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Showing 97-144 of 2,666 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEconomics

Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?
K 510.4K contractsWill the Fed cut rates 0 times at emergency meetings?Yes 97.2%
Will the Fed cut rates 1 time at emergency meetings?Yes 1.2%
Will the Fed cut rates 2 times at emergency meetings?Yes 1.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
PM $699.5KWill Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Yes 20.5%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Yes 12.5%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Yes 8.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Best AI in Oct 2026?
K 508.7K contractsBest AI in Oct 2026? (Gemini)Yes 75.5%
Best AI in Oct 2026? (Claude)Yes 23.5%
Best AI in Oct 2026? (Muse)Yes 1.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
PM $628.7KWill the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Yes 96.3%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Yes 3.6%
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?Yes <0.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Google market share this week
K 475.0K contractsGoogle market share this week? (Above 19.5%)Yes 99.5%
Google market share this week? (Above 18.9%)Yes 99.5%
Google market share this week? (Above 18.7%)Yes 99.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
PM $607.5KWill CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes 31%
Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes 26.5%
Will Hesai be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes 20.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?
K 463.4K contractsWill Musk have a net worth more than 1400 billion dollars before 2027?Yes 18%
Will Musk have a net worth more than 1500 billion dollars before 2027?Yes 10.5%
Will Musk have a net worth more than 1600 billion dollars before 2027?Yes 6.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
PM $599.0KWill Oura not IPO before January 2027?Yes 91.3%
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?Yes 1.9%
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?Yes 1.8%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Diesel prices in Oct 2026
K 461.1K contractsWill Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.50?Yes 97.5%
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.70?Yes 96.5%
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.60?Yes 96.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketScience

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
PM $595.2KFDA approves Retatrutide this year?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Arizona vs Los Angeles R: Touchdowns
K 448.0K contractsKyren Williams: 1+ touchdownsYes 64.5%
Puka Nacua: 1+ touchdownsYes 56.5%
Davante Adams: 1+ touchdownsYes 52.5%
+46 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
PM $584.3KNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 98.4%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 82.5%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Yes 66.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

OpenAI market share this week
K 447.7K contractsOpenAI market share this week? (Above 18.1%)Yes 99.5%
OpenAI market share this week? (Above 17.1%)Yes 99.5%
OpenAI market share this week? (Above 15.1%)Yes 99.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?
PM $576.4KWill Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Yes 26.5%
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Yes 20.5%
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Yes 15.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
K 424.9K contractsWill OpenAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?Yes 14.5%
Will xAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?Yes 10.5%
Will ByteDance have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?Yes 7.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
PM $568.2KWill US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Yes 4.6%
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Yes 3%
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Yes 2.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?
K 423.4K contractsWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.00% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?Yes 99%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?Yes 99%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?Yes 98.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy

Fed Decision in January?
PM $563.9KWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Yes 62.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes 34.5%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes 1.6%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 28, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Gas prices in the US in Oct 2026?
K 417.7K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $3.60?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $3.50?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $3.40?Yes 99.5%
+23 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
PM $538.5KWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes 59.5%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes 23%
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?Yes 5.4%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Carolina vs Philadelphia: 1st Touchdown
K 415.1K contractsChuba Hubbard: 1st TouchdownYes 19.5%
PHI Eagles D/ST: 1st TouchdownYes 15%
Tetairoa McMillan: 1st TouchdownYes 9.5%
+24 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Largest Company end of October 2026?
PM $538.2KWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes 74.4%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes 25.9%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes 0.4%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
K 414.1K contractsWill the FDA approve Any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?Yes 20.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
PM $525.8KWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 94.3%
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 5.2%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 1%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics

New Jersey gas prices this week
K 410.4K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $4.2200?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2000?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1800?Yes 99.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketScience

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
PM $525.0KWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes 57.5%
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes 36%
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes 1.1%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture

Who will have a #1 album this year?
K 406.6K contractsWill Post Malone have a #1 album this year?Yes 45%
Will Lil Baby have a #1 album this year?Yes 41.5%
Will SZA have a #1 album this year?Yes 40%
+99 moreNext deadline Dec 27, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
PM $508.5KWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 45.1%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 24.9%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 13.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Tennessee vs Indianapolis: Receiving Yards
K 406.0K contractsWan'Dale Robinson: 15+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%
Keenan Allen: 25+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%
Keenan Allen: 15+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%
+89 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketScience

Plague pandemic in 2026?
PM $493.0KPlague pandemic in 2026?Yes 1.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology

DeepSeek market share this week
K 405.6K contractsDeepSeek market share this week? (Above 23.9%)Yes 99.5%
DeepSeek market share this week? (Above 23.2%)Yes 99.5%
DeepSeek market share this week? (Above 21.7%)Yes 99.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
PM $485.3KWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Yes 26%
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?Yes 4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech

When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?
PM $460.4K · K 10.4K contractsWill an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
Kalshi: Will any AI lab solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2028?
Related contracts
PM Yes 64.5%Rules differK Yes 65.5%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will any AI lab solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 24.5%Rules differK Yes 33%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026
K 404.4K contractsWill Washington statewide seasonally adjusted employment in Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services for December 2026 be above 235,000 jobs?Yes 98.5%
Will Washington statewide seasonally adjusted employment in Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services for December 2026 be above 240,000 jobs?Yes 97.5%
Will Washington statewide seasonally adjusted employment in Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services for December 2026 be above 245,000 jobs?Yes 95.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture

Taylor Swift: Wedding Dress
K 398.1K contractsWill Taylor Swift wear a wedding dress designed by Dior at Taylor Swift's first wedding ceremony to Travis Kelce during which they exchange wedding vows?Yes 63.5%
Will Taylor Swift wear a wedding dress designed by Monique Lhuillier at Taylor Swift's first wedding ceremony to Travis Kelce during which they exchange wedding vows?Yes 20.5%
Will Taylor Swift wear a wedding dress designed by Fendi at Taylor Swift's first wedding ceremony to Travis Kelce during which they exchange wedding vows?Yes 18%
+27 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
PM $455.3KWill OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Yes 13.5%
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?Yes 12%
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?Yes 12%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports

Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
K 395.4K contractsWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
PM $431.0KWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics

South Dakota corn yield in 2026
K 389.8K contractsWill South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 125 bu/acre?Yes 98.5%
Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 130 bu/acre?Yes 98%
Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 135 bu/acre?Yes 96.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
PM $423.9KWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December?Yes 63%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (LOW) in December?Yes 61.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?Yes 30%
+11 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

How high will gas prices in California get this year?
K 387.6K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above or below $6.60 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 36.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above or below $6.80 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 28.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above or below $7.00 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 16%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PM $410.4KWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?Yes 25.5%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?Yes 23.5%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?Yes 6.4%
+12 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
K 386.8K contractsWill a human case of Ebola disease in Central African Republic be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 71.5%
Will a human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 34%
Will a human case of Ebola disease in Somalia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 29.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
PM $399.0KWill OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?Yes 22.5%
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?Yes 20.6%
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?Yes 15.6%
+5 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)
K 355.2K contractsWill there be more than 10 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will there be more than 20 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 70.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

In which month will Anthropic IPO?
PM $396.5KWill Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Yes 54.3%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?Yes 22.9%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?Yes 16.3%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology

When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
K 332.3K contractsWill a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 83.2%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 58.5%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 29%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
PM $373.9KWill the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes 68.5%
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes 19%
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes 9%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC