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Showing 49-96 of 1,817 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?
PM $1.03M · K 11.4K contractsWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?
Kalshi: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.39% by Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 36.5%Rules differK Yes 35%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
Kalshi: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.49% by Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 26.3%Rules differK Yes 32%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
CPI in October
K 696.8K contractsWill CPI rise more than -0.1% in October 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in October 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in October 2026?Yes 85.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Feb 9, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
K 682.7K contractsWill integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during 2026 get above 91,500 MW?Yes 4.5%
Will integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during 2026 get above 92,500 MW?Yes 3.5%
Will integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during 2026 get above 92,000 MW?Yes 3.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
China Annual GDP Growth 2026
PM $934.6KWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes 95.5%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Yes 3.4%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?Yes 0.9%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Core CPI in October
K 681.8K contractsWill CPI Core rise more than 0.0% in October?Yes 94.5%
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.1% in October?Yes 81.5%
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.2% in October?Yes 47%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 17, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
PM $864.2KAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 78.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 10, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?
K 672.1K contractsWill the Fed cut rates more than 25 bps in 2026?Yes 2.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
PM $622.6KWill the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Yes 96.3%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Yes 3.5%
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?Yes <0.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Tennessee vs Indianapolis: Touchdowns
K 666.7K contractsJonathan Taylor: 1+ touchdownsYes 68.5%
Tony Pollard: 1+ touchdownsYes 37.5%
Tyler Warren: 1+ touchdownsYes 36.5%
+45 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
PM $599.0KWill Oura not IPO before January 2027?Yes 91.2%
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?Yes 1.9%
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?Yes 1.8%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
New York J vs New England: Touchdowns
K 634.8K contractsRhamondre Stevenson: 1+ touchdownsYes 51.5%
Braelon Allen: 1+ touchdownsYes 40.5%
Garrett Wilson: 1+ touchdownsYes 29.5%
+36 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketScience
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
PM $595.2KFDA approves Retatrutide this year?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
How high will inflation get this year?
K 564.1K contractsInflation surge in 2026? (At least 4.5%)Yes 21.8%
Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 6.5%)Yes 15.5%
Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 5.0%)Yes 10.2%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
PM $568.2KWill US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Yes 5%
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Yes 4.9%
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Yes 2.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience
NASA lands on the moon?
K 554.0K contractsWill NASA land a person on the Moon by 2029?Yes 41.5%
Will NASA land a person on the Moon by 2028?Yes 23.5%
Will NASA land a person on the Moon before 2028?Yes 3.1%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Fed Decision in January?
PM $560.4KWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Yes 62.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes 34.5%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes 1.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 28, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
CPI YoY in November
K 524.9K contractsWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.1% for the year ending in November 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.0% for the year ending in November 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.2% for the year ending in November 2026?Yes 96.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Mar 11, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
PM $538.2KWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes 59%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes 24.9%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes 5.1%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiScience
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
K 522.7K contractsWill Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 80,000 jobs?Yes 97.5%
Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 81,000 jobs?Yes 96.5%
Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 82,000 jobs?Yes 92.5%
+10 moreNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
PM $525.8KWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 94.3%
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 5.1%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 1%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
When will the next US recession start?
K 520.8K contractsWhen will the next U.S. recession start? (Q1 2026)Yes 5.9%
When will the next U.S. recession start? (Q4 2025)Yes 3.6%
When will the next U.S. recession start? (Q2 2025)Yes 1.8%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketScience
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
PM $525.0KWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes 58.5%
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes 35%
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes 1.1%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Los Angeles C vs Kansas City: Touchdowns
K 516.6K contractsKenneth Walker III: 1+ touchdownsYes 60.5%
Travis Kelce: 1+ touchdownsYes 37.5%
Xavier Worthy: 1+ touchdownsYes 35.5%
+43 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
PM $508.5KWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 45.1%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 24.9%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 13.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
K 510.6K contractsWhen will OpenAI IPO? (Before Jun 1, 2027)Yes 52%
When will OpenAI IPO? (Before May 1, 2027)Yes 46%
When will OpenAI IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 29%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketScience
Plague pandemic in 2026?
PM $493.0KPlague pandemic in 2026?Yes 1.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?
PM $460.4K · K 10.2K contractsWill an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
Kalshi: Will any AI lab solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2028?
Related contracts
PM Yes 64.5%Rules differK Yes 68.5%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will any AI lab solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 24.5%Rules differK Yes 40%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Dallas vs Green Bay: Touchdowns
K 510.4K contractsJavonte Williams: 1+ touchdownsYes 63.5%
MarShawn Lloyd: 1+ touchdownsYes 52.5%
Christian Watson: 1+ touchdownsYes 43.5%
+50 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?
K 510.4K contractsWill the Fed cut rates 0 times at emergency meetings?Yes 97.2%
Will the Fed cut rates 1 time at emergency meetings?Yes 1.2%
Will the Fed cut rates 2 times at emergency meetings?Yes 1.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
PM $426.8KWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiTech
Best AI in Oct 2026?
K 507.9K contractsBest AI in Oct 2026? (Gemini)Yes 75.5%
Best AI in Oct 2026? (Claude)Yes 22.5%
Best AI in Oct 2026? (Muse)Yes 1.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
PM $423.9KWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December?Yes 63%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (LOW) in December?Yes 61.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?Yes 30%
+11 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Chicago vs Atlanta: Touchdowns
K 486.8K contractsBijan Robinson: 1+ touchdownsYes 68.5%
D'Andre Swift: 1+ touchdownsYes 58.5%
Drake London: 1+ touchdownsYes 44.5%
+47 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PM $410.4KWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?Yes 25.5%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?Yes 23%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?Yes 6.3%
+12 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Google market share this week
K 464.8K contractsGoogle market share this week? (Above 19.5%)Yes 99.5%
Google market share this week? (Above 18.9%)Yes 99.5%
Google market share this week? (Above 18.7%)Yes 99.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
PM $399.0KWill OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?Yes 22.5%
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?Yes 20.3%
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?Yes 15.6%
+5 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?
K 463.4K contractsWill Musk have a net worth more than 1400 billion dollars before 2027?Yes 18%
Will Musk have a net worth more than 1500 billion dollars before 2027?Yes 9.5%
Will Musk have a net worth more than 1600 billion dollars before 2027?Yes 6.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
In which month will Anthropic IPO?
PM $390.9KWill Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Yes 54.4%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?Yes 20.5%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?Yes 19.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Diesel prices in Oct 2026
K 461.1K contractsWill Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.50?Yes 97.5%
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.70?Yes 96.5%
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.60?Yes 96.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
PM $373.9KWill the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes 68.5%
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes 19.5%
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes 9%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Bank of England rate decision in November
PM $346.2K · K 10.0K contractsBank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of England Hike 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 93.5%Rules differK Yes 94%
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of England Maintain current rate at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 5.5%
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of England Cut more than 25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
OpenAI market share this week
K 431.0K contractsOpenAI market share this week? (Above 18.1%)Yes 99.5%
OpenAI market share this week? (Above 17.1%)Yes 99.5%
OpenAI market share this week? (Above 15.1%)Yes 99.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
K 424.9K contractsWill OpenAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?Yes 14.5%
Will xAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?Yes 10.5%
Will ByteDance have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?Yes 7.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketScience
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
PM $336.4KWill SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Yes 77.2%
Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?Yes 8.8%
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?Yes 4.8%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?
K 423.3K contractsWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.00% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?Yes 99%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?Yes 99%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?Yes 98.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
PM $325.4K · K 867.0K contractsOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Kalshi: Will OpenAI announce the creation of AGI? (Before 2027)
Related contracts
PM Yes 8.5%Rules differK Yes 6.7%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Gas prices in the US in Oct 2026?
K 416.0K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $3.60?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $3.50?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $3.40?Yes 99.5%
+23 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?
PM $320.0KWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October?Yes 83%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?Yes 73.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?Yes 32%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC