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Showing 97-144 of 2,246 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiSports
Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026
K 404.4K contractsWill Washington statewide seasonally adjusted employment in Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services for December 2026 be above 235,000 jobs?Yes 98.5%
Will Washington statewide seasonally adjusted employment in Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services for December 2026 be above 240,000 jobs?Yes 97.5%
Will Washington statewide seasonally adjusted employment in Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services for December 2026 be above 245,000 jobs?Yes 95.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?
PM $657.9KDelcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
K 395.3K contractsWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?
PM $640.6KVenezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
South Dakota corn yield in 2026
K 389.8K contractsWill South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 125 bu/acre?Yes 98.5%
Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 130 bu/acre?Yes 98%
Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 135 bu/acre?Yes 96.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
PM $622.6KWill the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Yes 96.3%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Yes 3.5%
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?Yes <0.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How high will gas prices in California get this year?
K 387.6K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above or below $6.60 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 36.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above or below $6.80 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 30.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above or below $7.00 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 16%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
PM $599.0KWill Oura not IPO before January 2027?Yes 91.2%
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?Yes 1.9%
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?Yes 1.8%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Will the US acquire any new territory?
K 360.8K contractsWill the United States acquire any territory not under its sovereignty (as of Issuance) before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 23%
Will the United States acquire any territory not under its sovereignty (as of Issuance) before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 16%
Will the United States acquire any territory not under its sovereignty (as of Issuance) before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 5.4%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
PM $568.2KWill US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Yes 5%
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Yes 4.9%
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Yes 2.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
K 332.3K contractsWill a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 83.2%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 58.5%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 29.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Fed Decision in January?
PM $560.4KWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Yes 62.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes 34.5%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes 1.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 28, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
K 327.7K contractsWill a new interstellar visitor be confirmed in 2026?Yes 14.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
PM $541.1KChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes 24%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Arizona vs Los Angeles R: Touchdowns
K 309.8K contractsKyren Williams: 1+ touchdownsYes 64.5%
Puka Nacua: 1+ touchdownsYes 57.5%
Davante Adams: 1+ touchdownsYes 52.5%
+46 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
PM $538.2KWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes 59%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes 24.9%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes 5.1%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Buffalo vs Las Vegas: Touchdowns
K 306.9K contractsJames Cook III: 1+ touchdownsYes 57.5%
Josh Allen: 1+ touchdownsYes 57.5%
Ashton Jeanty: 1+ touchdownsYes 53.5%
+49 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
PM $525.8KWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 94.3%
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 5.1%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 1%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiSports
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers
PM $518.8K · K 42.8K contractsWill Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Kalshi: Harry Kane: Top 3 in the 2026 men's Ballon d'Or?
Related contracts
PM Yes 97.5%Rules differK Yes 97%
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Kalshi: Lamine Yamal: Top 3 in the 2026 men's Ballon d'Or?
Related contracts
PM Yes 93.7%Rules differK Yes 93.5%
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Kalshi: Kylian Mbappé: Top 3 in the 2026 men's Ballon d'Or?
Related contracts
PM Yes 75.5%Rules differK Yes 76%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
19 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
CPI YoY in December
K 304.1K contractsWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.0% for the year ending in December 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.2% for the year ending in December 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.1% for the year ending in December 2026?Yes 94.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Apr 14, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?
K 298.6K contractsWho will be the Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Sean Strickland)Yes 91%
Who will be the Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Nassourdine Imavov)Yes 7%
Who will be the Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Khamzat Chimaev)Yes 1.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
PM $508.5KWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 45.1%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 24.9%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 13.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: Touchdowns
K 291.4K contractsJaylen Warren: 1+ touchdownsYes 43.5%
Bucky Irving: 1+ touchdownsYes 35.5%
DK Metcalf: 1+ touchdownsYes 31.5%
+39 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
PM $462.5KEU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?Yes 3.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory
PM $455.4K · K 104.2K contractsWill "Leave" win the Alberta independence referendum?
Kalshi: Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada before the next general election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.9%Rules differK Yes 14.5%
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada before the next general election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.1%Rules differK Yes 14.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
NYC median asking rent in December 2026
K 288.2K contractsWill New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $3,800?Yes 94.5%
Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $3,900?Yes 80.5%
Will New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 be above $4,000?Yes 38.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Pro Football: AFC #1 Seed
K 283.0K contractsWill Kansas City be the AFC 1 Seed?Yes 26%
Will Buffalo be the AFC 1 Seed?Yes 24%
Will Baltimore be the AFC 1 Seed?Yes 17.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?
PM $452.9KWill Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?Yes 5.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will have a #1 hit this year?
K 279.0K contractsWill Mariah Carey have a #1 hit this year?Yes 90.5%
Will Morgan Wallen have a #1 hit this year?Yes 30%
Will Zach Bryan have a #1 hit this year?Yes 26.5%
+111 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
PM $449.2KWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Yes 2.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Washington vs San Francisco: Touchdowns
K 277.2K contractsChristian McCaffrey: 1+ touchdownsYes 69.5%
Mike Evans: 1+ touchdownsYes 52.5%
George Kittle: 1+ touchdownsYes 46.5%
+44 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
PM $426.8KWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
K 271.9K contractsWill **real GDP** increase by more than 0.0% in Q3 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.5% in Q3 2026?Yes 99%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q3 2026?Yes 97.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
PM $423.9KWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December?Yes 63%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (LOW) in December?Yes 61.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?Yes 30%
+11 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Number of rate hikes in 2026?
K 270.1K contractsWill there be exactly 2 Fed rate hikes in 2026?Yes 69.5%
Will there be exactly 1 Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 25.5%
Will there be exactly 3 Fed rate hikes in 2026?Yes 8.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PM $410.4KWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?Yes 25.5%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?Yes 23%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?Yes 6.3%
+12 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Baltimore vs Cleveland: 1st Touchdown
K 267.6K contractsDerrick Henry: 1st TouchdownYes 19.5%
Zay Flowers: 1st TouchdownYes 8.5%
Denzel Boston: 1st TouchdownYes 7.5%
+21 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
PM $399.0KWill OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?Yes 22.5%
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?Yes 20.3%
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?Yes 15.6%
+5 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Video games released this year
K 266.8K contractsWill Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4 release this year?Yes 99.5%
Will Phantom Blade Zero release this year?Yes 99%
Will Grand Theft Auto VI release this year?Yes 95.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
PM $397.9KWill Venezuela become 51st state?Yes 2.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed decision in Jan 2027?
K 249.7K contractsWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their January 2027 meeting?Yes 61.5%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their January 2027 meeting?Yes 32.5%
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their January 2027 meeting?Yes 2.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Apr 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
In which month will Anthropic IPO?
PM $390.9KWill Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Yes 54.4%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?Yes 20.5%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?Yes 19.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Starlink officially announce an IPO?
K 242.1K contractsWhen will Starlink IPO? (Before Jun 30, 2027)Yes 5.5%
When will Starlink IPO? (Before May 1, 2027)Yes 4.5%
When will Starlink IPO? (Before Mar 1, 2027)Yes 4%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
PM $373.9KWill the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes 68.5%
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes 19.5%
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes 9%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Bank of England rate decision in November
PM $346.2K · K 10.0K contractsBank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of England Hike 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 93.5%Rules differK Yes 94%
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of England Maintain current rate at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 5.5%
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of England Cut more than 25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
K 241.4K contractsWill Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 87.5 TWh?Yes 96.5%
Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 90.0 TWh?Yes 95.5%
Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 92.5 TWh?Yes 94.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?
K 234.6K contractsWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 9.5%
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 2.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?
PM $320.0KWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October?Yes 83%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?Yes 73.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?Yes 32%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC