Browse prediction markets

Explore the full Polymarket and Kalshi catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated Oct 18, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.

Politics Sports Culture Crypto Climate Economics Mentions Companies Financials Tech Science Health World Clear categories

Showing 1-48 of 1,479 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory

PM $189.75M · K 6.80M contracts

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Kalshi: Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff be at least 1%?

Related contracts

PM Yes 80.3%Rules differK Yes 81.5%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the vote abroad in the Brazil presidential runoff?

Related contracts

PM Yes 80.3%Rules differK Yes 33%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 80.3%Rules differK Yes 79.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

19 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

K 3.77M contracts

Will Christopher Luxon leave Prime Minister of New Zealand before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 48.5%

Will Benjamin Netanyahu leave Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 38.5%

Will Pedro Sánchez leave Prime Minister of Spain before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 20.5%

+31 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiWorld

Next French Presidential Election

PM $153.18M · K 753.2K contracts

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Needs review

PM Yes 48.3%Review neededK Yes 47.5%

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Needs review

PM Yes 19.5%Review neededK Yes 16.5%

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

Needs review

PM Yes 11.8%Review neededK Yes 12.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

23 saved comparisonsNext deadline Apr 19, 2027 UTC

KalshiWorld

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Kalshi: Will Nicolás Maduro be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Needs review

PM Yes 71.9%Review neededK Yes 78%

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Kalshi: Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Needs review

PM Yes 21%Review neededK Yes 17.5%

Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Kalshi: Will Edmundo González Urrutia be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Needs review

PM Yes 0.3%Review neededK Yes 6.1%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

15 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiSports

Ballon d'Or Top 10 Finish 2026

PM $53.26M · K 15.74M contracts

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Kalshi: Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Harry Kane)

Related contracts

PM Yes 99.6%Rules differK Yes 64.5%

Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Kalshi: Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Lamine Yamal)

Related contracts

PM Yes 99.6%Rules differK Yes 30.5%

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Kalshi: Kylian Mbappé: Top 10 in the 2026 men's Ballon d'Or?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 99.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

106 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiScience and Technology

Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

K 2.02M contracts

Hantavirus Public Health Emergency of International Concern by 2026?Yes 3.9%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

PM $48.35M · K 124.3K contracts

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Kalshi: Will Gadi Eisenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Related contracts

PM Yes 44.7%Rules differK Yes 58.5%

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Related contracts

PM Yes 12.5%Rules differK Yes 16.5%

Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.1%Rules differK Yes 4%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

10 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC

KalshiTech

Time's Person of the Year for 2026

K 1.87M contracts

Will Zohran Mamdani be Time Person of the Year in 2026?Yes 28.5%

Will Pope Leo XIV be Time Person of the Year in 2026?Yes 17%

Will Mark Carney be Time Person of the Year in 2026?Yes 12.5%

+39 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

KalshiEntertainment

Top Artist on Spotify U.S. 2026

K 1.18M contracts

Will Drake be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 83%

Will Taylor Swift be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 11%

Will Bad Bunny be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 3%

+13 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

PolymarketWorld

Iran leader end of 2026?

PM $40.25M

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 87.3%

Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Yes 4.1%

Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 3.2%

+27 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

PM $34.00M · K 5.12M contracts

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.4%Rules differK Yes 5.1%

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Kalshi: Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.4%Rules differK Yes 5.1%

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.4%Rules differK Yes 4.9%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

6 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiWorld

Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

K 1.16M contracts

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Justin Gaethje)Yes 87%

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Arman Tsarukyan)Yes 9.5%

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Ilia Topuria)Yes 2.5%

+9 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

KalshiTech

Avengers: Doomsday: Cast

K 944.6K contracts

Will Hugh Jackman perform as Wolverine in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes 92%

Will Ryan Reynolds perform as Deadpool in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes 90.5%

Will Benedict Cumberbatch perform as Doctor Strange in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes 90%

+16 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

PolymarketWorld

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

PM $27.54M

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 4.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiHealth

Pandemic in 2026?

PM $18.62M · K 984.1K contracts

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Kalshi: Pandemic in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.4%Rules differK Yes 5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiWorld

Chicago vs Atlanta: Receiving Yards

K 545.9K contracts

Roschon Johnson: 10+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%

D'Andre Swift: 10+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%

Roschon Johnson: 15+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%

+94 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?

PM $10.94M · K 3.49M contracts

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the United States acquire any part of Greenland before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 2.8%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiTech

Best AI in Oct 2026?

K 508.7K contracts

Best AI in Oct 2026? (Gemini)Yes 75.5%

Best AI in Oct 2026? (Claude)Yes 23.5%

Best AI in Oct 2026? (Muse)Yes 1.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiClimate and Weather

Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

K 502.4K contracts

Will there be an at least 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?Yes 3.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiWorld

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

PM $10.20M · K 147.2K contracts

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Kalshi: Will Magdalena Andersson become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 77.5%Rules differK Yes 80.5%

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Kalshi: Will Ulf Kristersson become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 17.1%Rules differK Yes 16%

Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Kalshi: Will Ebba Busch become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.5%Rules differK Yes 2.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

KalshiClimate and Weather

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

K 426.8K contracts

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes 70.6%

1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiClimate

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

PM $8.13M · K 629.9K contracts

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Kalshi: Will there be more than 5000 measles cases in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 97.9%Rules differK Yes 97%

Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Kalshi: Will there be more than 6000 measles cases in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 88.5%Rules differK Yes 83.5%

Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Kalshi: Will there be more than 7000 measles cases in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 54%Rules differK Yes 55%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiScience and Technology

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?

K 414.1K contracts

Will the FDA approve Any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?Yes 20.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PolymarketClimate

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

PM $6.63M

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 68.5%

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 31.8%

Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 0.4%

+9 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiWorld

Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?

PM $6.35M · K 504.4K contracts

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029?

Related contracts

PM Yes 5.9%Rules differK Yes 38.5%

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Israel and Syria normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029?

Related contracts

PM Yes 6%Rules differK Yes 19%

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Israel and Syria normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 6%Rules differK Yes 3.6%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

6 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiSports

Welterweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

K 411.8K contracts

Who will be the Welterweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Islam Makhachev)Yes 93%

Who will be the Welterweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Carlos Prates)Yes 5.5%

Who will be the Welterweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Ian Machado Garry)Yes 1.5%

+8 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

KalshiEconomics

Tennessee vs Indianapolis: Receiving Yards

K 406.0K contracts

Wan'Dale Robinson: 15+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%

Keenan Allen: 25+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%

Keenan Allen: 15+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%

+89 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

PolymarketWorld

MLB: 2026 American League Champion

PM $4.86M

Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Yes 57.9%

Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Yes 41.4%

2 mktsNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiHealth

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

K 386.8K contracts

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Central African Republic be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 71.5%

Will a human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 34%

Will a human case of Ebola disease in Somalia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 29.5%

+12 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PolymarketWorld

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

PM $4.32M

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?Yes 8.5%

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiWorld

Will the US acquire any new territory?

K 360.8K contracts

Will the United States acquire any territory not under its sovereignty (as of Issuance) before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 23%

Will the United States acquire any territory not under its sovereignty (as of Issuance) before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 16%

Will the United States acquire any territory not under its sovereignty (as of Issuance) before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 5.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketWorld

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

PM $4.07M

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Yes 6.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiWorld

Carolina vs Philadelphia: Rushing Yards

K 336.6K contracts

Chuba Hubbard: 40+ rushing yardsYes 94%

Chuba Hubbard: 50+ rushing yardsYes 86%

Dameon Pierce: 30+ rushing yardsYes 76.5%

+43 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

PolymarketWorld

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

PM $3.48M

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 3.6%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiScience and Technology

When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?

K 332.3K contracts

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 83.2%

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 58.5%

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 29%

+2 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC

PolymarketWorld

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

PM $2.10M

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Yes 2.4%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiWorld

Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?

K 327.7K contracts

Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed in 2026?Yes 14%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiCulture

Top artist on Spotify in 2026?

PM $1.73M · K 817.2K contracts

Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?

Kalshi: Who will be the top Spotify artist this year? (Bad Bunny)

Related contracts

PM Yes 85.5%Rules differK Yes 85.5%

Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?

Kalshi: Who will be the top Spotify artist this year? (Taylor Swift)

Related contracts

PM Yes 11%Rules differK Yes 11.5%

Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?

Kalshi: Who will be the top Spotify artist this year? (Drake)

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 3%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

9 saved comparisonsNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiSports

Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

K 298.6K contracts

Who will be the Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Sean Strickland)Yes 91%

Who will be the Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Nassourdine Imavov)Yes 6.5%

Who will be the Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Khamzat Chimaev)Yes 1.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

PolymarketWorld

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

PM $1.72M

Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Yes 57%

Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?Yes 32.6%

Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?Yes 9.8%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiWorld

Chicago vs Atlanta: Receptions

K 289.3K contracts

Roschon Johnson: 1+ receptionsYes 99.5%

Cole Kmet: 1+ receptionsYes 99.5%

Rome Odunze: 2+ receptionsYes 99.5%

+75 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

PolymarketClimate

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

PM $1.48M

Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 49%

Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 19%

Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 17.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

KalshiSports

Pro Football: AFC #1 Seed

K 283.2K contracts

Will Kansas City be the AFC 1 Seed?Yes 27%

Will Buffalo be the AFC 1 Seed?Yes 23.5%

Will New England be the AFC 1 Seed?Yes 21.5%

+13 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

PM $1.44M · K 4.52M contracts

Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Susie WIles leaves Chief of Staff in before 2027?

Needs review

PM Yes 36.5%Review neededK Yes 42.5%

Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Tom Homan leaves White House Border Czar in before 2027?

Needs review

PM Yes 26%Review neededK Yes 14.5%

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Pete Hegseth leaves Secretary of Defense in before 2027?

Needs review

PM Yes 24%Review neededK Yes 22.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

11 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiTech

Where will it rain on Oct 18, 2026?

K 282.5K contracts

Will it rain in Miami on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 99.5%

Will it rain in West Palm Beach on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 42.5%

Will it rain in Phoenix on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 31.5%

+32 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

PolymarketWorld

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

PM $1.42M

China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes 4%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Browse prediction markets

Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Next French Presidential Election

US-Iran nuclear deal?

LeBron James to Announce his Retirement Before the 2026-27 Season

Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Ballon d'Or Top 10 Finish 2026

Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Time's Person of the Year for 2026

Top Artist on Spotify U.S. 2026

Iran leader end of 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

Avengers: Doomsday: Cast

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Pandemic in 2026?

Chicago vs Atlanta: Receiving Yards

Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?

Best AI in Oct 2026?

Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?

Welterweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

Tennessee vs Indianapolis: Receiving Yards

MLB: 2026 American League Champion

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

Will the US acquire any new territory?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Carolina vs Philadelphia: Rushing Yards

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?

Top artist on Spotify in 2026?

Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

Chicago vs Atlanta: Receptions

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Pro Football: AFC #1 Seed

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Where will it rain on Oct 18, 2026?

China x Japan military clash before 2027?