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Showing 1-48 of 3,711 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiSports
Oscar Winner: Best Picture
K 9.28M contractsWill The Odyssey win Best Picture at the Oscars?Yes 47.5%
Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the Oscars?Yes 23.5%
Will The Black Ball win Best Picture at the Oscars?Yes 19.5%
+38 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
PM $98.44M · K 5.73M contractsWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Kalshi: Will Nicolás Maduro be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Needs review
PM Yes 72%Review neededK Yes 78.5%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Kalshi: Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Needs review
PM Yes 21.5%Review neededK Yes 17.5%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Kalshi: Will Edmundo González Urrutia be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Needs review
PM Yes 0.3%Review neededK Yes 6.1%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
15 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
PM $74.12M · K 33.41M contractsWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Kalshi: Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 5.1%Rules differK Yes 4.2%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?
Kalshi: Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Nov 1, 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.5%Rules differK Yes 0.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
S&P close price end of 2026?
K 7.82M contractsWill the S&P 500 be between 7800 and 7999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 17.5%
Will the S&P 500 be between 8000 and 8199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 15.5%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7600 and 7799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 14.5%
+24 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
K 4.81M contractsWill the Nasdaq-100 be above 33000 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 10%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 30500 and 30999.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 8.5%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 30000 and 30499.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 8.5%
+27 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
PM $66.56MWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes 1.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
K 3.78M contractsWill Christopher Luxon leave Prime Minister of New Zealand before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 48.5%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu leave Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 38.5%
Will Pedro Sánchez leave Prime Minister of Spain before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 21.5%
+31 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomics
Number of rate cuts in 2026?
PM $54.50M · K 10.74M contractsWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Fed cut rates 0 times?
Related contracts
PM Yes 96.9%Rules differK Yes 94.8%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Fed cut rates 1 time?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.1%Rules differK Yes 2.9%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Fed cut rates 2 times?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.5%Rules differK Yes 0.6%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
12 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PM $48.44M · K 124.3K contractsWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Kalshi: Will Gadi Eisenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Related contracts
PM Yes 45.6%Rules differK Yes 58.5%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Related contracts
PM Yes 12.5%Rules differK Yes 16.5%
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.1%Rules differK Yes 4%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
10 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Recession this year?
K 3.69M contractsWill there be a recession in 2026?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Dancing with the Stars Season 35 · Winner
K 3.41M contractsWill Ezra Frech win Dancing with the Stars Season 35?Yes 55.5%
Will Maura Higgins win Dancing with the Stars Season 35?Yes 9.5%
Will Harry Shum Jr. win Dancing with the Stars Season 35?Yes 9.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomics
Fed decision in Oct 2026?
PM $45.53M · K 12.59M contractsWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2027 meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 86.5%Rules differK Yes 77.5%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 86.5%Rules differK Yes 86.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their October 2027 meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 13.5%Rules differK Yes 8%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
8 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
K 3.32M contractsWIll GTA6 be released by Jan 1, 2028?Yes 98.5%
WIll GTA6 be released by Jul 1, 2027?Yes 98.5%
WIll GTA6 be released by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 96.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCulture
New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?
PM $30.91M · K 2.51M contractsNew "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Kalshi: Will A New Episode of Stranger Things be released Worldwide before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.3%Rules differK Yes 4.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will at least 50% of scheduled flights at JFK be cancelled on October 21, 2026?
K 3.07M contractsWill at least 50% of scheduled passenger and cargo flights at JFK be cancelled October 21, 2026?Yes 0.7%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
PM $18.46M · K 9.91M contractsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Kalshi: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 12.5%Rules differK Yes 7%
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?
Kalshi: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before November 1, 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.3%Rules differK Yes 0.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Kalshi: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before November 1, 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.9%Rules differK Yes 0.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
The Game Awards: Game of the Year
K 2.53M contracts2026 Game of the Year? (Grand Theft Auto VI)Yes 79.5%
2026 Game of the Year? (Phantom Blade Zero)Yes 7.5%
2026 Game of the Year? (Resident Evil Requiem)Yes 6.5%
+23 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
PM $18.38MWill Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?Yes 11%
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Yes 10%
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?Yes 9%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Buffalo vs Las Vegas: Touchdowns
K 2.40M contractsJosh Allen: 1+ touchdownsYes 48.5%
James Cook III: 1+ touchdownsYes 46.5%
Ashton Jeanty: 2+ touchdownsYes 43.5%
+50 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
PM $17.66MWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 3.9%
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 0.1%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
K 2.09M contractsWho will IPO before 2027? (Anthropic)Yes 71%
Who will IPO before 2027? (Discord)Yes 10.5%
Who will IPO before 2027? (Skims)Yes 6.5%
+24 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Largest Company end of December 2026?
PM $8.58MWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 66.5%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 28.5%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 2.1%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiClimate
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
PM $8.13M · K 629.9K contractsWill there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Kalshi: Will there be more than 5000 measles cases in 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 98%Rules differK Yes 97%
Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Kalshi: Will there be more than 6000 measles cases in 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 89%Rules differK Yes 83.5%
Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Kalshi: Will there be more than 7000 measles cases in 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 54%Rules differK Yes 55%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
K 2.02M contractsHantavirus Public Health Emergency of International Concern by 2026?Yes 3.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Time's Person of the Year for 2026
K 1.87M contractsWill Zohran Mamdani be Time Person of the Year in 2026?Yes 27.5%
Will Pope Leo XIV be Time Person of the Year in 2026?Yes 16.5%
Will Mark Carney be Time Person of the Year in 2026?Yes 12.5%
+39 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
IPOs before 2027?
PM $7.54MAnthropic IPO before 2027?Yes 73.5%
Celonis IPO before 2027?Yes 7%
Discord IPO before 2027?Yes 6.4%
+26 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
K 1.86M contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $4.60 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 47.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.80 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 31.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $5.00 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 23%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?
PM $6.43MWill the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?Yes >99.9%
1 mkt
KalshiTech
#1 searched person on Google in 2026
K 1.64M contractsWill Erling Haaland be in the 1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 17.5%
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 12%
Will Donald Trump be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 6.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
PM $6.04MWill Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Yes 26.5%
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Yes 12.5%
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Yes 9.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
K 1.59M contractsWill Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 85%
Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 12.5%
Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 4%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PM $5.80MWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes 83.5%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes 67.5%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes 58.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
PM $5.45M · K 14.77M contractsWill Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Gemini)
Related contracts
PM Yes 75.6%Rules differK Yes 37.8%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Claude)
Related contracts
PM Yes 47.5%Rules differK Yes 46.9%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Claude)
Related contracts
PM Yes 23.5%Rules differK Yes 46.9%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
15 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Street Fighter · Rotten Tomatoes score
K 1.54M contractsStreet Fighter Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 32)Yes 99.5%
Street Fighter Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 30)Yes 99.5%
Street Fighter Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 25)Yes 99.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed rate cut before 2027?
K 1.51M contractsWill the Federal Reserve cut rates before 2027?Yes 5.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
PM $5.29MWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Yes 2.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
K 1.51M contractsWill it be reported that at least one million Americans have received checks of at least $1000 directly attributable to tariff revenue?Yes 3.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Anthropic IPO by __?
PM $4.98MWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 74.5%
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Yes 66.5%
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes 56.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Will the S&P finish positive this year?
K 1.36M contractsWill the S&P 500 be above 6845.5 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 90.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Fed Decision in December?
PM $3.95MWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes 75.5%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes 21.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes 2.8%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Los Angeles C vs Kansas City: Touchdowns
K 1.35M contractsKenneth Walker III: 2+ touchdownsYes 50.5%
KC Chiefs D/ST: 1+ touchdownsYes 29%
Xavier Worthy: 1+ touchdownsYes 27.5%
+45 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Fed rate cut by...?
PM $3.80MFed rate cut by July 2027 meeting?Yes 51%
Fed rate cut by April 2027 meeting?Yes 32%
Fed rate cut by June 2027 meeting?Yes 28.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 29, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Picture
K 1.32M contracts2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (The Odyssey)Yes 97.5%
2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (The Black Ball)Yes 94.5%
2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (Wild Horse Nine)Yes 87.5%
+50 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketScience
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PM $3.79MWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes 82.5%
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes 18%
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Yes 0.3%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiFinance
Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
PM $3.14M · K 3.56M contractsWill GameStop acquire eBay?
Kalshi: Will GameStop announce acquisition of eBay before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 6.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Oscar Winner: Best Actor
K 1.29M contractsWill John Malkovich win Best Actor at the Oscars?Yes 39.5%
Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the Oscars?Yes 20%
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the Oscars?Yes 16.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
K 1.26M contractsWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 85.5%
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? (Before Mar 1, 2027)Yes 83%
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? (Before Feb 1, 2027)Yes 73.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
AI bubble burst by...?
PM $3.08MAI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?Yes 16.5%
AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes 10.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC