Browse prediction markets

Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?Yes 66.5%

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

PM $180.7K

Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?Yes 16.5%

Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?Yes 14.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC

Laquon Treadwell: 1+ receptionsYes 99.5%

Tennessee vs Indianapolis: Receptions

K 205.3K contracts

Wan'Dale Robinson: 2+ receptionsYes 99.5%

Keenan Allen: 3+ receptionsYes 99.5%

+79 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in October?Yes 81.5%

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026?

PM $178.2K

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $58 in October?Yes 76%

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 in October?Yes 54.5%

+14 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiSports

Core CPI YoY in November

K 204.6K contracts

Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.0% for the year ending in November 2026?Yes 98.5%

Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.3% for the year ending in November 2026?Yes 97.5%

Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.2% for the year ending in November 2026?Yes 97.5%

+13 moreNext deadline Dec 17, 2026 UTC

Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.4%

Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?

PM $173.7K

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 30 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 16.5%

KalshiTech

How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?

K 204.1K contracts

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 40 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 13%

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 50 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 10.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Apr 5, 2027 UTC

Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes 35.5%

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

PM $170.1K

Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Yes 13.5%

Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes 13%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Which agencies will Trump eliminate?

K 200.4K contracts

Will USAID be eliminated?Yes 17.5%

Will EPA be eliminated?Yes 11.3%

Will IRS be eliminated?Yes 7.4%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC

PolymarketKalshiWorld

How high will Brazil inflation get this year?

PM $168.4K · K 19.4K contracts

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be at least 7.00%?

Kalshi: Will Brazil annual inflation rate before 2027 be above 7.00%?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

KalshiScience and Technology

Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?

K 194.1K contracts

Will Claude be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?Yes 27.5%

Will Gemini be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?Yes 15.5%

Will ChatGPT be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?Yes 6.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?Yes 49.5%

What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?

PM $166.3K

Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Yes 33.5%

Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T?Yes 7%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

Will the Fed have an emergency meeting before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 3.2%

Will the Fed have an emergency meeting in 2026?

K 186.1K contracts

Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes 52.5%

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

PM $162.1K

Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes 38%

Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes 20.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiScience and Technology

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?

K 184.8K contracts

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?Yes 13%

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?Yes 97.1%

PolymarketEconomics

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

PM $161.6K

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?Yes 2.4%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will quarterly GDP be above 5% in any quarter in Q1 2025 to Q4 2028?Yes 32.6%

Will there be a Trump economic boom?

K 181.3K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Feb 1, 2029 UTC

Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?Yes 7%

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

PM $157.5K

Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?Yes 3.9%

Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?Yes 3.4%

+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiWorld

Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in November

PM $157.1K · K 25.5K contracts

No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of Australia maintain the current rate at the November Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 82%Rules differK Yes 81%

No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of Australia maintain the current rate at the November Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 70%Rules differK Yes 81%

Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of Australia hike 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 21.5%Rules differK Yes 16.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

8 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 31199.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 99.5%

How high will the Nasdaq-100 price get in 2026?

K 179.1K contracts

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 30999.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 99.5%

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 30799.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 99.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Which countries will have recessions? (United Kingdom)Yes 14.4%

Which countries will have a recession before 2027?

K 175.8K contracts

Which countries will have recessions? (Japan)Yes 5.6%

Which countries will have recessions? (China)Yes 3.8%

+1 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?Yes 6.5%

Anthropic lab leak by...?

PM $156.2K

Anthropic lab leak by December 31, 2026?Yes 1.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiSports

Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?

K 174.4K contracts

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?Yes 95.5%

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.25% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?Yes 95.5%

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.25% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?Yes 95%

+22 moreNext deadline May 5, 2027 UTC

Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 59.4%

Discord IPO Closing Market Cap

PM $154.4K

Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 9.3%

Will Discord’s market cap be less than $5B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 5.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 180 MMst?Yes 96.5%

Wyoming total coal production in 2026

K 173.9K contracts

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 190 MMst?Yes 94.5%

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 200 MMst?Yes 83.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2027 UTC

Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes 5.3%

Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027?

PM $150.4K

Will Lindsay Clancy be the #Top 5 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People list?Yes 76.5%

KalshiTech

Top 5 most searched people on Google in 2026

K 171.8K contracts

Will Erling Haaland be in the Top 5 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 53.5%

Will Savannah Guthrie be in the Top 5 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 43.5%

+17 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 66%

Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap

PM $149.9K

Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day?Yes 8.8%

Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $50B and $75B at market close on IPO day?Yes 7%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

KalshiFinancials

Will the NASDAQ-100 finish positive in 2026?

K 171.8K contracts

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 25249.85 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 86.6%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 in October?Yes 94.5%

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?

PM $146.7K

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in October?Yes 60%

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?Yes 58%

+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiScience

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

K 171.2K contracts

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? (United States)Yes 56.5%

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? (China)Yes 30.9%

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? (Russia)Yes 1.7%

+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2031 UTC