Browse prediction markets

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $115.01 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 39.1%

How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?

K 9.20M contracts

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $120.01 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 31.3%

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $125.01 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 22%

+7 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiEconomics

Fed decision in Oct 2026?

PM $45.53M · K 12.59M contracts

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2027 meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 86.5%Rules differK Yes 77.5%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 86.5%Rules differK Yes 86.5%

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their October 2027 meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 13.5%Rules differK Yes 8%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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8 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC

Will the S&P 500 be between 7800 and 7999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 17.5%

S&P close price end of 2026?

K 7.82M contracts

Will the S&P 500 be between 8000 and 8199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 15.5%

Will the S&P 500 be between 7600 and 7799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 14.5%

+24 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiClimate

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

PM $8.13M · K 629.9K contracts

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Kalshi: Will there be more than 5000 measles cases in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 98%Rules differK Yes 97%

Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Kalshi: Will there be more than 6000 measles cases in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 89%Rules differK Yes 83.5%

Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Kalshi: Will there be more than 7000 measles cases in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 54%Rules differK Yes 55%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 6.5%

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Kalshi: Will GameStop announce acquisition of eBay before Jan 1, 2027?

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Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 85%

When will Apple release the iPhone 18?

K 1.59M contracts

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 12.5%

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 4%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?Yes 90%

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

PM $2.83M

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?Yes 61.5%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Yes 46.5%

+18 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will the Federal Reserve cut rates before 2027?Yes 5.2%

Fed rate cut before 2027?

K 1.51M contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,500 by end of December?Yes 49.5%

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?

PM $2.05M

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Yes 12.5%

Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?Yes 11%

+8 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

K 1.51M contracts

Will it be reported that at least one million Americans have received checks of at least $1000 directly attributable to tariff revenue?Yes 3.3%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes 25.5%

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

PM $1.92M

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes 19.2%

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes 18.4%

+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

Will the S&P 500 be above 6845.5 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 90.5%

Will the S&P finish positive this year?

K 1.36M contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?Yes 77.6%

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

PM $1.56M

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes 70.5%

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes 58.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

Kenneth Walker III: 2+ touchdownsYes 50.5%

Los Angeles C vs Kansas City: Touchdowns

K 1.35M contracts

KC Chiefs D/ST: 1+ touchdownsYes 29%

Xavier Worthy: 1+ touchdownsYes 27.5%

+45 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 49%

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

PM $1.48M

Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 18.5%

Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 17.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiCulture

Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond

PM $1.47M · K 2.55M contracts

Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?

Kalshi: Will Callum Turner be the next James Bond?

Related contracts

PM Yes 18.2%Rules differK Yes 35.5%

Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?

Kalshi: Will Jack Lowden be the next James Bond?

Related contracts

PM Yes 27%Rules differK Yes 33%

Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?

Kalshi: Will Josh O'Connor be the next James Bond?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.5%Rules differK Yes 21.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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19 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiCulture

Oscar nominees: Best Picture

K 1.32M contracts

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (The Odyssey)Yes 97.5%

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (The Black Ball)Yes 94.5%

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (Wild Horse Nine)Yes 87.5%

+50 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

KalshiCompanies

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

K 1.26M contracts

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 85.5%

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? (Before Mar 1, 2027)Yes 83%

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? (Before Feb 1, 2027)Yes 73.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

PM $1.44M · K 4.52M contracts

Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Susie WIles leaves Chief of Staff in before 2027?

Needs review

PM Yes 36.5%Review neededK Yes 39%

Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Tom Homan leaves White House Border Czar in before 2027?

Needs review

PM Yes 26%Review neededK Yes 14.5%

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Pete Hegseth leaves Secretary of Defense in before 2027?

Needs review

PM Yes 24%Review neededK Yes 23.5%

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11 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiCrypto

Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026

PM $1.43M · K 304.4K contracts

Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 17.5%Rules differK Yes 43.7%

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 40.5%Rules differK Yes 43.7%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting?Yes 72.5%

Fed decision in Dec 2026?

K 1.25M contracts

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2026 meeting?Yes 23.5%

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their December 2026 meeting?Yes 4.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Mar 10, 2027 UTC

KalshiCompanies

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

K 1.16M contracts

Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (Anthropic)Yes 74%

Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (OpenAI)Yes 13.5%

Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (Google)Yes 3%

+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes 65%

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

PM $1.31M

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes 13.5%

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Yes 9%

+10 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Kyren Williams: 1+ touchdownsYes 45.5%

Arizona vs Los Angeles R: Touchdowns

K 1.14M contracts

Puka Nacua: 1+ touchdownsYes 41.5%

Davante Adams: 1+ touchdownsYes 34.5%

+41 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

New pandemic in 2026?Yes 3.3%

New pandemic in 2026?

PM $1.24M

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Unusual Machines?Yes 30.5%

Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?

K 1.10M contracts

Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Anduril?Yes 22.5%

Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Neros Technologies?Yes 20%

+15 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PolymarketFinancials

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...?

PM $1.22M

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?Yes 93.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2800?Yes 99.5%

US gas prices this week

K 1.01M contracts

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2600?Yes 99.5%

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2400?Yes 99.5%

+20 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Yes 51.5%

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

PM $1.17M

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes 33.5%

Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes 10.4%

+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will the maximum SP500 value reach 7999.99 by Jan 1, 2027?Yes 48.9%

How high will the S&P get this year?

K 999.1K contracts

Will the maximum SP500 value reach 8199.99 by Jan 1, 2027?Yes 20.9%

Will the maximum SP500 value reach 8399.99 by Jan 1, 2027?Yes 11.2%

+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PolymarketEconomics

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

PM $1.11M

Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes 67.5%

Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes 22.5%

Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes 10.3%

+2 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiEconomy

How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?

PM $1.03M · K 11.4K contracts

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?

Kalshi: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.49% by Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 25.9%Rules differK Yes 51%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?

Kalshi: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.39% by Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 36.5%Rules differK Yes 50%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiTech

Avengers: Doomsday: Cast

K 947.3K contracts

Will Ryan Reynolds perform as Deadpool in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes 94.5%

Will Hugh Jackman perform as Wolverine in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes 92%

Will Benedict Cumberbatch perform as Doctor Strange in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes 89%

+16 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6300.01 by Jan 1, 2027?Yes 9.2%

How low will the S&P get this year?

K 923.4K contracts

Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6200.01 by Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8.2%

Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6000.01 by Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes 0.9%

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

PM $833.2K

1 mktNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC

How high will unemployment get before 2027? (Above 5%)Yes 11.8%

How high will unemployment get in 2026?

K 809.5K contracts

How high will unemployment get before 2027? (Above 6.5%)Yes 11%

How high will unemployment get before 2027? (Above 4.5%)Yes 11%

+11 moreNext deadline Mar 9, 2027 UTC