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Browse prediction markets

Explore the full Polymarket and Kalshi catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
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Showing 1-48 of 5,929 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

PolymarketKalshiCrypto
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

PM $111.77M · K 24.44M contracts

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Bitcoin be above $99,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Related contracts

PM Yes 20.5%Rules differK Yes 24.5%

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Bitcoin be below $55000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?

Related contracts

PM Yes 10.5%Rules differK Yes 10.5%

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Bitcoin be above $109,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Related contracts

PM Yes 9.5%Rules differK Yes 7.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

15 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCrypto
Bitcoin price at the end of 2026

Bitcoin price at the end of 2026

K 42.09M contracts
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027? (80,000 to 84,999.99)Yes 14.9%
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027? (75,000 to 79,999.99)Yes 13.8%
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027? (85,000 to 89,999.99)Yes 12.4%
+25 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

K 3.77M contracts
Will Christopher Luxon leave Prime Minister of New Zealand before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 48.5%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu leave Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 38.5%
Will Pedro Sánchez leave Prime Minister of Spain before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 20.5%
+31 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

PM $98.43M · K 5.73M contracts

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Kalshi: Will Nicolás Maduro be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Needs review

PM Yes 71.9%Review neededK Yes 77%

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Kalshi: Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Needs review

PM Yes 20%Review neededK Yes 18.5%

Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Kalshi: Will Edmundo González Urrutia be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Needs review

PM Yes 0.3%Review neededK Yes 6.1%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

15 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

PM $74.11M · K 33.40M contracts

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Kalshi: Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 5.1%Rules differK Yes 4.2%

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?

Kalshi: Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Nov 1, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.5%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCrypto
Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000?

Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000?

K 3.75M contracts
Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiCrypto
How high will Ethereum get in 2026?

How high will Ethereum get in 2026?

K 2.74M contracts
Will Ethereum reach above $3500.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM?Yes 13.5%
Will Ethereum reach above $3750.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM?Yes 9.5%
Will Ethereum reach above $4000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM?Yes 7.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

PM $47.81M · K 124.3K contracts

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Kalshi: Will Gadi Eisenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Related contracts

PM Yes 50.4%Rules differK Yes 58.5%

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Related contracts

PM Yes 13.5%Rules differK Yes 16.5%

Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.1%Rules differK Yes 3.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

10 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Will the Clarity Act become law?

Will the Clarity Act become law?

PM $24.09M · K 4.18M contracts

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Kalshi: Will a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 5.1%Rules differK Yes 5.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

K 2.02M contracts
Hantavirus Public Health Emergency of International Concern by 2026?Yes 3.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Time's Person of the Year for 2026

Time's Person of the Year for 2026

K 1.87M contracts
Will Zohran Mamdani be Time Person of the Year in 2026?Yes 28.5%
Will Pope Leo XIV be Time Person of the Year in 2026?Yes 17%
Will Mark Carney be Time Person of the Year in 2026?Yes 12.5%
+39 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCrypto
Who will launch a token this year?

Who will launch a token this year?

PM $20.96M · K 85.8K contracts

Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Exponent launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 11.5%Rules differK Yes 26.5%

Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Felix launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 14.2%Rules differK Yes 14%

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Kalshi: Will Arc launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 7.5%Rules differK Yes 12.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

12 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

PM $18.44M · K 9.87M contracts

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Kalshi: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 12.5%Rules differK Yes 6.7%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

Kalshi: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before November 1, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.9%Rules differK Yes 1.5%

Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?

Kalshi: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before November 1, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.3%Rules differK Yes 1.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
#1 searched person on Google in 2026

#1 searched person on Google in 2026

K 1.64M contracts
Will Erling Haaland be in the 1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 17%
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 11.5%
Will Donald Trump be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 6.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials
When will Apple release the iPhone 18?

When will Apple release the iPhone 18?

K 1.59M contracts
Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 85%
Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 11%
Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 4%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

PM $18.38M
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?Yes 11%
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Yes 10%
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?Yes 9%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCrypto
Will Bitcoin be above $250k by 2027?

Will Bitcoin be above $250k by 2027?

K 1.42M contracts
Will Bitcoin be above $250000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET?Yes 1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCrypto
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

PM $18.11M · K 12.23M contracts

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: ETH price on Jan 1, 2027? (999.99 or below)

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.5%Rules differK Yes 2.1%

Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: ETH price on Jan 1, 2027? (5,000 or above)

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.1%Rules differK Yes 3.3%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Picture

Oscar nominees: Best Picture

K 1.31M contracts
2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (The Odyssey)Yes 97.5%
2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (The Black Ball)Yes 94.5%
2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (Wild Horse Nine)Yes 87.5%
+50 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Bitcoin all time high by ___?

Bitcoin all time high by ___?

PM $10.50M
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCrypto
How high will BTC get in October?

How high will BTC get in October?

K 1.30M contracts
Will BTC trimmed mean be above $87500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 27%
Will BTC trimmed mean be above $90000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 15.5%
Will BTC trimmed mean be above $92500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 8.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiClimate
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

PM $8.13M · K 629.5K contracts

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Kalshi: Will there be more than 5000 measles cases in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 97.9%Rules differK Yes 96.5%

Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Kalshi: Will there be more than 6000 measles cases in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 88.5%Rules differK Yes 84.5%

Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Kalshi: Will there be more than 7000 measles cases in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 53%Rules differK Yes 56%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Trump say during his rally in Kentucky?

What will Trump say during his rally in Kentucky?

K 1.29M contracts
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Highland Heights, Kentucky originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Ford)Yes 99.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Highland Heights, Kentucky originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Transgender)Yes 99.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Highland Heights, Kentucky originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Tariff (3+ times))Yes 99.5%
+36 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
IPOs before 2027?

IPOs before 2027?

PM $7.54M
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes 72.5%
Celonis IPO before 2027?Yes 7%
Discord IPO before 2027?Yes 6.7%
+26 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCrypto
How low will Ethereum get in 2026?

How low will Ethereum get in 2026?

K 1.25M contracts
Will Ethereum reach below $1500.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET?Yes 12.5%
Will Ethereum reach below $1250.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET?Yes 7.5%
Will Ethereum reach below $1000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET?Yes 4.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

PM $7.07M
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 97.2%
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 95.6%
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 92.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCrypto
Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?

PM $6.91M · K 183.9K contracts

Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Kalshi: Will Opensea FDV be above $1999999999.99 at 10:00 AM on Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.9%Rules differK Yes 13%

Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Kalshi: Will Opensea FDV be above $4999999999.99 at 10:00 AM on Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.8%Rules differK Yes 9.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Top Artist on Spotify U.S. 2026

Top Artist on Spotify U.S. 2026

K 1.18M contracts
Will Drake be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 82.5%
Will Taylor Swift be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 11%
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 3.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

K 1.16M contracts
Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Justin Gaethje)Yes 87%
Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Arman Tsarukyan)Yes 10.5%
Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Ilia Topuria)Yes 2.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

PM $6.62M
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 65%
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 35.9%
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 0.4%
+9 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

K 1.16M contracts
Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (Anthropic)Yes 74%
Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (OpenAI)Yes 16.5%
Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (Google)Yes 3.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?

Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?

PM $6.18M
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?Yes >99.9%
1 mkt
KalshiCrypto
BTC price on Oct 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

BTC price on Oct 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

K 976.2K contracts
Bitcoin price on Oct 18, 2026? ($74,500 or above)Yes 99.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 18, 2026? ($74,000 or above)Yes 99.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 18, 2026? ($73,750 or above)Yes 99.5%
+77 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

PM $6.03M
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Yes 26.5%
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Yes 12.5%
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Yes 9.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Avengers: Doomsday: Cast

Avengers: Doomsday: Cast

K 944.1K contracts
Will Hugh Jackman perform as Wolverine in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes 92%
Will Ryan Reynolds perform as Deadpool in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes 90.5%
Will Benedict Cumberbatch perform as Doctor Strange in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes 90%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?

PM $5.60M
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 25.5%
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 23.5%
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 15%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

PM $5.43M · K 14.73M contracts

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Gemini)

Related contracts

PM Yes 73.8%Rules differK Yes 36.9%

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Claude)

Related contracts

PM Yes 47.5%Rules differK Yes 45.6%

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Claude)

Related contracts

PM Yes 25.5%Rules differK Yes 45.6%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

15 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?

US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?

K 833.7K contracts
Will a new nuclear reactor be approved by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 6.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCrypto
Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?

K 767.0K contracts
Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Chainlink (LINK))Yes 52.5%
Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Bitcoin (BTC))Yes 42%
Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026? (Stellar Lumens (XLM))Yes 41%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

PM $3.97M
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes 65.5%
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 38.5%
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 18.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

K 741.1K contracts
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? (Above 120)Yes 98.5%
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? (Above 140)Yes 79.5%
How many launches will SpaceX have in Dec 2026? (Above 145)Yes 27.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketScience
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

PM $3.79M
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes 80.5%
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes 19.5%
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Yes 0.3%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album · Features

Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album · Features

K 714.4K contracts
Will SZA be featured on Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album?Yes 99.5%
Will Rauw Alejandro be featured on Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album?Yes 99.5%
Will PinkPantheress be featured on Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album?Yes 99.5%
+127 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

PM $3.55M
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 98.1%
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 98%
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 93.1%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will Anthropic release Mythos?

When will Anthropic release Mythos?

K 713.7K contracts
Will Anthropic release Mythos before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 10%
Will Anthropic release Mythos before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 2.5%
Will Anthropic release Mythos before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 1.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?

PM $3.35M
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 6%
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 5.5%
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCrypto
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?

When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?

K 678.1K contracts
Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 73%
Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before May 1, 2027?Yes 52.5%
Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 44%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

PM $3.06M
AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?Yes 15.5%
AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes 7.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC