Browse prediction markets

PM $1.29B · K 241.53M contracts

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Kalshi: Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

Needs review

PM Yes 16%Review neededK Yes 13.5%

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Kalshi: Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

Needs review

PM Yes 14.8%Review neededK Yes 13.5%

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Kalshi: Will Jon Ossoff be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

Needs review

PM Yes 14.1%Review neededK Yes 12.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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35 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC

KalshiElections

Will the Citrini scenario happen?

K 25.93M contracts

Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2?Yes 20.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jul 1, 2028 UTC

PM $717.19M · K 74.63M contracts

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next presidential election? (J.D. Vance)

Needs review

PM Yes 20.4%Review neededK Yes 20.5%

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next presidential election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez)

Needs review

PM Yes 13.2%Review neededK Yes 10%

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next presidential election? (Gavin Newsom)

Needs review

PM Yes 8.9%Review neededK Yes 10.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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22 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC

PM $712.75M · K 70.09M contracts

2028 Republican presidential nominee

Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Kalshi: Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? (Ted Cruz)

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.4%Rules differK Yes 81.5%

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Kalshi: Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? (J.D. Vance)

Related contracts

PM Yes 47.2%Rules differK Yes 79%

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Kalshi: Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? (Ron DeSantis)

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.5%Rules differK Yes 63.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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67 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

KalshiFinancials

How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?

K 9.20M contracts

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $115.01 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 37.8%

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $120.01 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 30.9%

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $125.01 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 20%

+7 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiSports

F1 Drivers Champion

PM $204.43M · K 9.58M contracts

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Kalshi: Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the F1 Drivers Championship?

Related contracts

PM Yes 97.8%Rules differK Yes 95.5%

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Kalshi: Will Max Verstappen win the F1 Drivers Championship?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.5%Rules differK Yes 2.5%

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Kalshi: Will Lando Norris win the F1 Drivers Championship?

Related contracts

PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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6 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 6, 2026 UTC

Will the S&P 500 be between 7800 and 7999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 17.5%

S&P close price end of 2026?

K 7.81M contracts

Will the S&P 500 be between 8000 and 8199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 15.5%

Will the S&P 500 be between 7600 and 7799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 14.5%

+24 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PM $189.75M · K 6.80M contracts

Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Kalshi: Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff be at least 1%?

Related contracts

PM Yes 80.3%Rules differK Yes 81.5%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the vote abroad in the Brazil presidential runoff?

Related contracts

PM Yes 80.3%Rules differK Yes 33%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 80.3%Rules differK Yes 79.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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19 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

Will the Democratic Party hold more than 52 seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 36.5%

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

K 4.94M contracts

Will the Democratic Party hold 52 seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 18.5%

Will the Democratic Party hold 51 seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 12.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiWorld

Next French Presidential Election

PM $153.18M · K 753.2K contracts

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Needs review

PM Yes 48.3%Review neededK Yes 47.5%

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Needs review

PM Yes 19.5%Review neededK Yes 16.5%

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

Needs review

PM Yes 11.8%Review neededK Yes 12.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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23 saved comparisonsNext deadline Apr 19, 2027 UTC

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 33000 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 10%

Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?

K 4.81M contracts

Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 30500 and 30999.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 8.5%

Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 30000 and 30499.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 8.5%

+27 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PM $124.58M · K 25.4K contracts

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be pardoned?

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Kalshi: Will Benjamin Netanyahu be pardoned before Nov 1, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 40.5%Rules differK Yes 3.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 15, 2026 UTC

KalshiSports

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Kalshi: Will Nicolás Maduro be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Needs review

PM Yes 71.9%Review neededK Yes 78%

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Kalshi: Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Needs review

PM Yes 21%Review neededK Yes 17.5%

Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Kalshi: Will Edmundo González Urrutia be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Needs review

PM Yes 0.3%Review neededK Yes 6.1%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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15 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Will Christopher Luxon leave Prime Minister of New Zealand before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 48.5%

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

K 3.77M contracts

Will Benjamin Netanyahu leave Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 38.5%

Will Pedro Sánchez leave Prime Minister of Spain before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 20.5%

+31 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Yes 7.5%

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

PM $76.25M

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Yes 0.8%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiSports

Defensive Player of the Year Winner?

K 3.70M contracts

Will Will Anderson Jr. win the Defensive Player of the Year?Yes 42.5%

Will Fred Warner win the Defensive Player of the Year?Yes 11.5%

Will Dallas Turner win the Defensive Player of the Year?Yes 6.5%

+65 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2028 UTC

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 15.5%

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

PM $74.60M

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PM $74.11M · K 33.41M contracts

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Kalshi: Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 5.1%Rules differK Yes 4.2%

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?

Kalshi: Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Nov 1, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.5%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will there be a recession in 2026?Yes 4.5%

Recession this year?

K 3.69M contracts

1 mktNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiEconomics

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

PM $54.49M · K 10.73M contracts

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Fed cut rates 0 times?

Related contracts

PM Yes 96.9%Rules differK Yes 95.4%

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Fed cut rates 1 time?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.9%Rules differK Yes 3.8%

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Fed cut rates 2 times?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.5%Rules differK Yes 0.7%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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12 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiWorld

US-Iran nuclear deal?

K 3.54M contracts

Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year? (Before Jan 20, 2029)Yes 39%

Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year? (Before Jan 1, 2028)Yes 34.5%

Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year? (Before Mar 1, 2027)Yes 16%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

PM $48.35M · K 124.3K contracts

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Kalshi: Will Gadi Eisenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Related contracts

PM Yes 44.7%Rules differK Yes 58.5%

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Related contracts

PM Yes 12.5%Rules differK Yes 16.5%

Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.1%Rules differK Yes 4%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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10 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC

Will Republicans win the Senate race in South Carolina?Yes 82.5%

South Carolina Senate winner?

K 3.48M contracts

Will Democratics win the Senate race in South Carolina?Yes 16.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiEconomics

Fed decision in Oct 2026?

PM $45.46M · K 12.59M contracts

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2027 meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 86.5%Rules differK Yes 76.5%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 86.5%Rules differK Yes 86.5%

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their October 2027 meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 13.5%Rules differK Yes 8%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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8 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC

Will Elissa Slotkin be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?Yes 9.4%

2028 Democratic VP nominee

K 3.26M contracts

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?Yes 9%

Will Pete Buttigieg be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?Yes 7%

+42 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC

Will the Democratic party win 234-237 House seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 17.5%

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

K 3.19M contracts

Will the Democratic party win 230-233 House seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 15.5%

Will the Democratic party win 238-241 House seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 13.5%

+9 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 2.1%

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

PM $44.27M

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will at least 50% of scheduled passenger and cargo flights at JFK be cancelled October 21, 2026?Yes 0.7%

Will at least 50% of scheduled flights at JFK be cancelled on October 21, 2026?

K 3.07M contracts

1 mktNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC

PM $42.04M · K 18.82M contracts

California Governor Election Winner

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in California? (Xavier Becerra)

Related contracts

PM Yes 96%Rules differK Yes 95.8%

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in California? (Steve Hilton)

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.8%Rules differK Yes 4.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will the Republican party hold exactly 48 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 18.5%

How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

K 2.96M contracts

Will the Republican party hold exactly 47 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 13.5%

Will the Republican party hold exactly 50 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 12.5%

+12 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC

US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Yes 57.5%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

PM $41.12M

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes 35.4%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Yes 19.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Who will win the 2026 Maine Senate election? (Troy Jackson)Yes 57.5%

Maine Senate winner? (Person)

K 2.95M contracts

Who will win the 2026 Maine Senate election? (Susan Collins)Yes 41.5%

Who will win the 2026 Maine Senate election? (Jared Golden)Yes <0.1%

+12 moreNext deadline Jul 7, 2027 UTC

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Yes 99.5%

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

PM $36.55M

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Yes 97.4%

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes 85.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC

PM $35.68M · K 5.18M contracts

Will Trump visit Greenland?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Kalshi: Will the President of the United States visit Greenland before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.4%Rules differK Yes 7%

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Trump buy Greenland? (Before 2027)

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.4%Rules differK Yes 2.4%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Democratics win the Senate race in Alaska?Yes 74.5%

Alaska Senate winner?

K 2.82M contracts

Will Republicans win the Senate race in Alaska?Yes 25.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 8 and 10%?Yes 26.5%

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

K 2.72M contracts

Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 6 and 8%?Yes 19.5%

Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 10 and 12%?Yes 19.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2028 UTC

PM $34.00M · K 5.12M contracts

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.4%Rules differK Yes 5.1%

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Kalshi: Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.4%Rules differK Yes 5.1%

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.4%Rules differK Yes 4.9%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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6 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (Tennessee)Yes 98.5%

Which states will redistrict before the midterms?

K 2.37M contracts

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (California)Yes 98.5%

What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections? (North Carolina)Yes 98.2%

+22 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes 3.6%

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

PM $29.59M

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Who will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race? (Abdul El-Sayed)Yes 68.5%

Michigan Senate winner? (Person)

K 2.33M contracts

Who will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race? (Mike Rogers)Yes 31.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Yes 9.5%

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

PM $29.44M

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 3%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Derrick Henry: 1+ touchdownsYes 42.5%

Baltimore vs Cleveland: Touchdowns

K 2.14M contracts

Denzel Boston: 1+ touchdownsYes 26.5%

Harold Fannin Jr.: 1+ touchdownsYes 25%

+42 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes 25%

Iran leadership change by...?

PM $27.55M

Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes 11.5%

Iran leadership change by November 30?Yes 6.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC