Search prediction markets

Will the United States acquire any territory not under its sovereignty (as of Issuance) before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 23%

Will the US acquire any new territory?

K 360.8K contracts

Will the United States acquire any territory not under its sovereignty (as of Issuance) before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 16%

Will the United States acquire any territory not under its sovereignty (as of Issuance) before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 5.4%

3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiScience and Technology

When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?

K 332.3K contracts

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 83.2%

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 58.5%

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 29.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiSports

Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

PM $1.01M · K 416.0K contracts

Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Who will be the Light Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026? (Carlos Ulberg)

Related contracts

PM Yes 92%Rules differK Yes 92.5%

Will Magomed Ankalaev be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Who will be the Light Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026? (Magomed Ankalaev)

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.4%Rules differK Yes 6%

Will Alex Pereira be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Who will be the Light Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026? (Alex Pereira)

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.3%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

8 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed in 2026?Yes 14.5%

Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?

K 327.7K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes 83%

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

PM $847.2K

1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiSports

Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

K 298.6K contracts

Who will be the Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Sean Strickland)Yes 91%

Who will be the Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Nassourdine Imavov)Yes 7%

Who will be the Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Khamzat Chimaev)Yes 1.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Yes 9%

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

PM $775.0K

Will Kansas City be the AFC 1 Seed?Yes 26%

KalshiSports

Pro Football: AFC #1 Seed

K 283.0K contracts

Will Buffalo be the AFC 1 Seed?Yes 24%

Will Baltimore be the AFC 1 Seed?Yes 17.5%

+13 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC

Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?Yes 69.5%

Worlds 2026 Winning Region

PM $751.4K

Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?Yes 23.5%

Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?Yes 6.2%

+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Mariah Carey have a #1 hit this year?Yes 90.5%

Who will have a #1 hit this year?

K 279.0K contracts

Will Morgan Wallen have a #1 hit this year?Yes 30%

Will Zach Bryan have a #1 hit this year?Yes 26.5%

+111 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC

Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes 0.9%

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

PM $677.8K

Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes 0.4%

Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes 0.3%

+20 more

Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Denver, CO before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 95.5%

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?

K 271.1K contracts

Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Las Vegas, NV before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 86%

Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Sacramento, CA before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 16.5%

+16 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Yes 7.5%

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?

PM $657.9K

Will Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4 release this year?Yes 99.5%

Video games released this year

K 266.8K contracts

Will Phantom Blade Zero release this year?Yes 99%

Will Grand Theft Auto VI release this year?Yes 95.5%

+11 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Yes 9.5%

Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

PM $640.6K

Best AI this week (Gemini)Yes 99.5%

Best AI this week

K 259.7K contracts

Best AI this week (Grok)Yes 0.5%

Best AI this week (ChatGPT)Yes 0.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?Yes 2.5%

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

PM $595.2K

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 13, 2026?Yes 36%

When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?

K 238.6K contracts

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 6, 2026?Yes 34%

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Oct 30, 2026?Yes 18%

+1 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes 24%

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

PM $541.1K

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 9.5%

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?

K 234.6K contracts

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 2.9%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes 58.5%

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

PM $525.0K

Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes 35%

Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes 1.1%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiSports

Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers

PM $518.8K · K 42.8K contracts

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Kalshi: Harry Kane: Top 3 in the 2026 men's Ballon d'Or?

Related contracts

PM Yes 97.5%Rules differK Yes 97%

Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Kalshi: Lamine Yamal: Top 3 in the 2026 men's Ballon d'Or?

Related contracts

PM Yes 93.7%Rules differK Yes 93.5%

Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Kalshi: Kylian Mbappé: Top 3 in the 2026 men's Ballon d'Or?

Related contracts

PM Yes 75.5%Rules differK Yes 76%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

19 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC

Will Port of New York and New Jersey total TEUs handled in 2026 be above 8.4 million TEUs?Yes 95.5%

Port of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026

K 231.1K contracts

Will Port of New York and New Jersey total TEUs handled in 2026 be above 8.5 million TEUs?Yes 94.5%

Will Port of New York and New Jersey total TEUs handled in 2026 be above 8.6 million TEUs?Yes 88.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 6)Yes 99.5%

How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

K 229.2K contracts

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 7)Yes 98.5%

How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 8)Yes 97.5%

+8 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC

Plague pandemic in 2026?Yes 1.8%

Plague pandemic in 2026?

PM $493.0K

Will Pope Leo XIV visit Uruguay before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 74.5%

What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?

K 227.3K contracts

Will Pope Leo XIV visit Peru before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 74.5%

Will Pope Leo XIV visit Argentina before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 74%

+9 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?Yes 3.5%

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

PM $462.5K

PM $460.4K · K 10.2K contracts

PolymarketKalshiTech

When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

Kalshi: Will any AI lab solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2028?

Related contracts

PM Yes 64.5%Rules differK Yes 68.5%

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will any AI lab solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 24.5%Rules differK Yes 40%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC

Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28 million funded customers in 2026?Yes 99%

Robinhood funded customers in 2026

K 218.8K contracts

Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28.4 million funded customers in 2026?Yes 98.5%

Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28.2 million funded customers in 2026?Yes 97.5%

+18 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC

Will Don Toliver have a top 10 song this year?Yes 99.5%

Who will have a top 10 song this year?

K 207.4K contracts

Will Mariah Carey have a top 10 song this year?Yes 97%

Will Chappell Roan have a top 10 song this year?Yes 95.5%

+105 moreNext deadline Dec 26, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiWorld

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

PM $455.4K · K 104.2K contracts

Will "Leave" win the Alberta independence referendum?

Kalshi: Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada before the next general election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.9%Rules differK Yes 14.5%

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada before the next general election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.1%Rules differK Yes 14.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Which agencies will Trump eliminate?

K 200.4K contracts

Will USAID be eliminated?Yes 17.5%

Will EPA be eliminated?Yes 11.3%

Will IRS be eliminated?Yes 7.4%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?Yes 5.9%

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?

PM $452.9K

KalshiScience and Technology

Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?

K 193.9K contracts

Will Claude be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?Yes 28.5%

Will Gemini be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?Yes 15.5%

Will ChatGPT be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?Yes 6.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Yes 2.8%

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

PM $449.2K

PS6 announced by 2026?Yes 5.5%

KalshiEntertainment

PS6 announced this year?

K 191.0K contracts

Will Venezuela become 51st state?Yes 2.2%

Will Venezuela become 51st state?

PM $397.9K

KalshiScience and Technology

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?

K 184.8K contracts

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?Yes 13%

Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Yes 77.2%

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

PM $336.4K

Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?Yes 8.8%

Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?Yes 4.8%

+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28.5 million funded customers in Q3 2026?Yes 98.5%

Robinhood funded customers in Q3

K 173.6K contracts

Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28.6 million funded customers in Q3 2026?Yes 85.5%

Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28.7 million funded customers in Q3 2026?Yes 25.5%

+8 moreNext deadline Mar 4, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiTech

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

PM $325.4K · K 867.0K contracts

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Kalshi: Will OpenAI announce the creation of AGI? (Before 2027)

Related contracts

PM Yes 8.5%Rules differK Yes 6.7%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiTech

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

PM $277.7K · K 140.2K contracts

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Kalshi: Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?

Related contracts

PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 8%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiScience

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

K 171.2K contracts

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? (United States)Yes 56.5%

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? (China)Yes 30.9%

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? (Russia)Yes 1.7%

+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2031 UTC

KalshiEntertainment

New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027: Headliners

K 170.1K contracts

Will Trombone Shorty & Orleans Avenue be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?Yes 76.5%

Will Jon Batiste be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?Yes 59.5%

Will Noah Kahan be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?Yes 56.5%

+17 moreNext deadline Dec 30, 2028 UTC