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PM Yes 5.5%1.1 pp gapK Yes 4.5%

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?

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Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Israel and Syria normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?

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PM Yes 5%2.6 pp gapK Yes 2.5%

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Israel and Indonesia normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?

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PM Yes 4.7%1.3 pp gapK Yes 3.4%

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4 saved comparisons

San Francisco 49ersYes 20.5%

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion

PM $6.47M

Los Angeles RamsYes 17.5%

Seattle SeahawksYes 14.5%

+13 more

December 31, 2026Yes 4.4%

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

Russia nuclear test by...?

PM $6.25M

PM $1.44M · K 4.41M contracts

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Tom Homan leaves White House Border Czar in before 2027?

Needs review

PM Yes 25%11.5 pp gapK Yes 13.5%

Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Susie WIles leaves Chief of Staff in before 2027?

Needs review

PM Yes 18.5%6.0 pp gapK Yes 24.5%

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Pete Hegseth leaves Secretary of Defense in before 2027?

Needs review

PM Yes 21.5%2.5 pp gapK Yes 24%

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11 saved comparisons

PM $873.9K · K 4.94M contracts

Iowa Senate winner?

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Iowa?

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PM Yes 57.5%2.0 pp gapK Yes 59.5%

Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Iowa?

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PM Yes 42.5%2.0 pp gapK Yes 40.5%

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2 saved comparisons

PolymarketSports

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC

PM $5.68M

Club Atlético de MadridYes >99.9%

Draw (Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC)Yes <0.1%

Manchester United FCYes <0.1%

3 mkts

PM $1.78M · K 3.87M contracts

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

Kalshi: Will Mitch McConnell resign his office early?

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PM Yes 6.5%4.3 pp gapK Yes 2.3%

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1 saved comparison

PolymarketCrypto

Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?

PM $3.91M · K 1.61M contracts

Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Kalshi: Will a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative in California pass?

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PM Yes 24%3.5 pp gapK Yes 27.5%

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1 saved comparison

December 31, 2026Yes 5.5%

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

PM $5.50M

Christopher BellYes 12.5%

PolymarketFinance

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

NASCAR Cup Series Champion

K 5.33M contracts

Kyle LarsonYes 45.5%

Denny HamlinYes 23.5%

+32 more

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Yes 2.9%

AL MVP Winner

K 5.32M contracts

Yordan ÁlvarezYes 93.5%

Cam SchlittlerYes 2%

Junior CamineroYes 2%

+46 more

PolymarketCulture

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

PM $5.25M

English Premier League Champion

K 5.22M contracts

ArsenalYes 62.5%

Manchester CityYes 21.5%

ChelseaYes 5.5%

+17 more

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

PM $5.02M

Luca NiculescuYes 75.1%

Sorin GrindeanuYes 8.8%

Alexandru NazareYes 2.5%

+35 more

Crude Oil all time high by...?

PM $4.83M

March 31, 2027Yes 18%

December 31Yes 10.5%

Cleveland GuardiansYes 58%

Offensive Rookie of the Year Winner?

K 4.81M contracts

Denzel BostonYes 26.5%

Jeremiyah LoveYes 25.5%

Carnell TateYes 13.5%

+35 more

PolymarketWorld

MLB: 2026 American League Champion

PM $4.81M

Tampa Bay RaysYes 42.1%

December 31, 2026Yes 69.5%

PolymarketFinance

Anthropic IPO by __?

PM $4.67M

December 15, 2026Yes 65.5%

November 30, 2026Yes 58.5%

+3 more

33,000.01 or aboveYes 22.5%

Coach of the Year Winner?

K 4.59M contracts

Kyle ShanahanYes 22%

John HarbaughYes 10.5%

Kevin O'ConnellYes 9.5%

+30 more

KalshiEconomics

Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?

K 4.58M contracts

31,000 to 31,499.99Yes 8.5%

30,500 to 30,999.99Yes 8.5%

+27 more

Pete Crow-ArmstrongYes 98.5%

NL MVP Winner

K 4.50M contracts

Jordan WalkerYes 0.5%

Nico HoernerYes 0.5%

+50 more

PolymarketSports

MLB: 2026 National League Champion

PM $4.47M

Milwaukee BrewersYes 69.8%

Los Angeles DodgersYes 30.5%

KalshiPolitics

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

NL Rookie of the Year Winner

Epstein client list released by...?

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

PM $4.29M

June 30, 2027Yes 43.5%

December 31Yes 14.5%

PM $897.5K · K 3.39M contracts

Kansas Senate winner?

Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Kansas?

Related contracts

PM Yes 62.5%0.0 pp gapK Yes 62.5%

Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Kansas?

Related contracts

PM Yes 37.5%0.0 pp gapK Yes 37.5%

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2 saved comparisons

PolymarketWorld

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

PM $1.05M · K 3.14M contracts

Will Trump be impeached?

Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?

Kalshi: Will the President be impeached before Jan 1, 2028?

Needs review

PM Yes 67.5%1.0 pp gapK Yes 66.5%

Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027?

Kalshi: Will the President be impeached before Jul 1, 2027?

Needs review

PM Yes 48%8.0 pp gapK Yes 40%

Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will the President be impeached before Jan 1, 2027?

Needs review

PM Yes 2.6%0.4 pp gapK Yes 3%

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3 saved comparisons

PolymarketWorld

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Offensive Player of the Year Winner?

K 4.07M contracts

Jahmyr GibbsYes 27.5%

Bijan RobinsonYes 16.5%

Kenneth WalkerYes 14.5%

+62 more

KalshiPolitics

How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Champions League Winner

K 3.94M contracts

BarcelonaYes 24.5%

Bayern MunichYes 13.5%

ArsenalYes 13.5%

+33 more

PolymarketTech

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

PM $3.86M

December 31, 2028Yes 26.5%

December 31, 2027Yes 16.5%

June 30, 2027Yes 9.5%

+1 more

PolymarketSports

Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion

PM $3.86M

Buffalo BillsYes 21.5%

Kansas City ChiefsYes 17.5%

Baltimore RavensYes 15.5%

+13 more

December 31, 2026Yes 12.5%

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

PM $3.80M