Skip to main content

Browse prediction markets

Explore the full Polymarket and Kalshi catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.

Showing 97-144 of 2,666 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

KalshiEconomics
Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?

Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?

K 510.4K contracts
Will the Fed cut rates 0 times at emergency meetings?Yes 97.2%
Will the Fed cut rates 1 time at emergency meetings?Yes 1.2%
Will the Fed cut rates 2 times at emergency meetings?Yes 1.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

PM $699.5K
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Yes 20.5%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Yes 12.5%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Yes 8.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Best AI in Oct 2026?

Best AI in Oct 2026?

K 508.7K contracts
Best AI in Oct 2026? (Gemini)Yes 75.5%
Best AI in Oct 2026? (Claude)Yes 23.5%
Best AI in Oct 2026? (Muse)Yes 1.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

PM $628.7K
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Yes 96.3%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Yes 3.6%
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?Yes <0.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Google market share this week

Google market share this week

K 475.0K contracts
Google market share this week? (Above 19.5%)Yes 99.5%
Google market share this week? (Above 18.9%)Yes 99.5%
Google market share this week? (Above 18.7%)Yes 99.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

PM $607.5K
Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes 31%
Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes 26.5%
Will Hesai be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes 20.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?

How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?

K 463.4K contracts
Will Musk have a net worth more than 1400 billion dollars before 2027?Yes 18%
Will Musk have a net worth more than 1500 billion dollars before 2027?Yes 10.5%
Will Musk have a net worth more than 1600 billion dollars before 2027?Yes 6.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Oura IPO Closing Market Cap

Oura IPO Closing Market Cap

PM $599.0K
Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?Yes 91.3%
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?Yes 1.9%
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?Yes 1.8%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Diesel prices in Oct 2026

Diesel prices in Oct 2026

K 461.1K contracts
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.50?Yes 97.5%
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.70?Yes 96.5%
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.60?Yes 96.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketScience
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

PM $595.2K
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Arizona vs Los Angeles R: Touchdowns

Arizona vs Los Angeles R: Touchdowns

K 448.0K contracts
Kyren Williams: 1+ touchdownsYes 64.5%
Puka Nacua: 1+ touchdownsYes 56.5%
Davante Adams: 1+ touchdownsYes 52.5%
+46 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

PM $584.3K
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 98.4%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 82.5%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Yes 66.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
OpenAI market share this week

OpenAI market share this week

K 447.7K contracts
OpenAI market share this week? (Above 18.1%)Yes 99.5%
OpenAI market share this week? (Above 17.1%)Yes 99.5%
OpenAI market share this week? (Above 15.1%)Yes 99.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?

Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?

PM $576.4K
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Yes 26.5%
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Yes 20.5%
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Yes 15.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

K 424.9K contracts
Will OpenAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?Yes 14.5%
Will xAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?Yes 10.5%
Will ByteDance have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?Yes 7.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

PM $568.2K
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Yes 4.6%
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Yes 3%
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Yes 2.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?

K 423.4K contracts
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.00% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?Yes 99%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?Yes 99%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?Yes 98.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Fed Decision in January?

Fed Decision in January?

PM $563.9K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Yes 62.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes 34.5%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes 1.6%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 28, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Gas prices in the US in Oct 2026?

Gas prices in the US in Oct 2026?

K 417.7K contracts
Will average **gas prices** be above $3.60?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $3.50?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $3.40?Yes 99.5%
+23 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

PM $538.5K
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes 59.5%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes 23%
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?Yes 5.4%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Carolina vs Philadelphia: 1st Touchdown

Carolina vs Philadelphia: 1st Touchdown

K 415.1K contracts
Chuba Hubbard: 1st TouchdownYes 19.5%
PHI Eagles D/ST: 1st TouchdownYes 15%
Tetairoa McMillan: 1st TouchdownYes 9.5%
+24 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Largest Company end of October 2026?

Largest Company end of October 2026?

PM $538.2K
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes 74.4%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes 25.9%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes 0.4%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?

K 414.1K contracts
Will the FDA approve Any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?Yes 20.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

PM $525.8K
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 94.3%
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 5.2%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 1%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
New Jersey gas prices this week

New Jersey gas prices this week

K 410.4K contracts
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2200?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2000?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1800?Yes 99.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketScience
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

PM $525.0K
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes 57.5%
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes 36%
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes 1.1%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Who will have a #1 album this year?

Who will have a #1 album this year?

K 406.6K contracts
Will Post Malone have a #1 album this year?Yes 45%
Will Lil Baby have a #1 album this year?Yes 41.5%
Will SZA have a #1 album this year?Yes 40%
+99 moreNext deadline Dec 27, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

PM $508.5K
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 45.1%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 24.9%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 13.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Tennessee vs Indianapolis: Receiving Yards

Tennessee vs Indianapolis: Receiving Yards

K 406.0K contracts
Wan'Dale Robinson: 15+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%
Keenan Allen: 25+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%
Keenan Allen: 15+ receiving yardsYes 99.5%
+89 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketScience
Plague pandemic in 2026?

Plague pandemic in 2026?

PM $493.0K
Plague pandemic in 2026?Yes 1.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
DeepSeek market share this week

DeepSeek market share this week

K 405.6K contracts
DeepSeek market share this week? (Above 23.9%)Yes 99.5%
DeepSeek market share this week? (Above 23.2%)Yes 99.5%
DeepSeek market share this week? (Above 21.7%)Yes 99.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

PM $485.3K
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Yes 26%
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?Yes 4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?

When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?

PM $460.4K · K 10.4K contracts

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

Kalshi: Will any AI lab solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2028?

Related contracts

PM Yes 64.5%Rules differK Yes 65.5%

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will any AI lab solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 24.5%Rules differK Yes 33%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026

Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026

K 404.4K contracts
Will Washington statewide seasonally adjusted employment in Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services for December 2026 be above 235,000 jobs?Yes 98.5%
Will Washington statewide seasonally adjusted employment in Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services for December 2026 be above 240,000 jobs?Yes 97.5%
Will Washington statewide seasonally adjusted employment in Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services for December 2026 be above 245,000 jobs?Yes 95.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Taylor Swift: Wedding Dress

Taylor Swift: Wedding Dress

K 398.1K contracts
Will Taylor Swift wear a wedding dress designed by Dior at Taylor Swift's first wedding ceremony to Travis Kelce during which they exchange wedding vows?Yes 63.5%
Will Taylor Swift wear a wedding dress designed by Monique Lhuillier at Taylor Swift's first wedding ceremony to Travis Kelce during which they exchange wedding vows?Yes 20.5%
Will Taylor Swift wear a wedding dress designed by Fendi at Taylor Swift's first wedding ceremony to Travis Kelce during which they exchange wedding vows?Yes 18%
+27 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

PM $455.3K
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Yes 13.5%
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?Yes 12%
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?Yes 12%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?

Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?

K 395.4K contracts
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

PM $431.0K
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
South Dakota corn yield in 2026

South Dakota corn yield in 2026

K 389.8K contracts
Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 125 bu/acre?Yes 98.5%
Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 130 bu/acre?Yes 98%
Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 135 bu/acre?Yes 96.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

PM $423.9K
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December?Yes 63%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (LOW) in December?Yes 61.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?Yes 30%
+11 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How high will gas prices in California get this year?

How high will gas prices in California get this year?

K 387.6K contracts
Will average **gas prices** be above or below $6.60 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 36.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above or below $6.80 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 28.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above or below $7.00 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 16%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

PM $410.4K
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?Yes 25.5%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?Yes 23.5%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?Yes 6.4%
+12 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

K 386.8K contracts
Will a human case of Ebola disease in Central African Republic be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 71.5%
Will a human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 34%
Will a human case of Ebola disease in Somalia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 29.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

PM $399.0K
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?Yes 22.5%
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?Yes 20.6%
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?Yes 15.6%
+5 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

K 355.2K contracts
Will there be more than 10 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will there be more than 20 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 70.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
In which month will Anthropic IPO?

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

PM $396.5K
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Yes 54.3%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?Yes 22.9%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?Yes 16.3%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?

When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?

K 332.3K contracts
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 83.2%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 58.5%
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 29%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

PM $373.9K
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes 68.5%
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes 19%
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes 9%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC