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Showing 49-96 of 2,199 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?
PM $1.03M · K 11.4K contractsWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?
Kalshi: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.39% by Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 36.5%Rules differK Yes 35%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
Kalshi: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.49% by Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 26.3%Rules differK Yes 32%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
How high will inflation get this year?
K 564.1K contractsInflation surge in 2026? (At least 4.5%)Yes 21.8%
Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 6.5%)Yes 15.5%
Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 5.0%)Yes 10.2%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 28, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
CPI YoY in November
K 524.9K contractsWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.1% for the year ending in November 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.0% for the year ending in November 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.2% for the year ending in November 2026?Yes 96.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Mar 11, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
China Annual GDP Growth 2026
PM $934.6KWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes 95.5%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Yes 3.4%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?Yes 0.9%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
K 522.7K contractsWill Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 80,000 jobs?Yes 97.5%
Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 81,000 jobs?Yes 96.5%
Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 82,000 jobs?Yes 92.5%
+10 moreNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
PM $864.2KAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 78.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 10, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
When will the next US recession start?
K 520.8K contractsWhen will the next U.S. recession start? (Q1 2026)Yes 5.9%
When will the next U.S. recession start? (Q4 2025)Yes 3.6%
When will the next U.S. recession start? (Q2 2025)Yes 1.8%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
PM $833.2K10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes 0.9%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Los Angeles C vs Kansas City: Touchdowns
K 516.6K contractsKenneth Walker III: 1+ touchdownsYes 60.5%
Travis Kelce: 1+ touchdownsYes 37.5%
Xavier Worthy: 1+ touchdownsYes 35.5%
+43 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
PM $622.6KWill the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Yes 96.3%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Yes 3.5%
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?Yes <0.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
K 510.6K contractsWhen will OpenAI IPO? (Before Jun 1, 2027)Yes 52%
When will OpenAI IPO? (Before May 1, 2027)Yes 46%
When will OpenAI IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 29%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
PM $599.0KWill Oura not IPO before January 2027?Yes 91.2%
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?Yes 1.9%
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?Yes 1.8%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Dallas vs Green Bay: Touchdowns
K 510.4K contractsJavonte Williams: 1+ touchdownsYes 63.5%
MarShawn Lloyd: 1+ touchdownsYes 52.5%
Christian Watson: 1+ touchdownsYes 43.5%
+50 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
PM $568.2KWill US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Yes 5%
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Yes 4.9%
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Yes 2.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?
K 510.4K contractsWill the Fed cut rates 0 times at emergency meetings?Yes 97.2%
Will the Fed cut rates 1 time at emergency meetings?Yes 1.2%
Will the Fed cut rates 2 times at emergency meetings?Yes 1.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Fed Decision in January?
PM $560.4KWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Yes 62.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes 34.5%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes 1.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 28, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
K 502.2K contractsWill there be an at least 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
PM $538.2KWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes 59%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes 24.9%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes 5.1%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Chicago vs Atlanta: Touchdowns
K 486.8K contractsBijan Robinson: 1+ touchdownsYes 68.5%
D'Andre Swift: 1+ touchdownsYes 58.5%
Drake London: 1+ touchdownsYes 44.5%
+47 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
PM $525.8KWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 94.3%
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 5.1%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 1%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?
K 463.4K contractsWill Musk have a net worth more than 1400 billion dollars before 2027?Yes 18%
Will Musk have a net worth more than 1500 billion dollars before 2027?Yes 9.5%
Will Musk have a net worth more than 1600 billion dollars before 2027?Yes 6.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
PM $508.5KWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 45.1%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 24.9%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 13.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Diesel prices in Oct 2026
K 461.1K contractsWill Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.50?Yes 97.5%
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.70?Yes 96.5%
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.60?Yes 96.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
PM $426.8KWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
K 426.7K contractsWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes 69.8%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
PM $423.9KWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December?Yes 63%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (LOW) in December?Yes 61.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?Yes 30%
+11 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?
K 423.3K contractsWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.00% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?Yes 99%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?Yes 99%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?Yes 98.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PM $410.4KWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?Yes 25.5%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?Yes 23%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?Yes 6.3%
+12 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Gas prices in the US in Oct 2026?
K 416.0K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $3.60?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $3.50?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $3.40?Yes 99.5%
+23 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
PM $399.0KWill OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?Yes 22.5%
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?Yes 20.3%
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?Yes 15.6%
+5 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
New Jersey gas prices this week
K 408.0K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $4.2200?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2000?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1800?Yes 99.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
In which month will Anthropic IPO?
PM $390.9KWill Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Yes 54.4%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?Yes 20.5%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?Yes 19.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiSports
Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026
K 404.4K contractsWill Washington statewide seasonally adjusted employment in Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services for December 2026 be above 235,000 jobs?Yes 98.5%
Will Washington statewide seasonally adjusted employment in Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services for December 2026 be above 240,000 jobs?Yes 97.5%
Will Washington statewide seasonally adjusted employment in Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services for December 2026 be above 245,000 jobs?Yes 95.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
PM $373.9KWill the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes 68.5%
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes 19.5%
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes 9%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
K 395.3K contractsWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PM $350.6KWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Yes 8.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Bank of England rate decision in November
PM $346.2K · K 10.0K contractsBank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of England Hike 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 93.5%Rules differK Yes 94%
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of England Maintain current rate at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 5.5%
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of England Cut more than 25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
South Dakota corn yield in 2026
K 389.8K contractsWill South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 125 bu/acre?Yes 98.5%
Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 130 bu/acre?Yes 98%
Will South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 135 bu/acre?Yes 96.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How high will gas prices in California get this year?
K 387.6K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above or below $6.60 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 36.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above or below $6.80 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 30.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above or below $7.00 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 16%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
PM $332.5K9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes 3.9%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Arizona vs Los Angeles R: Touchdowns
K 309.8K contractsKyren Williams: 1+ touchdownsYes 64.5%
Puka Nacua: 1+ touchdownsYes 57.5%
Davante Adams: 1+ touchdownsYes 52.5%
+46 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?
PM $320.0KWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October?Yes 83%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?Yes 73.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?Yes 32%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Buffalo vs Las Vegas: Touchdowns
K 306.9K contractsJames Cook III: 1+ touchdownsYes 57.5%
Josh Allen: 1+ touchdownsYes 57.5%
Ashton Jeanty: 1+ touchdownsYes 53.5%
+49 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
PM $314.9K5kt meteor strike in 2026?Yes 17%
1 mktNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Bank of Japan rate decision in December
PM $264.4K · K 34.7K contractsNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of Japan Maintain current rate at the December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 96.5%Rules differK Yes 28%
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of Japan Maintain current rate at the October 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 96.5%Rules differK Yes 94.5%
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of Japan Hike 25bps at the December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 72%Rules differK Yes 71.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
13 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
CPI YoY in December
K 304.1K contractsWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.0% for the year ending in December 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.2% for the year ending in December 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.1% for the year ending in December 2026?Yes 94.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Apr 14, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: Touchdowns
K 291.4K contractsJaylen Warren: 1+ touchdownsYes 43.5%
Bucky Irving: 1+ touchdownsYes 35.5%
DK Metcalf: 1+ touchdownsYes 31.5%
+39 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Natural Disaster in 2026?
PM $250.2KNatural Disaster in 2026?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC