KEuropean country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Bank of Japan rate decision in December
PM $266.2K · K 34.7K contractsNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of Japan Maintain current rate at the December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 96.5%Rules differK Yes 28%
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of Japan Maintain current rate at the October 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 96.5%Rules differK Yes 94.5%
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of Japan Hike 25bps at the December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 70%Rules differK Yes 69.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
13 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?
K 97.0K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that New Hampshire holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 86%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Iowa holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 8%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that South Carolina holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 4.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2028 UTC