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Showing 1-48 of 2,398 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory
PM $189.63M · K 6.78M contractsWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Kalshi: Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff be at least 1%?
Related contracts
PM Yes 80.8%Rules differK Yes 81.5%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Kalshi: Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the vote abroad in the Brazil presidential runoff?
Related contracts
PM Yes 80.8%Rules differK Yes 33%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 80.8%Rules differK Yes 79.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
19 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Oscar Winner: Best Picture
K 9.23M contractsWill The Odyssey win Best Picture at the Oscars?Yes 47.5%
Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the Oscars?Yes 20.5%
Will The Black Ball win Best Picture at the Oscars?Yes 19.5%
+38 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Next French Presidential Election
PM $152.97M · K 748.7K contractsWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Needs review
PM Yes 47.9%Review neededK Yes 46.5%
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Needs review
PM Yes 19.5%Review neededK Yes 16.5%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
Needs review
PM Yes 11.7%Review neededK Yes 12.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
23 saved comparisonsNext deadline Apr 19, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
K 3.77M contractsWill Christopher Luxon leave Prime Minister of New Zealand before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 48.5%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu leave Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 38.5%
Will Pedro Sánchez leave Prime Minister of Spain before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 20.5%
+31 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
US-Iran nuclear deal?
K 3.54M contractsWill the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year? (Before Jan 20, 2029)Yes 39%
Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year? (Before Jan 1, 2028)Yes 32%
Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year? (Before Mar 1, 2027)Yes 15.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
PM $98.43M · K 5.73M contractsWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Kalshi: Will Nicolás Maduro be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Needs review
PM Yes 71.9%Review neededK Yes 77%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Kalshi: Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Needs review
PM Yes 20%Review neededK Yes 18.5%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Kalshi: Will Edmundo González Urrutia be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Needs review
PM Yes 0.3%Review neededK Yes 6.1%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
15 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Dancing with the Stars Season 35 · Winner
K 3.40M contractsWill Ezra Frech win Dancing with the Stars Season 35?Yes 54.5%
Will Maura Higgins win Dancing with the Stars Season 35?Yes 9.5%
Will Harry Shum Jr. win Dancing with the Stars Season 35?Yes 9.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
PM $66.56MWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes 1.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
K 3.31M contractsWIll GTA6 be released by Jan 1, 2028?Yes 98.5%
WIll GTA6 be released by Jul 1, 2027?Yes 97.5%
WIll GTA6 be released by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 96.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiSports
Ballon d'Or Top 10 Finish 2026
PM $53.23M · K 15.71M contractsWill Harry Kane finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Kalshi: Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Harry Kane)
Related contracts
PM Yes 99.6%Rules differK Yes 64.5%
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Kalshi: Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Lamine Yamal)
Related contracts
PM Yes 99.6%Rules differK Yes 29.5%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Kalshi: Kylian Mbappé: Top 10 in the 2026 men's Ballon d'Or?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 99.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
106 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
LeBron James to Announce his Retirement Before the 2026-27 Season
K 3.26M contractsWill LeBron James announce his retirement in 2026?Yes 0.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PM $47.81M · K 124.3K contractsWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Kalshi: Will Gadi Eisenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Related contracts
PM Yes 50.4%Rules differK Yes 58.5%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Related contracts
PM Yes 13.5%Rules differK Yes 16.5%
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.1%Rules differK Yes 3.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
10 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
The Game Awards: Game of the Year
K 2.53M contracts2026 Game of the Year? (Grand Theft Auto VI)Yes 80.5%
2026 Game of the Year? (Phantom Blade Zero)Yes 7.5%
2026 Game of the Year? (Resident Evil Requiem)Yes 6.5%
+23 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Iran leader end of 2026?
PM $40.25MWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 87.3%
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Yes 4%
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 3.2%
+27 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
K 2.02M contractsHantavirus Public Health Emergency of International Concern by 2026?Yes 3.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
PM $34.00M · K 5.12M contractsWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.5%Rules differK Yes 5.1%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Kalshi: Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.4%Rules differK Yes 5.1%
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.5%Rules differK Yes 4.9%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
6 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCulture
New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?
PM $30.91M · K 2.51M contractsNew "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Kalshi: Will A New Episode of Stranger Things be released Worldwide before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.3%Rules differK Yes 4.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Time's Person of the Year for 2026
K 1.87M contractsWill Zohran Mamdani be Time Person of the Year in 2026?Yes 28.5%
Will Pope Leo XIV be Time Person of the Year in 2026?Yes 17%
Will Mark Carney be Time Person of the Year in 2026?Yes 12.5%
+39 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
#1 searched person on Google in 2026
K 1.64M contractsWill Erling Haaland be in the 1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 17%
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 11.5%
Will Donald Trump be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 6.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
PM $27.54MWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiHealth
Pandemic in 2026?
PM $18.62M · K 984.0K contractsHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Kalshi: Pandemic in 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.4%Rules differK Yes 5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Street Fighter · Rotten Tomatoes score
K 1.51M contractsStreet Fighter Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 32)Yes 99.5%
Street Fighter Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 30)Yes 99.5%
Street Fighter Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 25)Yes 99.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Picture
K 1.31M contracts2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (The Odyssey)Yes 97.5%
2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (The Black Ball)Yes 94.5%
2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (Wild Horse Nine)Yes 87.5%
+50 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
PM $17.66MWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 3.9%
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 0.1%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
PM $10.94M · K 3.49M contractsWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the United States acquire any part of Greenland before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 2.8%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Oscar Winner: Best Actor
K 1.29M contractsWill John Malkovich win Best Actor at the Oscars?Yes 39.5%
Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the Oscars?Yes 20%
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the Oscars?Yes 17.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Sense and Sensibility · Rotten Tomatoes score
K 1.25M contractsSense and Sensibility Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 70)Yes 99.5%
Sense and Sensibility Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 65)Yes 99.5%
Sense and Sensibility Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 60)Yes 99.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
PM $10.20M · K 147.2K contractsWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Kalshi: Will Magdalena Andersson become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 78.5%Rules differK Yes 81%
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Kalshi: Will Ulf Kristersson become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 17%Rules differK Yes 16%
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Kalshi: Will Ebba Busch become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3%Rules differK Yes 2.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiClimate
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
PM $8.13M · K 629.5K contractsWill there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Kalshi: Will there be more than 5000 measles cases in 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 97.9%Rules differK Yes 96.5%
Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Kalshi: Will there be more than 6000 measles cases in 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 88.5%Rules differK Yes 84.5%
Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Kalshi: Will there be more than 7000 measles cases in 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 53%Rules differK Yes 56%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Top Artist on Spotify U.S. 2026
K 1.18M contractsWill Drake be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 82.5%
Will Taylor Swift be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 11%
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 3.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Headliner(s)
K 1.18M contractsWho will headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show? (Miley Cyrus)Yes 45.5%
Who will headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show? (JAY-Z)Yes 42.5%
Who will headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show? (Harry Styles)Yes 19.5%
+54 moreNext deadline Feb 15, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PM $6.62MWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 65%
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 35.9%
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 0.4%
+9 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?
PM $6.35M · K 504.4K contractsIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029?
Related contracts
PM Yes 6%Rules differK Yes 38%
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will Israel and Syria normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029?
Related contracts
PM Yes 6%Rules differK Yes 19%
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will Israel and Syria normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 6%Rules differK Yes 3.6%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
6 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?
K 1.16M contractsWho will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Justin Gaethje)Yes 87%
Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Arman Tsarukyan)Yes 10.5%
Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Ilia Topuria)Yes 2.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
You Can See Everything · Rotten Tomatoes score
K 1.10M contractsYou Can See Everything Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 95)Yes 99.5%
You Can See Everything Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 94)Yes 99.5%
You Can See Everything Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 92)Yes 99.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
PM $5.28MWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Yes 2.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Houston vs Jacksonville: Receiving Yards
K 1.08M contractsBhayshul Tuten: 5+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%
Travis Hunter: 10+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%
Jaylin Noel: 10+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%
+125 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
MLB: 2026 American League Champion
PM $4.86MWill Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Yes 56.2%
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Yes 43%
2 mktsNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Avengers: Doomsday: Cast
K 944.1K contractsWill Hugh Jackman perform as Wolverine in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes 92%
Will Ryan Reynolds perform as Deadpool in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes 90.5%
Will Benedict Cumberbatch perform as Doctor Strange in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes 90%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
PM $4.32MWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?Yes 8.5%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album · Features
K 714.4K contractsWill SZA be featured on Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album?Yes 99.5%
Will Rauw Alejandro be featured on Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album?Yes 99.5%
Will PinkPantheress be featured on Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album?Yes 99.5%
+127 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
PM $4.07MIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Whalefall · Rotten Tomatoes score
K 681.8K contractsWhalefall Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 65)Yes 99.5%
Whalefall Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 60)Yes 99.5%
Whalefall Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 55)Yes 99.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
PM $3.48MChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 3.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Avengers: Doomsday: Rotten Tomatoes score
K 674.4K contractsAvengers: Doomsday Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 45)Yes 98.5%
Avengers: Doomsday Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 50)Yes 96.5%
Avengers: Doomsday Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 55)Yes 92.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Bachelorette Season 22 Winner
PM $2.47MWill another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes 92%
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes 1.6%
Will Michael Baba win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes 1.1%
+20 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Wildwood · Rotten Tomatoes score
K 614.3K contractsWildwood Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 65)Yes 99.5%
Wildwood Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 60)Yes 99.5%
Wildwood Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 55)Yes 99.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
PM $2.43MWill Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes 56.5%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes 44.5%
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes <0.1%
+1 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC